To Win the Centre, End the Paranoia

There's been a lot of discussion recently about how the conservative movement and the Republican party can grow, regroup and gain the support of the American people. Blame has been placed in all quarters except, it seems, one of the most important: the paranoiac hysteria which is too common among the Right.

I am not a deeply conservative person, but some of the movement's goals are excellent. Efficient government, national security, individual freedoms - we'd all love to see those things achieved. So why don't these policies get votes?

Social conservatives are being blamed, but a huge number of people are socially conservative.

Incompetent leadership is being blamed, but a huge number of Democratic politicians are incompetent.

More important, I think, is the nature of conservative arguments. Instead of appealing to reason or to values, a vast number of GOP supporters prefer, well, nonsense. Vicious, terrifying nonsense, which drives away far more people than it attracts. Take, for example, the well-known example of the Obama Muslim claims - if you're reaidng this, you're probably well aware that he isn't and never has been a follower of the Islamic religion. However, 23% of people in Texas believe otherwise. They believe he's a muslim because this is what we tell them.

By "we", I refer to conservative voices: pundits, Rush and Hannity, bloggers, low-level GOP campaign operatives and the authors of email forwards. A really depressingly large number of conservative communicators have no respect for facts, but simply assume their opponents must be guilty of anything. Let's take the ongoing Minnesota Senate affair:

Norm Coleman has won re-election in the initial count of ballots, although it was very close and he may lose in a hand recount. It's helpful to donate to his campaign's legal fund, to root for him, and to carefully scrutinise the process.. but it is completely unhelpful to make up bullshit about fraud which isn't occurring. It makes us look like unstable fools. Conservative commentators create sites like minnesotademsexposed.com, purporting to expose electoral fraud taking place - which is vital, right? We have to ensure that the election isn't stolen.

But that isn't what they do. Instead, they are paranoid nuts who get hysterical about 'ACORN' - an organisation which has nothing to do with counting votes in Minnesota - and about the story of 'ballots left in cars'. This story is completely false, but nobody checks that.

People don't check whether Barack Obama is really a Muslim - or if they do, and once they know he isn't, they continue to prevaricate and imply that maybe he might somehow be, because they think it will get them electoral advantage. They're wrong; it turns away everyone who's not an idiot.

People don't check whether electoral fraud is really ongoing; whether the Democrats actually intend to reintroduce the Fairness Directive; whether Obama tax policies are "socialist" compared to those of Regan; whether Hillary Clinton shot Vince Foster or whether Sarah Palin opposed building a bridge.

Our own Soren Dayton, for goodness' sakes, posts mostly hysterical paranoia about ACORN and things Obama will never do. It's not even the content so much as the tone: when we spend our time ranting about things which are mostly lies and entirely trivial, we turn off anyone who doesn't already listen to Rush.

Some of us know this stuff is nonsense, and do nothing. Some of us don't know, because we don't want to look too closely at things which support our world view. And some of us believe it and insist on discrediting everyone else by claiming that our enemy is a gay black supremacist arab muslim radical socialist terrorist illegitimate kenyan election thief! This makes Democrats angry, inspired to fight hard against the right; it makes independents scared, unwilling to associate with the right.

Rather than taking on faith anything that sounds good for conservatives - too good to be true - fact check and ignore the lies. Rather than being complicit with their spreading and allowing the base to be brainwashed into monsters, educate them with real reasons to support conservative values. Why not be the party of integrity, and make the other side look like the crazies for once?

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Comments

You give Obama too much credit:

Things Obama will never do?  You mean to tell me that leading congression Democrats aren't wanting to cut defense spending, aren't wanting to pass restrictive gun laws, aren't drumming up support for the Fairness Doctrine, aren't getting rid of the secret ballot to please their union contributors, aren't going to push through the Freedom of Choice Act, and aren't using the socialist bailout bill as an excuse to pass more socialist bailouts?  Do you mean to tell me that giving "tax cuts" to people that don't pay taxes isn't socialist?

Sure, people need to check things out, and they need to not act like whackos, but actually doing research and pointing out all of the above terrible policies that Obama and/or leading Democrats are planning to push through is perfectly reasonable.

Negative messaging is important in politics.  Barack Obama tries to protray himself as a centrist, reasonable tax-cutter, and it is up to the right to expose his rhetoric for what it is, and to contrast his stated positions with his past and with past positions advocated by his advisors.

Pulling out the broad brush

Ok , let's just lump the less than credible Obama charges (i.e. the alleged Kenyan birth certificate; nice rabbit hole, guys) with the observed standard operating practices of the Left ( stuffing ballot boxes-see WI and WA State 2004). Nice way to make all crtiicism of the Left suspect. Then we can go back to being nice, well mannered country club Republicans of the pre-Gingrich era and we can have a civil discussion about how much socialism we are willing to accept ; since if the discussion isn;t civil; the FCC will shut it down. 

I don;t know if Obama succeeds into turning America into a a large mutlicultural Sweden; but even in dark blue CT I am not succumbing to what the Left eagerly desires from menand women  of free will. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stockholm_syndrome

Speaking from the center

I want your IDEAS. They're valuable things. Leave the paranoia, and the unsubstantiated charges, FAR AWAY.

Do you mean to tell me that giving "tax cuts" to people that don

't pay taxes...

 

I've had 1 economic course in college. Yes, this is sound economic policy. Far better than the raising of the minimum wage.

And it is also a policy in your self interest. 70% of our economic demand comes from consumers. Giving the money out only to those who 'pay taxes...' -- doesn't everyone pay Social Security taxes? (toss me a link, i'm actually interested).

Sure, perhaps it's better

Sure, perhaps it's better than raising the minimum wage, but do you honestly believe that Democrats are not going to raise the minimum wage on top of this?  And is it not obvious that the Democrats are just giddy for a spending spree, with everyone calling for a new New Deal?  The New Deal was the worst thing that's ever happened to this country and the left is clamoring for Obama to double down.

Giving a "tax cut" to someone and saying it's their Social Security should mean that they don't get Social Security later in life.  It doesn't.  So they're not getting back Social Security taxes.  They're getting handouts.  And yes, obviously some people already pay negative income tax because of various tax credits, but when you are expanding the welfare base to include 40% of the population just to buy votes, that's a little ridiculous.  Yet those people will essentially have no vested interest in the federal government.  While I was going through college, I never felt like I had a right to bitch about where tax dollars were going because all of mine were refunded.  Why should poor people give a shit about the bailout?  It's not their tax dollars.  It's just a redistribution of the wealth of rich people to other rich people. 

I had 2 economics courses in college!

that makes you twice as smart as me ;-)

I hope that they don't raise the minimum wage during a depression. Fine by me if they raise it at the real rate of inflation -- that harms no one. Businesses love getting a free lunch, but Costco's policies have shown that free lunches aren't always the best deal.

Heh.

"However, 23% of people in Texas believe otherwise. They believe he's a muslim because this is what we tell them."

Do you realize how few people this is.  More people think 9/11 was an inside job.  More people think Kennedy was killed by the CIA.  More people think raising the minimum wage doesn't create unemployment.

But you don't see the media self-flaggelating over those facts.  Face it, 30% or so of Americans don't follow the news much.  So when the news continually berates the rest of us who know Obama is not Muslim, it doesn't help.  It just reminds us how much they consider it their job to help him instead of report the news.  They aren't ashamed about people misunderstanding basic economics or whether 9/11 was committed by terrorists instead of the Bush administration.

But fundamentally your concern seems odd to me because the left mastered this effort.  For 8 years, they have argued for impeachment for made up crimes.  They have attacked non-stop the character of the President based on many, many falsehoods.  And it worked.  It turned people against him.  

Obama in this campaign used spanish language ads that made McCain out to be the next Tancredo despite McCain's actual views.  He won 70% of the Hispanic vote.  It worked.

Like negative ads, we may hate them but they are effective.  And until they stop being effective, I doubt we will stop seeing them.

what i love are

People who post on how we need to get their "neighbours" to vote Republican by "moving to the centre" and "making peace with organized labour". Yep. McCain was on their ballot. Not

Sorry, mate. You are either drinking Molson's or driving on the Left if you are posting comments in non-American English.  Sign up for the Gordon Brown campaign if you are so inclined.

Bananas!

Nice post!

I am a moderate and an independent and this post is just what I have been telling my GOP friends and family.  Stop acting like kooks and actually wait for Obama to make a legislative push before you cast aspersions.

As soon as someone tells me how they believe he is a muslim, or anything else of similar inanity, every other thing coming out of their mouth is white noise.  They could literally buzz like static and it would mean the same thing to me.

If Franken wins (or in the case of Washington State) I'll tell the right-wing people who mouth off the same thing I told my liberal sister and mother after 2000: It's done, deal with it.  Both sides had arguably sound cases in FL in 2000, just as both sides are making legal arguments in MN.  Once the court rules, start thinking about 2010.

You would have a better chance of attracting voters like me.

Terry

Terry speaks for many of us!

 I agree with Terry and with this post. The far right of the republican party and their pundits look like an angry paranoid mob ready to hang anybody different from themselves (Salem, anybody?)  and embrace any negative assertion said about the other candidate with zero regards for fact. The party has little credibility at this point and I for one, I'm a republican that voted for Obama because of it.

Agreed

The hysteric paranoia is high up there on the list of "Reasons I didn't vote Republican".

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I'll add to this some other observations (either from dkos or 538, don't ask me where my memory comes from!): people don't "lock in" their partisanship until they vote multiple times (two or three). So we're looking at a span of anywhere between 4 to about 12 years, in which someone makes up their political mind.

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