HouseGuru's blog

With the empire state today in the news that Gov. Paterson is ordering all state agencies to recognize gay married couples from other states, I think it's the proper time to pause for a second and see where NY republicans are hading and why they need your help.

This blog's main focus is on races for the United States House of Representatives and this post has everything to do with house races as the other posts. Why? The magic word is "RIDISTRICTING". NY is poised to lose after the 2008 census two more House seats (they lost 2 seats in 2002 as well). Redistricting is a process between the Governors, State Assembly (House) and the State Senate.

In 2002 when NY State lost two House seats, Do to the republican majority in the State Senate there was an agreement between republican and democrats that each party loses one seat. After losing two special elections this cycle SD 7 in Long Island and SD 48 in upstate NY the republicans now hold a 2-seat majority in the senate (32-30). It's interesting to point out that the only good thing that might come out for republicans from Gov. Spitser's downfall, might be after the 2008 elections if the republicans lose only one seat in the senate it would be 31-3. Before Spitser left Lt. Gov. Paterson would have been the deciding vote and voted with the democrats and given them a 31- 31 majority, now with Joe Bruno as acting Lt. Gov. the republicans would still be in charge in the state senate.

The Republican Party in NY is in shambles and I can't understand why in the world they are bringing in to NYC for their annual fundraising event tonight, Vice President Cheney, Cheney in NY could be for a candidate a political death. The only time I might find myself in agreement with Congressman Wexler (D-FL 19) is that Cheney should be impeached. But I have a different reason, my reason is, so he shouldn't hurt the GOP candidates like some think he did in MS 1 and what he would do in NY. (I would like to point out that the Republican fundraising machine now sends the Vice President mostly to raise funds for state parties so individual candidates aren't associated with him but the state party has the financial advantage to help their local candidates.

The republicans are trying what they could with putting some safe democratic seats into play and trying to win back some lost seats they have actually recruited some great candidates (moderates) but it looks like an uphill battle for the Republicans to hold the State Senate. You all out there take a look at your local State House and State Senate candidate because in the next few years they will decide the future of congress.

On the House races front in NY. The race for NY 26 (Tom Reynolds) is getting ugly on the democratic side, with a 4th democrat announcing a run for the seat and one of them is a self-financer so there would be lot money spent on this race.

Some hope for the GOP is coming from soon to be former Congressman Tom Reynolds. When he announced his retirement it was rumored that he would take over the NY State GOP and recently he met with NYC mayor Michael Bloomberg about helping out the GOP so it shows that he might be looking in to it.

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