I put this comment up in response to Patrick's article. I felt it should also be a post. Here is my take on the Ogo signature story.
There is a lot of misinformation out on the internets about this story. Some even lists Jim as an airline pilot which he never was. So here's how the signature process works in Massachusetts and why I feel confident that Jim will have over 10,000 signatures at the end of the day.
Campaigns have about 2 months to gather the raw signatures necessary for ballot access. It is adviseable to garner twice as many signatures as necessary to withstand the inevitable non-certifiable signatures.
Signatures for a candidate are only certifiable if they come from voters enrolled in the candidates party or unenrolled voters what we here in Massachusetts call independents.
The signatures are turned in to town and city halls for verification of the signatures. During that process names that are either illegible, not of the requisite party registration, or are note enrolled as a voter at all are disqualified. The town clerks are supposed to use an on-line system from the Secretary of the Commonwealth's office to register the signatures in a central location. This is the system that shows 9918 signatures.
The town clerks have until a specified date, in this case May 27, 2008 at 5pm to certify the signatures. The law states they must certify it does not state they must enter the signatures into the electronic system to my knowledge. Routinely the signature count in the system is lower than the actual number of signatures verified. It was so in 2002 on a congressional campaign I worked on.
Then one week after the town clerks are supposed to finish signature certification the nomination papers are due at the Secretary of the Commonwealth's office. During that time a candidate or his team may contest that uncertified signatures are valid, and often will win the challenges upon second looks.
For two reasons I am confident that Jim Ogonowski will gain over the 10,000 signatures required for ballot access.
1) the fact that there are signatures from towns that did not use the Secretary of the Commonwealth's system for certification. I have been assured by the campaign as was the Boston Globe that the number will bring them over the threshold.
2) the campaign has been challenging uncounted signatures at town and city halls statewide and have been adding to their count. A count that is not being updated in the electronic system.
For those reasons I am confident that Jim Ogonowski will have ballot access. Do I wish the process would have been easier, yes. But he'll be on the ballot in short order and this will be behind him.