2012 election

So, Where Do We Go From Here?

If the passage of the horrible budget compromise sellout fiasco hasn’t got your goat, nothing will. I don’t know how the ‘so called’ Republican leadership is going to be able to lead the party, having lost the respect of the very people who put them in office.

If I didn’t know better, I’d be inclined to think that the Republicans were in cahoots with the DeMarxists. Or maybe I don’t know better. They’d sure have a hard time refuting it, given the craven political cowardice that they displayed before the country and the world.

“It was the best deal we could get”. We heard this repeated almost as many times as we’ve heard the ‘Anointed One’ bloviate. (Bloviate: To speak at length, especially in an inflated or empty way). That’s our president, okay. Unfortunately, it would appear that our leadership, our Republican leadership, has been playing understudy to the Bloviator-in-Chief.

It’s an absurdity beyond measure. The Constitutional Patriots that we elected and sent to the nation’s capital to do the will of the (now) seventy per cent of the American people who do not want to see the debt increased at all have been ignored by a weak, cowardly leadership… afraid of their own shadows.

My good friends over at the Patriot Action Network have published some nifty lists, showing just exactly who voted against the expressed will of the American people. Now, I’m not advocating just throwing these folks out with the trash, as much as some of them so richly deserve, and neither are the good folks over at PAN. They’ve listed the representatives who are going to be holding town hall meetings during this congressional ‘vacation’. (Gee… I wish I could afford a vacation). I wouldn’t want to be in some of these people’s shoes when the grilling starts. There are going to be some very pointed questions asked, and no doubt the continued tenure of many of these pols will hang on their answers.

The anger and sense of betrayal out here is palpable. It’s difficult to wrap your mind around the magnitude of the betrayal of the sworn leadership of our party. They actually came off of this debacle looking exactly like they were at the beck and call of the ‘Benighted One’.

Don’t let the Lame Stream and the Marxist agitprop organs discourage or disillusion you. This upcoming election is going to be a much bigger wipeout for the communists than last November was, and they know it. This upcoming election is going to be the most vicious trench-fight in American political history and you have to be prepared for it.

For you patriots who are looking for a home, the Patriot Action Network is the right place to start. Approaching 90,000 members nationwide, the network is bringing like-minded citizens together to defeat the Marxist monster that is destroying our country and our way of life. Once again, there are millions and millions of folks just like us. United we cannot be defeated. United we stand.

Semper Vigilans, Semper Fidelis

© Skip MacLure 2011

David Plouffe And The Hallucinogenic Pipe Dream.

I’ve been wondering if that paragon of White House fable fabrication may be on lysergic acid… obviously slipped into his cornflakes by a stealth Tea Party type bent on destroying the Wrong House narrative.

The spin just won’t fly any more. We keep hearing the misadministration’s grandiose statements, just chock full of loaded and misleading terminology. No matter how many times they bleat their Marxist diatribe, no matter how often they disguise their true intent with the language of obfuscation… nothing but nothing will put lipstick on this pig.

Mr Plouffe has announced, “People will not be voting based on the unemployment figures in 2012″. Excuse me while I say, “What?” What universe spawned people like Plouffe and the legion of Obama apologists? Wait! That must be the answer. It’s an alien invasion (another one) and they’ve taken over the administration… lock, stock and vacation schedule.

Eight million jobs lost since the Anointed One assumed his throne. I heard an outrageous statement by some brain-damaged hack that new layoffs had virtually come to a halt. This dude hasn’t been out to California lately, has he? We’re still shedding jobs and businesses at a frightening rate. He threw that desperate thread out there as a ‘comforting indicator’ of the ‘recovery’. Excuse me? I should do an entire article on that alone… great title opportunity, too… “The Recovery That Barack Built”.

Somebody convinced that poor boob that the government’s carefully massaged math was something other than pure fantasy. I guess we can’t be too harsh on poor old David, either… he’s got plenty of company.

Here it is, David. This upcoming election will very much hinge on employment… or far more likely, the lack of. You and the other minions of the Darkside are about to meet the American people… and we’re really sick and tired. But, far more than that, we’re mad… we’re more than mad… the undercurrent in the country is rage.

We have an enraged and highly-motivated populace who intend to see the moral, social and economic destruction stopped… and stopped now. No more compromise, no more deals.

Semper Vigilans, Semper Fidelis

© Skip MacLure 2011

Huntsman – Don’t Get Excited About This One.

Another media/establishment instant darling. This guy bears watching… but not voting for. Yesterday, we watched as former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman attempted to take on the mantle of Ronald Reagan, announcing his candidacy from the same place… in front of the Statue of Liberty, where Reagan announced his 1980 presidential run. Ronaldus Magnus this guy is not. Not even close.

His speech was bland and milquetoast. It was accommodationist blather, full of cup-half-empty assertions of how this country has lost its greatness. He then went on to remind us of our manners, and how he at least would maintain the high ground throughout this campaign. He loves and respects our president, just as he knows Barack Hussein Obama just loves this li’l old country to death, doncha know?

Okay, Governor or not, RINO platitudes or not… this man is no Conservative. The Lame Stream statist press is holding him up as their darling. It’s the same routine all over again.

Republican history has shown us repeatedly that we win when we stick to Conservative principles, and we lose when we stray into the area of ‘moderate’ Republicans. Beware the chosen of the party establishment. These bozos are working as hard against Conservatism and the Constitution as they are the opposition… maybe harder.

Harsh, you say? I think not nearly harsh enough. These so-called party kingmakers are in for a heads-up confrontation with the Constitutional Conservatives. Remember the magic formula… 60+20+20. The Conservative movement is comprised of 60% Republicans, 20% Independents… and surprise, surprise, 20% Democrat. It’s a huge, very powerful coalition.

We need leadership that is not afraid to attack Barack Obama on a personal as well as a policy level. Black, white or ‘other’, he’s only a man… and not a very clever one at that.

Semper Vigilans, Semper Fidelis

© Skip MacLure 2011

The Strength Of The Movement.

The strength of the so-called Tea Party groups has been that they are entirely the expression of the American people. They are a direct result of the danger that the country is in. It is a popular movement, driven by the will of a people who have been pushed to their limits by an oppressive regime dedicated to an alien way of life which imposes their doctrine of tyranny over every aspect of our lives.

The Patriot Movement has emerged as the heart of the Republican Party, with 60% of Republicans stating that they are Conservative. A not surprising additional 20% of Independents identify themselves as Tea Party members… bad news for the De Marxists who virtually had the independent vote to themselves in the 2008 election cycle.

This oft buried factoid has Democrat planners really concerned over the 2012 Presidential elections… it’s the independent voters who most often determine the course of any tight race in America. As if that wasn’t enough, they’re saddled with what looks like the least saleable second-term President in US history.

I predicted, even before Barack Hussein Obama was elected, that the burnish would soon fade off his shiny armor and his charger would turn to a jackass. Being right has little satisfaction when in the last two and a half years this neophyte emperor has overseen the loss of over two million American jobs and the deliberate assault on the American economy on a multitude of fronts. We all see it, we all feel it. The American mind is focused like a laser.

The Tea Party and the Independents have one more decidedly unpleasant missive for the DeMarxists that they’d just as soon you don’t know… and you won’t see in the slavish leftist media. There’s another block of Patriot Tea Party members comprising another 20%. These are Democrat votes, caught up in the Constitutional Patriot wave which is sweeping the nation. These are  disillusioned Patriotic Democrats who cannot abide what has become of their party and others for whom the name Obama has become anathema.

It’s the so-called Reagan coalition, born again out of the heart of America.

Semper Vigilans, Semper Fidelis

© Skip MacLure 2011

I Hate Weekend News Cycles.

I guess that’s why most daily columnists don’t write on weekends. Our own research indicates about 1/3 of the readership on weekends. There’s not much going on as a rule, and much of what is out there is second and third tier reporting of last week’s stuff… so I usually save material for the weekends that I normally wouldn’t write about during the week.

Recently, we’ve had a whole series of events and occurrences that have interfered with getting articles out on our intended daily schedule. Everything from work (which is a good thing these days) to my 20 year old son’s mysterious, nearly fatal disease, now completely cured, thank God. Then, within a week, raccoons in the walls of the house chewing up my DSL wires and effectively shutting us down.

So, no more raccoons (we, uh, urged them to vacate… grins), and I’ve made the switch to fiber optic which just now became available here. So, hopefully, Dee and I can get back to some sort of normalcy getting this thing out… no more exotic diseases or critter infestations for a while, thank you. Not that I have anything to complain about. I’m a cup half-full kinda guy… very grateful for what I have and very aware that there are all kinds of folks out there who are hurting very badly and have lost everything.

I’ve been watching the evolution of a revolution for the past two and almost one-half years. I’m damned proud to be a part of that revolution… pulling America back from the abyss of Marxist/Socialist penury. We won a great victory last November. We can win another huge historic election in 2012… but we have to stay focused. We can’t let the DeMarxists and their symbiotic stooges of the Lame Stream Media shunt us off on sideshow issues, which is something they are very practiced at.

Today is Memorial Day. I can see the lights on the flag monument of the Golden Gate National Cemetery from my living room windows. To me, it’s a constant reminder of the very real debt we owe to all those magnificent heroes who have given, and are giving us, everything they have to give to keep us free.

It’s up to us… you and me… and millions upon millions just like us, to ensure that the sacrifice made by millions of American Patriots is not in vain. Join us.

Semper Vigilans, Semper Fidelis

© Skip MacLure 2011

The Obama White House Scrambles To Overcome Disastrous Predictions.

Submit your narrative… they’ll take all the help they can get up there in the rarefied atmosphere of Socialist/Marxist academia, with whom our wannabe dictator has surrounded himself.

They’re witnessing a ‘dimple‘. That’s a bump in reverse for Obama, folks, despite the disgustingly pandering, slobbering headlines lauding Osama… whoops, Obama… for his ‘boldness’, ‘fearless leadership’ and ‘decisiveness’. It was really disgusting. Stated somewhat indelicately… it was enough to gag any self respecting maggot.

You’ve gotta feel for them though. It’s a real rough sell. The drive bys were calling for Obama to gain anywhere from 5% to a wildly prayerful 15%, by one cable lefty with no viewership. Then, after all the Lame Stream types had exhausted all their superlatives on Barack Hussein and each other, in the light of a more sober morning that 15% approbation for the glorious leader had become a -2, as his ratings again began to free-fall.

What this should tell us is that the American people were not fooled by all the hoopla, smoke, mirrors and utter disorganization placed on display for the American people to see… and judge. All credit went to the magnificent special operations warriors who pulled off this very dicey, very dangerous raid in the middle of what has to be considered as hostile territory, nominal ally or not.

Very little of the adulation lavished upon these nameless, faceless heroes rubbed off on poor Obama. Can’t get no respect, no how. And that is the narrative. He doesn’t have anything to run on. His every move, his every act has been a significant failure. It’s harder and harder to believe that it hasn’t been purposeful.

America has had it with being lied to and being attacked from within. Tea Party?!… They haven’t seen a Tea Party until they see what’s coming between now and 2012. You can feel the energy out there. They’re going to feel it too.

Semper Vigilans, Semper Fidelis

© Skip MacLure 2011

Stir The Soup.

There’s an old saying out there, ‘We don’t light the fire, we just stir the soup’. Last week, on the 13th, I wrote that there was a strong affinity for Donald Trump among the Patriot Movement. Apparently, some out there took this as an endorsement of Mr Trump for a presidential run. While there’s no doubt that Mr Trump would be incalculably better than the Marxist incompetent we’re trying to prevent from destroying our nation outright, it was not an endorsement of Donald Trump.

While he undoubtedly has many attributes that are badly needed by our side, he’s also going to be wearing a huge target on his back. They’ll go after him like they’ve gone after Sarah Palin and Michele Bachmann. Not that I think that Donald Trump is unable to take care of himself. As he has proven on numerous occasions, he’ll stand up and go toe-to-toe with just about anybody. The reason they’ll attack him is the same as Michele and Sarah. The reason the left is going after these two ladies is that they are absolutely terrified by them. Could you see any of the leftists debating any of these three people in any setting that wasn’t rigged by the Lame Stream Media? No, I can’t either.

The ‘Repubic’ (thank you, Mark Levin) establishment… which could be called the anal establishment, to judge by their actions if not their characters, is none too happy about them either, and would and are doing everything their warped pea-brains can cook up to discredit and marginalize anyone who threatens their stupid, hidebound, hierarchical thinking. Their way of doing things and their inability to confront Democrats for years, in anything other than losing compromise, is largely responsible for the situation we find ourselves in.

We’re sick and tired of the Republican intransigence when it comes to the Patriotic Reformation sitting on their doorsteps. These old fools have been sitting out on the sidelines lining their careers while the country went to hell under their ‘expert’ management, and are trying to get us to do much the same again.

I’m not sure how the Republican race is going to shake out. No one in their right mind will be at this stage. Besides, there’s lots of agitprop and misdirection out there as well. Easy to spot… just check out any LSM outlet. Meanwhile, keep your eye focused on the goals we have laid out… fiscal discipline, smaller constitutional government, border security, national defense.

Paul Ryan’s plan isn’t perfect, but it’s a great first step. It takes six trillion dollars out of the income stream of the US Government and out of the hands of the Marxists, which since Obama came to office are largely one and the same. We have to keep our own people from bargaining and compromising it all away. Now, that’s a crying shame.

Don’t take your eyes off of them for a second. It’s sad we have to watch our own as much, or more, than we do the enemy.

Semper Vigilans, Semper Fidelis

© Skip MacLure 2011

A riposte to Nate Silver re: the Ryan budget

Nate Silver at the NYT's 538 blog is probably 50 IQ points brighter than I am, I being a dumb suburban mick lawyer. But I think he's wrong tonight

It isn’t surprising that the House Republicans approved Paul Ryan’s budget plan, which had been endorsed by their leadership. What was more remarkable, however, was the near-unanimity of the vote: just 4 Republicans dissented, while 2 others did not vote. (Democrats voted against the proposal 189-0).

Let me quote the great philosopher Wayne Gretzky. "The secret to my success wasn't skating to where the puck was, it was skating to where I thought the puck as going to go"

If one thinks political economics is a static field, then yes, voting for a massive restructure if Medicare so as to to bring the budget into balance is a big risk.   Certaintly anyone eager to benefit from Medicare now or in the foreseeable future will be made a bit uncomfortable with the GOP with this vote. (Let's omit the bald face fact Ryan's plan grandfathers in the 55 & over crowd; the DNC will still try to scare them).

 If 2012 is a "normal" election year Nate Silver is right: the GOP has taken a big policy risk for little obvious reward. ( Of course, one might argue keeping the country solvent is its own reward).  The problem is I don't think 2012 will be a "normal" year. Moreover, if it is a "normal year", Obama probably wins a relatively easy reelection and the GOP House is on their own, ala 1996.

So, what are the likely environmental conditions for 2012?

* Higher energy costs

* A deficit exceeding $1 trillion

* Fewer employed Americans than when Obama took office. (especially in Florida & the Rust Belt)

This is not a scenario for the Democratic Party to suggest President Obama should be rewarded with more supporters in Congress. It is a scenario where voters will want a new path out of the wilderness. 

Given that situation, is is a better gamble for the House GOP to run on what amounts to continuing the status quo, or to argue they are fighting for a materiallly different alternative that promises voters better results?

I would also posit that given that most senior citizen swing voters are blue collar whites, the President's yuppie persona gets in the way of rallying opposition to Republican proposals.   Damm all those bitter clingers.

As for the swing district Republicans, the lesson of 2006 was that no matter how hard the likes of Nancy Johnson and Linc Chaffee tried to extricate themselves from Iraq, deficits & Mark Foley, the Dems pulled them back in.   Why not stand together rather than lose through division. 

In addition, I've extrapolated this post based on what I think are conservative assumptions as to energy prices and the job market. A "black swan" event will in all likilihood, demolish what is left of Obama's credibility with swing voters. 

Sometimes the biggest gamble is to try and play it safe. We are in a time of extraordinary disaffection from government institutions and economic instability.  Running a traditional incumbents platform under these circumstances is probably the worst bet of all.

VIDEO: Libertarians and Conservatives, Ad Nauseam

[Blogger's note: I didn't know that TNR couldn't embed Javascript; I will embed the video once Reason makes it available on their YouTube channel - sorry for making you click away in the meantime; at least it will pop open in a new window, and you won't lose your place.]

I have been blogging pretty exhaustively about a fissure in a traditional center-right coalition comprised of libertarians and conservatives (see here and here). The folks over at Reason have finally made video available of the three-way debate between the Cato Institute's Brink Lindsey, AEI's Jonah Goldberg (also of the National Review), and FreedomWorks' Matt Kibbe:

I've been blogging as often as possible about this ideological spat because a) as a political scientist, it's a generally interesting phenomenon to observe, particularly when set against the backdrop of the rise of the Tea Party movement, and b) the extent to which this (hopefully temporary) rift gets smoothed over will have, I believe, a significant effect on the 2012 presidential election, if not this year's midterm elections. Of course, I don't have a wealth of empirical data on hand at this point to evidence my thesis - so we'll just have to call it a hunch.

Marc Ambinder at the Atlantic is smellin' what I've been cookin' for awhile:

Economic libertarianism is the message du jour, and Pawlenty's budget cutting in Minnesota may get some attention. But really, and he and none of the sober wing candidates have figured out exactly what the non-Palin wing of the party wants. There's no way to get social conservatives on board with Palin or Mike Huckabee in the race. So who's left to help you win primaries and caucuses?

Libertarians.

They are -- they could be -- to the Republican Party what the anti-war left was to Democrats in 2003 -- the out-of-the-establishment power center that can drive the narrative of the race. How do you get the attention of libertarians without losing conservatives? You could shift positions on the war in Afghanistan, or try to fashion a more realist foreign policy. That seems to be a non-starter; the consultants for these candidates are fairly covnentional and are risk-averse. Endorse medical marijuana? Legalized gambling? Something else?

 

RightOnline Day 1 - Building Coalitions

Las Vegas is insane.

Everything I've heard about this Disneyland-for-adults is true: neon, sparkles, bells & whistles, herds (and hordes) of people, STAR WARS slot machines (pictures later)...I will definitely have to come back here one day for purposes other than business. My friend Jon Henke (@JonHenke) and I flew from DC yesterday by way of Newark, NJ and didn't even land in Vegas until 1am PT...it was a long day, and I slept in a bit. It was easy to do in my posh suite at the Venetian, with my sunken living room and remote-controlled drapes! Life is hard.

The first panel I attended today featured Todd Thurman (@toddthurman) of the Heritage Foundation, Brian Faughnan (@brianfaughnan) of Liberty Central, and Alexa Moutevelis (@alexashrugged) of the RNC, all moderated by my Liberty Pundits co-blogger Melissa Clouthier (@melissatweets). The panel focused on connecting grassroots activists in the field to policy shops in DC - like Heritage, Cato, or other think tanks - as well as to communications resources and activism training like those offered by FreedomWorks or the Leadership Institute.

Probably one of the better bits of information passed along during the discussion was the notion that activists in the field shouldn't be shy about engaging DC-based resources. Yes, DC is busy. Yes, DC occasionally has a heightened, over-inflated sense of self. But DC is also sitting on piles of your cash, looking for a way to return value back to you. So don't be shy about sending emails or picking up the phones to ask for help.

But more than just connecting grassroots activists to DC to get talking points and policy papers to support candidates back home, the panel focused on connecting activist to activist using technology - that means Twitter, Facebook, the blogosphere, and other online resources. The RNC announced some nascent, new API and they are transitioning all of their online tools to an open-source platform...the API is apparently already available for developers...more on this later. Despite this move to make RNC resources more available to more people, there was some grumbling in the audience that the RNC fails (on occasion) to return voter vaults back to activists on the ground once they pull out of town following a race. This makes people currently involved with components of the Tea Party movement a bit reticent to cooperate with the RNC in Washington.

After a few questions, and after some dancing around the issue, I asked the panel: is there a sense, going into this November's elections (and subsequently in 2012) that the Right should be worried about the Left exploiting a growing rift between conservatives and libertarians? If so, how can we, or more appropriately, should we be doing anything differently than the suggestions you've all made here today to, strengthen the coalition between these two groups?

The consensus from the panel seemed to be that there's not really any danger this year - libertarians and conservatives agree in principle that the prevailing issue of this election is the economy, stupid. Throwing the bums out is priority #1 in 2010. But the funnel of candidates is currently full, and the new Congressional primary begins, effectively, on November 3 - it is possible that infighting on the Right might get nastier in 2011 and 2012.

Todd Thurman told me after the panel "We just need to make sure we're talking, and that we're sticking together in areas where we agree." I agree in principle with this strategy, but only inasmuch as it's a first step. Because there is potential for infighting to become nastier on the Right as we approach 2012, it's important to talk about areas where we disagree too - libertarians remain (rightly) mistrustful of the Big Government GOP - the same GOP that is trying to ride the Tea Party Tiger into new majorities this fall. Ignoring our differences now can be our foil later.

Cross-posted at Liberty Pundits and Intelligence, Please...

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