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Is Obama's Appeal to Young Voters Exaggerated?
As a so-called "young voter" in the 18-29 age bracket, I have long been skeptical of Barack Obama's supposedly massive advantage with voters my age – an advantage that the mainstream media's hype would have you believe to be exceedingly insurmountable for John McCain.
Well, today's InsiderAdvantage poll confirms that my skepticism has been warranted:
McCain vs. Obama - Likely Voters Age 18-29
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McCain
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Obama
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Undecided
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44%
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49%
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7%
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Margin of Error: +/- 3.36%
So where exactly is Obama's big lead here? Quite frankly, his lead is negligible, if not non-existant. In fact, factoring in both the margin of error and the 7 perecent of undecided voters, it is entirely conceivable that McCain could actually tie or even outperform Obama among voters age 18-29.
Recently, Joe Trippi argued that a large turnout of young voters could serve as a tie-breaking factor in favor of Obama. As much as Democrats like Trippi and the mainstream media want you to believe that young folks such as myself are flocking to Barack Obama – please, don't count us out yet.
Aaron Marks is President of Three Group, LLC, a Pittsburgh-based new media firm that focuses on providing technology-based solutions for Republican candidates and organizations, and in particular has built Web 2.0 campaign management software called Mission Control. Aaron also worked in new media and voter outreach on Senator Rick Santorum's 2006 re-election campaign.
- Aaron Marks's blog
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