Chris Dodd; mortgage bailout

Ron Paul says GM and Ford are next

An interview by Luke Mullins with Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) on the gigantic financial bailout that the government is preparing to undertake.

Some excerpts from the interview:

 

MULLINS: What's your take on this huge financial bailout? 
 

DR. PAUL: "It's more of the same. More debt and more inflation and more pressure on the dollar. Ultimately, although the markets are responding very favorably at the moment, I think it is going to be devastating to the dollar and to our financial situation in this country.

 

MULLINS: But don't we need to get these toxic assets off banks' balance sheets?
 

DR. PAUL: Sure, they need to be removed. Somebody needs to suffer the consequences [but] not the taxpayer. Everybody knows that they have to be removed. They are priced too high. The assets don't have real value—some have zero and some have 10 cents on the dollar.

The people who had been making profits for all these years and dealing in all of this debt creation and derivatives—that now is becoming unwound—are claiming that it would be so painful if somebody went bankrupt and therefore we have to put so much burden on the taxpayer and on the dollar because the alternative is worse. But quite frankly, if they destroy the dollar and the dollar system, then they have a much bigger problem that they are going to have to deal with and it would be the collapse of the whole international monetary system—which is conceivable.

 

MULLINS: So instead of having taxpayers buy the bad debt, the market should take care of it by itself?
 

DR. PAUL: Sure, prices need to go down. Bad debt needs to be eliminated. The taxpayer ought to be protected. Taxes ought to be lowered...We are following the same routine that we did in the Depression, and that is artificially try to keep prices up. People were starving in the Depression and the only thing they did was try to keep wages artificially high and keep food prices high. We are doing the same thing now—we are trying to keep housing prices high. Low prices for houses mean poor people could buy a house. This is the most important part of a free market economy and that is free market pricing. Without free market pricing, the market can't work. And this is in a way a major effort to price fix.

 

MULLINS: So you think the government should not have bailed out any companies during this crisis?

DR. PAUL:  That would have been the best thing. It would have been painful, but housing prices would have come down sharper and faster, and it would have been over by now. But this whole idea of price fixing—that's what they are doing—has been trying to keep housing prices up and trying to stimulate home building. Well, if you have 100 percent more homes than the market really wants, you can't keep prices up and you can't stimulate home building. If the prices go down, then people will go out and buy homes again. So they should allow the liquidation of debt.

Before the Depression, [the government] generally allowed these kinds of problems to unwind. They were very severe. They would last six months or a year—a lot of liquidation of debt would be wiped off the books. And then it would go back to work again. What we've been doing now—especially since 1971—is preventing the real liquidation of the malinvestment and the excess of debt . . . If this process continues, we're going to own General Motors and Ford, then we will have to own the airlines. We are socializing our country without even a vote by the Congress. It's a horrible situation.

  

MULLINS: Will this bailout stabilize the crisis?

DR. PAUL:  I personally don't think so. It might be temporary, but no, there is much more involved. I mean, we are talking about trying to unwind trillions of dollars of derivatives . . . You have to get rid of all that stuff.

 

MULLINS: Will this bailout be the last?
 

DR. PAUL: No, no. This won't be the last one. There will be something else later on. But that doesn't mean you might not have a few months of a reprieve. But it will continue.

 

MULLINS: Will we have to bail out the auto makers?

DR. PAUL:  Oh I think so. We are not going to let them fail. Our policy is such that everybody gets bailed out. It's like a drug addict, they've got to take their fix. It's too tough getting off these drugs. And the drug here is easy credit. "...as long as the taxpayer gets the bill."

 ex animo

davidfarrar

The eye of the mortgage hurricane

There's an old story about some Yankee farmer along the CT shoreline who hunkered down for the 1938 hurricane and thought he had been through it. The skies cleared and the air calmed, and he pushed open the basement door to inspect the devastation. A half hour later the storm returned and he was never seen again.

We are in that storm in the subprime crisis, both economically and politically.  Right in the eye and the less prudent will think it has passed only to be swept away.   Thise people who did high fives about the wonderful bailout bill last week http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/07/30/AR2008073002950.html?referrer=emailarticle    will soon eat a whole nest worth of crow.

On the economic front, the New York Times speculated earlier this week that the second shoe in mortgage lending is about to drop. http://finance.yahoo.com:80/loans/article/105504/Housing-Lenders-Fear-Bigger-Wave-of-Loan-Defaults . Evidently the borrowers with better credit are starting to default at a higher rate. This is particularly true for the "Alt-A" borrowers  who did not submit W-2 documentation for their loans. Called "liar's loans" by many, let's say the stated income was usually what was necessary to close the loan whether the borrower really earned it or not. Many Alt-A's wre "exotic" loans which were "interest only" , and and some point the lender wants to see some principal come back.  Add to that the honest Alt-A's were heavily self-employed and often in the RE business themselves---and the loan balances are now more than the collateral--  and we have a real perfect storm out there. JPChase's James Dimon, one of the more effective financiers of this era, was dead on as saying the impact was "terrible"

Now remember that Mortgage Bailout Bill we just passed? Because FannieMae  and Freddie Mac are holding over $1 trillion in subprime exposure, it was estimated that the Feds would have to advance $25 Billion to prop them up.

I don't think that included the yet unknown exposure to failing Alt-A mortgages's we're going to see over the next 24 months   Today, Freddie Mac announced an unexpected $800 million loss as the first of the Alt-A defaults started to show up. http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080806/ap_on_bi_ge/earns_freddie_mac_14, Needless to say, Freddie's shares plunged.

So we're in for something on the real estate front akin to this    Go to fullsize image

Now for the political angle

In CT, we are now in Day 55 of the Chris Dodd Stonewall, as the Chairman of the Senate Banking Committee refuses to come clean on how he became a "Friend of Angelo"---i.e. Countrywide Financial's infamous robber baron Angelo Mozilo http://www.everydayrepublican.com/2008/08/06/dodd-watch-day-55-dick-sues-countrywide/

Evidently Dodd's early efforts to explain away being linked to an influence peddling scheme went awry    http://thenextright.com/ironman/now-that-chris-dodds-bridge-sale-has-failed. His last public statement was he would release the relevant loan documents after the Countrywide Bailout Bill passed   http://www.courant.com/news/nationworld/hc-ctdoddmortgage0725.artjul25,0,1419140.story?track=rss. Well Bush signed the miserable excuse of a bill, but we aren't even entitled to a miserable excuse from Dodd as to where his loan documents went? I presume he thought the media circus would move on and forget about this debacle

Well, there's a new sheriff in town.   Maybe.  Picture of Attorney General Richard Blumenthal

Today, CT's Democratic Attorney General, Richard Blumenthal, relented under pressure from CT Republicans and filed suit against Countrywide http://www.ct.gov/ag/cwp/view.asp?Q=420722&A=2795 http://www.courant.com/business/nationworld/ats-ap-countrywide-lawsuitaug06,0,6712837.story

At least for today, one Democrat sounds angry at what one of Chris Dodd's biggest contributors did

Blumenthal said, "Countrywide conned customers into loans that were clearly unaffordable and unsustainable, turning the American Dream of homeownership into a nightmare. When consumers defaulted, the company bullied them into workouts doomed to fail. Countrywide crammed unconscionable legal fees into renegotiated loans, digging consumers deeper into debt. The company broke promises that homeowners could refinance, condemning them to hopelessly unaffordable loans

Remember, these were the same people who offered Dodd "enhanced customer service" http://www.thenextright.com/ironman/chris-dodd-oh-what-a-tangled-web-we-weave

Perhaps Blumenthal--who is well known in CT for legal vendettas against such firms as Microsoft--will subpoena the documents Dodd refuses to produce voluntarily.

http://www.ct.gov/ag/lib/ag/consumers/countrywidelawsuit.pdf 

But it gets worse...we are reminded...

A federal grand jury has been investigating Countrywide, New Century Financial Corp. and IndyMac Bancorp Inc. — a sign that prosecutors are looking into whether fraud and other crimes might have contributed to the mortgage crisis that led to the demise of all three California-based lenders.

we might find out if Dodd under oath is more truthful than what he said about the nation's financial institutions

"At the end of my tenure on this committee, I want it to be said that the safety and soundness of our financial institutions was not weakened on my watch," Dodd said.

Chris Dodd, February 15, 2007

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/15/AR2007021501555_2.html

 

 

 

 

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