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What We Can Learn From Howard Dean
The Nation has a profile on Howard Dean that's well worth reading.
Money Graf:
A few months later the state chairs asked Dean and the other contenders for DNC chair to give $200,000 a year to each state party. Dean enthusiastically embraced and enlarged the plan en route to easily winning the DNC race and gave every state the resources to hire at least three or four organizers and access to a high-tech database of voters, which became the twin cornerstones of the fifty-state strategy. Under Dean, battlegrounds like Ohio still took priority, but every state got something. That might not sound like much, but it was practically a revolution within the Democratic Party, which tended to view the DNC as a PR agency and ATM for Congress and/or the White House. "We had a great building and no debt," Dean says, referring to the work of his predecessor, the high-flying Clintonite Terry McAuliffe. "But there was essentially no technological infrastructure and no political infrastructure of any worth." The states, by and large, had been left to fend for themselves.
As someone who was skeptical about Dean, I'm surprised how successful he's been. That said, there are certain lessons I think we need to learn from this moving forward:
1) COMPETE EVERYWHERE - This is the most important lesson we need to internalize. That's why I wrote my controversial blog post about San Francisco. Woody Allen says 80% of success is showing up and he's largely right. Where Dean dispatched organizers (sidenote: I still HATE that term; any alternatives?) to Indiana and Alaska, we should dispatch organizers to Maine and Wisconsin with the goal of electing Republicans at the state and local level while hoping to pick up the occasional House or Senate seat.
It's important to physically show up and ask people for their vote. I have a family member who is a VERY Conservative Republican Redneck Bitter Clinger who lives in John Murtha's district. This guy votes the straight Republican ticket EXCEPT for John Murtha. Why does he vote for Murtha? He votes for Murtha because every 6-8 months Murtha shows up at the bar he hangs out at and talks to him about the state of world affairs and the guy just likes Murtha personally. If John Murtha can do this, why can't we pick off some Dems doing roughly the same thing?
In 2009, there will be a Governor's race in New Jersey. With the economy tanking, Governor John Corzine wil eventually raise taxes. Unfortunately for him, New Jersey has a history of tax revolts. This gives us an opportunity, but we have to start organizing for it now.
I live in Austin, TX. We have a House seat here I'm convinced is winnable. I'll address this in more detail later.
2) Nuts can still do Nuts and Bolts - It wasn't just The Scream. As anyone who remembers his 2004 Presidential campaign can attest, Dean frequently made colorful remarks. As DNC chair, that didn't matter. Dean's responsiblity was strictly electoral, he didn't have any role in shaping public policy.
On our side, that means reaching out to the Ron Paul crowd. They've shown that they have a knack for online politics and they've been successful. While I find their views on Foreign Policy masochistic, I still agree with them on more issues than not. Why not bring them aboard in a more systematic way?
3) Apostates are OK; Grandstanding RINO's are not - While the article doesn't touch on this, another major factor in the Democrat rise was that they nominated much more conservative candidates. Democrats were willing to tolerate a few ideological apostates in order to win; they just won't tolereate those members grandstanding against their own party. We should take the same approach.
Thoughts/Suggestions?!?
- Cahnman's blog
- Login or register to post comments


Comments
Read Katon Dawson's plan
in his application for the RNC chair (it's too bad that he has that club problem or else I would support him). It's pretty similar to Dean's in scope and purpose.
Dean became very unpopular on account of his success
Any RNC chair with similar success would sufer similar results.
The key is candidate recruitment. Even now, the Left is cry bowlfuls of crocodile tears over the disproportionate gains of the blue dogs. Dean played to the middle, where the votes are.
It's either positive or negative force.
Either the Left has to screw up so badly as to shove the middle to the Right, or the Right has to appeal to the middle.
I remember, years ago, hearing an interview with Kenny Rodgers. They asked him to what did he attribute his success. He said that he consistently offended as few people as possible. As long as you don't ofend people, they're willing to give you a second chance.
The Right has become too confrontational.
So has the Left, of late. That's an opportunity.
Be the diplomat. Let the Left gun down any dissenters, and soon, everyone will be on your side.
That's the way it goes.
Demographics helped dean, hurt Republicans
Given the changing demographics of the U.S., more districts have become friendly to Democratic candidates. The Democrats know that there are at least 100 districts where the Democrats will win no matter how the Republicans run. However, the Repulbicans have few districts where they dominate so much that the Democrats do not bother to run a candidate. IN addition, the massive failures of the Bush ADministraiton have denied many issues to future Republican candidates.
Don't Buy It
I've never found this Demographic argument compelling. In 2004, when people sliced and diced the elctorate to come up with bogus democgraphic arguments, they pointed out that Republicans won 97 of the 100 fastest growing counties in America. This was, of course, supposed to lead to the fabled "permanent majority."
This time around, many people are making the same mistake to the benefit of Democrats. While the feat they accomplished this year was impressive, there are many reasons to wonder if the Obama coalition will stick together over the long run. Will Union Members bolt if BHO sells his soul to the Green Mafia? Will Wall Street bolt when Obama raises taxes? Will Under-30's show up to vote if they see something bright and shiny on their way to the polling place? While the possibilities are endless, they collectively caution us against extrapolating too far from a single data point.
Finally, it's important to remember that 2008 was a national wave election; we underperformed among EVERYBODY. This reflects a broad national consensus on the issues of the day, not an underlying shift in the electorate. The good news is that the issues of the day will change.
Republicans ignored demographics in predicting majorities
The idiots who thought that the Republicans could be a permanent majority were politically correct fools who refused to ackowledge that the vast majority of non-whites always vote for the Democrats. The Republican Party was dependent on the idea that blacks and Hispanics do not turn out to vote as well as whites. Now in 2006 and 2008 black vote has begun to approach the white vote and states like Florida and Virginia are now blue states.
There are over 100 Congressional districts that the Republicans have zero chance of winning. IN most of them a Republican does not even bother to run. In two consecutive Congressional races the Democrats have not lost a single seat. and 2010 will probably make it three in a row.
Demographics have made it impossible for the Republicans to ever be the majority part again in California and eventually TExas will become a blue state due to immigration and high Hispanic birth rates.
The Democrats have always known that demograpnics are on their side. The incompetence of the Bush ADministration has just made the Republican collapse happen faster by alienating white collar suburban whites.
Anyone who thinks that a candidate like Palin can get back any demographic group is a fool.. Do you think Hispanics, blacks, jews, gays, white professionals are going to vote for a college drop out whose kids are too stupid to go to college?
Superdestroyer is a not-very bright racist
who should be ignored. I know that is harsh, and that personal attacks are always off-putting. However, look at the drivel he has written here before telling me off.
keeping telling yourself that minorities are really conservative
NextRightNando
I see you are from the Karl Rove school where if the Republicans will just pander to blacks and Hispanics enough, that they will vote for the Republicans. That even when polls show that over 60% of Americans want an end to race based quotas, minority set asides, and affirmative action, you still believe that Republicans will ever be able to win minority votes with the proper number of quota hires, minority set asides, and affirmative action.
I guess you still expect people like Jennifer Gratz, a middle class white, to keep voting for Republicans when Republicans keep supporting the racial spoils system that kept Ms. Gratz out of the University of Michigan and that violated Ms. Gratz's civil rights (as was ruled by the Supreme Court).
How did all of the pandering to minorities that John McCain did work out. Did attenting La RAza forums help in getting Hispanic votes. Did supporting open borders and unlimited immigration help John McCain? Did refusing to say one negative statement about any raical spoils program help John McCain get more of the Hispanic, black, or Asian vote.
I guess in your world, any white who is not willing to tolerate violations of civil rights and discriminations is a racist. But how can any political party call themsleves conservative and for smaller goverment when they are willing to tolerate separate and unequal race based standards?
I'm opposed to race-based quotas
I'm also opposed to the sort of racist blinkered stupidity you displayed here .
Palin is a college graduate
Sarah Palin is a college graduate. She earned a BS in journalism from the University of Idaho in 1987.
Only one of her children is old enough to attend college and he is serving his country in Iraq. I think it is inappropriate to suggest without evidence that he has yet to attend college because he is "too stupid".
nu, so you want a war?
who with?
the asymetry of the media has an effect.
The MSM are loathe to go looking for or promote Democrats who break ranks on a major issue. Only exception I can think of is Joe Lieberman on Iraq. So a Childers or a Shuler can play to the locals on guns and God and then vote down the line in DC for the rest of San Fran Nan's agenda. See "tree falling in forest".....
On the other hand, the quickest way to become a perceived DC player in the eyes of the media is for a Republican to take off against his leadership or against conservatives. Sadly, we have a lot of narcissists who love the attention and play along. And I don;t expect the sad saga of John McCain, turned on by the press when he might actually have a shot at defeating a Democrat, to impress our grandstanders.
I think the media loves 'bipartisanship'
which is really weakwilled compromise on all sides. I'd rather see both sides taking the same position, essentially telling America what they need to hear.
The difference is that Democrats really don't generally criticize other democrats. Listen to Tester about the auto bailout "My constituents are sick of bailouts" -- nothing in it about how stupid the democratic majority is to vote for a bailout again.
Examine Ron Paul's Internet Efforts
You bring up many valid points here, especially regarding the campaign of Ron Paul. There was a widespread grassroots effort on the internet (and somewhat on talk radio) for months that led to some record-breaking fundraising results. In fact, for some time, Ron Paul was the top internet candidate as far as the video and social networking sites went, especially before the Democratic primary battle really heated up in early 2008. This was more of an authentic grassroots phenomenon than those of the other candidates, as Ron Paul lacked the advantages of mainstream media support, huge corporate donations and Hollywood star endorsements (even months before announcing his candidacy).
This is definitely an approach to consider, especially seeing as Barack Obama is going to continue to use technology during his presidency in new innovative ways, such as the new iPhone app for his site change.gov. This is a newly set standard that the right needs to acknowledge and implement for the future.
Alternative to "Organizer"
As an alternative term to "Organizer", I've thought of pulling something from my own background of software development: "Developer" ...?
Go LOCAL
To validate Cahnman.... yes - yes - yes.
GO Local - Compete everywhere - Work the locals - Increase funds - Develop and Support new Candidates - Win the Counties and States... while the dems struggle with 'their mess' in Washington.
GO Local - We are already starting in Northeast Wisconsin . We were up against a 'perfect storm' in 2008. But 2010 and 2012 will be different when we effectively message our principles to the middle of the roaders.
Let's go.
Good Point.
That said, if you want this strategy to work in Wisconsin, can you talk Paul Ryan into Running for Senate?
We shouldn't fall into the
We shouldn't fall into the trap of presuming that Dean's 50-state strategy worked. It may have, but we also have plenty of reasons to think that this was just a really tough couple of years for the GOP.
Luck is oppertunity meeting prepardness.
Dean was vilified by many of his own party for the 50 state strategy (if I'm not mistaken, I believe there was an attempt to kick him out.) - to say nothing of the Republicans. But without that strategy, the victories 2006 and 2008 would never have happened.
If they followed the DLC/Clinton/rahm emanuel theory of 50+1, they might not have taken over congress in 2006.
Recipe for Republican decline
"3) Apostates are OK; Grandstanding RINO's are not"
Part of Dean's strategy is to embrace local "blue dog" candidates who do not "agree on every issue". Republicans demanding ideological purity will narrow their base and never win a majority. Colin Powell (your Grandstanding RINO) is a case in point. He's conservative and loyal. He objected to Republican sleaze (in the youtube clip you linked to) and incompetence. If fair play and competence make you inelligable to be a Republican, you'll have a whole party full of Cheneys and Brownies. Good luck with that.
Did You Read My Post?
I specifically said it was ok to have candidates and officeholders who differ from the party on a few issues; I even highlighted Mark Kirk as an example of someone who does this in an acceptable way.
When was the last time you saw Mark Kirk go on TV and bash the Republican party?
As for Colin Powell's so-called loyalty, all I have to say on that topic is that he could have made the CIA leak case go away with a five minute press conference. Instead, he chose to cover up misconduct at his department to the president at who's pleaure he allegedy served. That's a strange definition of loyalty.
Colin Powell took a bullet
Colin Powell took a bullet for the team when he gave that presentation to the UN that was full of what Bush likes to call "bad intelligence". That's loyalty Bush didn't earn.
As for the CIA leak, why do you think Powell knew anything about it or that it came from his organization? It came from the Vice President's office.
Not Exactly.
Actually, moron, the leak came from the State Department, specifically Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage (Powell's best friend).
Bob Novak, for whom I used to work, addressed this in his autobiography.
Get your facts straight.
Exactly what makes Powell conservative?
I can't name a single issue he's been conservative on ever, particularly on foreign policy (Skocroft may be many things but a conservative he is not, and Powell's a Skocroft boy through and through). Oh, and I'd hardly say Powell was objecting to "sleeze". He's a very effective bureaucratic fighter who managed to play the victim for large portions of the media and so cement his reputation as a "good Republican". Even in Gulf 1, Powell was partially responsible for leaving Saddam in power, which is hardly a ringing endorsement.
Can you tell me what conservative foreign policy is?
I'd like to hear your definition.
Hey, Superdestroyer, I have an idea...
Maybe you should, ya know, actually meet some people who are, ya know, not caucasian Because that might help with that not knowing what the crap you're talking about problem you're having. I love the assumption that Hispanics are (A)all the same, (B) all vote Democrat and (C) all want to soak the government for money. Not so much actually; Puerto Ricans, Dominicans, Mexicans and Cubans all have very different voting profiles, and the most reliably Democrat voting-block for the Dems among these communities is Puerto Ricans, who are, news flash, not immigrants. As for the African-American community; since we haven't tried running serious conservative candidates in these districts very often over the past forty years how exactly would we know? Time was when "everybody" knew the black vote was solidly Republican; oddly enough that's changed, and it can change back. Oh, and if you really think middle-class whites are going to vote (social) Democrat because they don't like the Republicans trying to expand their base, you're insane. As I recall a pretty substantial portion of middle-class white voters pulled the lever for that guy in the presidential race who's not exactly Arian industry standard and all...
A.J., unlike most Republicans, I have been around non-whites
A.J.
Micheal Steele was one of those black Republicans who was suppose to make inroads into the blacks community. IN that, Steele was a total failure. See his runs for Lt. Governor and Senator. In addition, look at the black candidates in Penn. and Ohio, once again,they were total failures in attracting black voters. Most blacks have probably never voted for a Republicans in the life and are not about the start. Republicans like President Bush can offer set aside contracts, visit HBU's, and pander all day long and over 90% of blacks will still vote for any Democratic no matter how corrupt.
Cubans are the only Hispanic group that vote close to 50% for Republicans. Yet, elected Republican cubans are much more liberal that elect white Republicans. The average Republican cuban is more liberal than the average blue dog Democrats.
Hispanics support high taxes on the middle class and rich because they do not see themsleves as middle class and believe that whites will pay the taxes that will pay for government programs that benefit them.