global warming

Ahhnuld's latest science fiction blockbuster

Thought I'd post this little AP story about the big Governor's Global Warming summit, where the once promising Arnold Scharzenegger joined a host of other RINO and Democrat governors in endorsing a grandious solution to the global warming problem.

Hey, what's $500 billion a year between friends?

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081120/ap_on_re_us/schwarzenegger_summit_10

Now, with the Dow in free fall and GM on the verge of shutdown, you might think there are slightly more pressing immediate problems than whether the temperature in 2050 is going up 0.2C or 0.4C?...especially for the Governors of the epicenter of the financial crisis (NY) and the auto crisis (MI)....naw, got to make sure the media get their "green" moment while their constituents lose all their green.  

By the way, it's mid November. Tomorrow's weather forecast for central CT is a high in the 30's with snow showers http://weather.courant.com/US/CT/Meriden.html.

Central FL has a freeze warning for tonight http://www.weather.com/weather/alerts/localalerts/USFL0163?phenomena=FZ&significance=W&areaid=FLZ036&office=KJAX&etn=0014

Guess that too is an "Inconvenient truth".

What does the Canadian election tell us about the environmental debate?

Recently, there has seemed to have been a shift in the international tenor of the environmental debate. The nomination of John McCain made the Republican Party the last major center-right party in the world to embrace some sort of affirmative strategy to effect global warming. (about mid-way through the previous government, the Conservative Party of Canada switched their position, and in the last unfortunate election, the Liberal Party of Australia, a huge producer of coal, also switched their position)

At the time, there was a little victory jig. However, two things have no happened that are putting a damper on the watermelons (green on the outside, but red on the inside)

First, the Drill Here, Drill Now movement in the United States has gotten international attention. Last month, I was at a conference of European center-right parties. People were aghast at what Newt and crew were up to. Left leaning academics who had been with Democrats told them that the hope of a Kyoto-style agreement in 2012 was understood to be over.

The second is likely to be the Canadian election. There's a telling piece in today's Telegraph-Journal, a Canadian paper. John Williamson, from a Canadian free-market think-tank, notes several things that came from the election:

Dreams of a carbon tax are dashed now, although few environmentalists will publicly say so. More likely, they will soon assert the messenger failed, not the carbon tax idea. But of course, we know this is bunk. The Liberals campaigned unequivocally on a revenue-neutral carbon plan to save the planet. It was soundly rejected.

The policy itself, not Mr. Dion's egg-headed intellectualism, was the political albatross. Long before the campaign was underway, the Liberal Party's own pollster was warning that the public was not buying the so-called Green Shift. A leaked memo from Michael Marzolini on April 29 was unequivocal: "It was our recommendation that if a carbon tax shift absolutely must be part of our platform - and we do not recommend this at all - that it only be part of a larger environmental strategy involving actual popular proposals." His forecast: "Making a carbon tax shift the key plank in our appeal to the electorate is a vote loser, not a vote winner."

A British journalist getting a briefing on the election got the message:

At a breakfast sponsored last week by the Canadian High Commission in London to discuss the election results, one British journalist astutely observed that the rejection of the tax by voters of a G7 nation could have consequences for the climate change debate. Despite all the scare-mongering from the United Nations and hand-wringing about an alleged "scientific consensus," Canadians nonetheless refused to swallow the tax. If courteous Canadians (that's how Europeans view us) are willing to say "no thanks" to elite opinion-makers, might not voters in other democracies?

With respect to paying more for energy, Canada found its voice in the global warming debate. It certainly wasn't the one environmentalists envisioned when the carbon tax was proposed.

One should also point out that the clarity of this message cannot be understated. If not for the economic troubles that emerged late in the Canadian campaign, the Conservatives would likely have won a majority, potentially reducing the Liberal party to a third-party status.

Global Warming Produces New Oil Boon | The Minority Report

Well, Well, Well Hollywood couldn’t have written a more ironic twist to the potential outcome of global warming. While Man-made global warming alarmists are cowering in retreat from the recent rash of scientists and data(pdf) disputing and disproving their positions (like the fact that sea levels have been declining, not rising, for the last two years), an unintended yet very welcome circumstance has presented itself.

For many years Oil companies, geologists and surveyors have speculated that the Arctic contained vast amounts of energy resources… Now, thanks to natural cyclical warming and melting in the arctic it’s not only possible to begin exploring The United States Geological Survey said Wednesday that The Arctic may contain as much as a fifth of the world’s yet to-be-discovered oil and natural gas reserves. For a podcast interview about the USGS Circum-Arctic Resource Appraisal Click Here

The area north of the Arctic Circle has an estimated 90 billion barrels of undiscovered, technically recoverable oil, 1,670 trillion cubic feet of technically recoverable natural gas, and 44 billion barrels of technically recoverable natural gas liquids in 25 geologically defined areas thought to have potential for petroleum.

The U.S. Geological Survey assessment released today is the first publicly available petroleum resource estimate of the entire area north of the Arctic Circle.

These resources account for about 22 percent of the undiscovered, technically recoverable resources in the world. The Arctic accounts for about 13 percent of the undiscovered oil, 30 percent of the undiscovered natural gas, and 20 percent of the undiscovered natural gas liquids in the world. About 84 percent of the estimated resources are expected to occur offshore.

“Before we can make decisions about our future use of oil and gas and related decisions about protecting endangered species, native communities and the health of our planet, we need to know what’s out there,” said USGS Director Mark Myers. “With this assessment, we’re providing the same information to everyone in the world so that the global community can make those difficult decisions.”

Of the estimated totals, more than half of the undiscovered oil resources are estimated to occur in just three geologic provinces - Arctic Alaska, the Amerasia Basin, and the East Greenland Rift Basins. On an oil-equivalency basis, undiscovered natural gas is estimated to be three times more abundant than oil in the Arctic. More than 70 percent of the undiscovered natural gas is estimated to occur in three provinces - the West Siberian Basin, the East Barents Basins, and Arctic Alaska.

So once again these alarmists are proven wrong and to boot, it turns out that the natural, cyclical, Arctic melting has resulted in more oil and natural gas. That sure didn’t turn out the way AlGore expected it to, now did it?

Let me be perfectly clear - I’m all for conservation and preserving our planet as long as we’re not making ridiculous laws and taxes out of unproven theories backed by unmeasurable science. Self responsibility and green awareness should continue to be taught and encouraged. Also the U.S. needs to move from a petroleum based economy to a cleaner one, preferably a hydrogen based economy, but the process has to happen naturally… we should not, and will not, be scared or bullied into adopting technologies and polices that are underdeveloped and economically unfeasible!

 

Pointless: The Fight Against Global Warming

Crossposted at Right Minds

Recently, Al Gore made headlines by declaring that the world must end the use of fossil fuels for energy within ten years in order to prevent irreparable harm to the planet. According to the UK Guardian, Gore didn’t get into specifics in his speech, which was probably a good idea since the Alliance for Climate Protection (which Gore chairs) estimates that the cost of ending fossil fuel would range between 1.5 trillion and 3 trillion dollars. Gore claims that he is aware of the difficulties of this goal. He isn’t .
 
Reducing carbon dioxide by any meaningful amount is not just difficult—it is impossible. Anyone who claims differently simply has no idea of the role carbon dioxide plays in the modern world.
 
It really isn’t clear just how much carbon dioxide needs to go. Gore thinks all emissions should stop by 2018; that obviously won’t happen, even if we discover alternate energy sources which would provide for our energy needs. Gore and his alcolytles really don’t say just where the tipping point is—the emissions level in 1900 were 50 billion metric tons, and today emissions hover around 350 billion tons, but just where worldwide emissions crossed the line isn’t clear. For the sake of argument, lets assume that the salvation of the world depends on reducing greenhouse gas emissions by fifty percent. While probably actually less than Gore and company would want, that is a goal that is at least somewhat concievable.
 
And to meet even this comparatively modest goal, America, China, and Taiwan would have to completely eliminate all greenhouse gas emissions, and we still just barely reach this objective. And by America, I mean all of America—Canada and Mexico are included, along with the entirety of South America. That is what climate change advocates are up against—you could wipe two continents off the face of the earth and the problem would still exist. (Chart here)
 
Fortunately, Gore (Gore, by the way, seems to represent nearly all global warming doomsayers, so his statements usually speak for the whole movement), has a plan. By doing simple things like using environmentally friendly light bulbs, turning down the thermostat, and turning off lights when not in use, YOU can do your part to save the planet.
 
Nonsense. You could eliminate Great Britain and over 98% of carbon emissions would remain. Fighting global warming is waste of resources—if the science behind the theory is flawed, then doing so is unnecessary, if accurate, then it is futile. There is nothing we can do to affect global warming.
 
Most environmentalists would, I assume, would counter that argument by saying that when faced with a crisis of this magnitude, the least we can do is to try to stop it, even if the chances of success are slight. This is a bad idea. First, the concept of “humanity banding together to meet a near impossible challenge” only works in science fiction movies when the aliens invade Earth—it doesn’t hold up so well in real life. Second, humanity may as well be hanged for a sheep as a lamb—if the oceans will boil and the icecaps melt, we might as well preserve a decent standard of living in the process.
 
Furthermore, fighting global warming has a steep price. In Tanzania, the population can’t turn their thermostats down two degrees because they don’t have thermostats. In many South American countries, most people don’t have lights to turn off. Most of the globe remains poor in a world in which energy is mostly cheap and abundant. If Gore and his cronies get their way, energy will become immeasurably more expensive. These people will remain forever poor, victims of a war fought against an enemy that is either nonexistent or inescapable.
 
Climate change advocates should realize this fact. Taking government action to prevent global warming is more than pointless or futile—it is grossly irresponsible, and the global warming movement should consider the consequences of their policies.

 

Ad Critic: RNC Energy Ad Plays It Safe

The Republican National Committee’s new energy ad “Balance” is the party’s first real paid media attack on Obama.  Running in Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio and Pennsylvania the spot is strategically fine, if risk averse, but by trying to push too many messages at once the ad loses focus. 

Poll after poll shows energy and the economy as voters’ top concern.  So what is this ad (mostly) about?  Energy.  There’s nothing wrong with that decision, but it’s definitely the safe play.  The RNC could have made a number of strategically riskier moves with larger earned media multipliers (Rezok, Clinton style 3:00am, a straight hit piece on energy instead of a contrast, etc) and the fact that they didn’t is noteworthy. 

The main problem with this ad is that it tries to accomplish too much and blunts the effectiveness of all of its messages in the process.  In sequential order it claims:

1)  (Intro) Climate Change and energy prices are both huge problems

2)  John McCain wants to solve both these problems

3)  Which, on global warming, is a fight against his party and makes him a maverick

4)  Obama doesn't want to solve the energy crisis

5)  Which makes Obama a straight party line politician

The typical rule of thumb for a :30 spot – and most other political communications – is that voters will only absorb one or two steps in a message.  For example, “John McCain wants to solve the energy crisis” is one a one step message while “Obama doesn’t want to solve the energy crisis because he just follows the party line” is two step message.  “Balance” tries to say too much all at once and as a result, doesn’t get much of anything across. 

The Obaminee

Podcast Show Notes

The following were discussed on tonight's podcast. Click here to listen.

Barack Obama topples Hillary Clinton and is the Democratic nominee.

What a McCain victory means for conservatives.

Bob Barr tells racists to take a hike. (Hat Tip: Townhall.)

Disgusting You Tube comments in regards to a disgusting YouTube video.

Scotland cuts abortion wait times while women wait in maternity wards.

A British MP wants all British citizens to carry carbon ration cards.

Who's more honest? Liberals or conservatives? (Hat Tip: World Magazine.)

Postal carriers set new record for charity.

Special Guest: Hatton Humphrey of the East Coast Conservative.

Click here to listen.

Click here to listen to today's episode.

Facing the Enemy Within

According to the British press, a committee of Parliament is recommending that all British subjects be issued carbon credit cards which they would need to present when buying gasoline, paying for their electricity or purchasing items that produce greenhouse gases.  Canada is considering placing a carbon tax on activities that produce CO2.  Commodities brokers like the Chicago Carbon Exchange are gearing up for a booming business in the trading of carbon credits.

 

It does not require a crystal ball or a genius level I.Q. to see the future that awaits America in a few short years if the conservative movement fails to turn back the tide.  The chances of that happening are growing less every day.  Millions of Americans and thousands of reputable scientists understand that the claim of anthropogenic global warming is nothing more than a colossal international hoax.  In spite of this, the environmentalist movement is continuing to win the debate at every turn.  

 

There are a number of reasons for this.  First, conservative opinion makers have conceded the basic premise of man-made global warming and are concentrating on mitigating the damage caused by the proposed schemes for curbing CO2 emissions.  Second, politicians view the widespread acceptance of climate change as an opportunity to expand and consolidate their power base.  Third, major corporations are seizing on the phenomenon of the world wide epidemic of “enviromania” as an opportunity to increase profits by catering to those infected, and from emerging markets in “green“ technology.

 

The next three years promise to be the most critical in our nation’s history.  The great experiment in democracy launched in 1787 at the Constitutional Convention is on the verge of following the Russian experiment in communism into oblivion.  The nation will survive, the government will survive, but America as a land of liberty will not.  The good news is that the majority of the American people will not feel the loss of liberty as much as former generations would have.

 

Like the proverbial bullfrog in a pan of water, most of the present generation has been gradually habituated to the loss of liberty through the gradual encroachment of government on their daily lives since the New Deal of Franklin Roosevelt.  The biggest problem facing America today is the failure of the public to understand the nature, strength and agenda of their domestic enemies.  

 

The coalition between the environmentalist, the socialist movement and the leadership of the Democratic Party that has formed over the past decade has become a fifth column in America working to impose the international agenda of socialism on the United States.  Should they gain the victories they expect in the 2008 elections some of the things we can look forward to are, open borders, increased taxes, rationed energy---either outright or through taxation, increased prices due to carbon taxes added to products we buy, and an inferior quality of nationalized health care.

 

The conservative movement is without the leadership necessary to counter the threat which leaves the rank and file conservatives dependent on what they can do on their own.  The danger of backing John McCain in the coming election is that his supporters will spin his possible victory as vindication of his agenda and campaign strategy, marginalizing the influence of the conservative base of the Republican Party.  

 

If he wins the election, among the first initiatives he will propose will be a cap-and-trade system for controlling CO2 emissions and “comprehensive” immigration reform.  His $5,000 per family health insurance tax credit is little better than Obama or Hillary’s socialized healthcare schemes, so far as bringing down the costs of health care is concerned.  It will be even more difficult to successfully oppose these threats from McCain than if offered by a Democratic President because Republicans in Congress will feel some compulsion to support the policies of their new President.  

 

One course I am considering, but not recommending---at least not yet--- is to vote for a third party candidate as a protest vote while supporting conservatives running in local elections.  This strategy would probably assure the election of Obama, but would put the Republicans in Congress on notice that their future depends on conservative support.  Perhaps it would encourage those left in Congress to develop the backbone needed to stall the socialist policies proposed by Obama for two years while the conservative movement regrouped.

 

For those of us who are concerned about international terrorism and looking for the security offered by McCain as President, perhaps we need to admit the threat from the enemy within is more immediate than the enemy without.

 

The incompetence of Obama and the negative potential of his policies will become evident, even to the most distracted voter, during his first couple of years in office.  Hopefully such an eventuality would have the effect of Clinton’s first two years in office resulting in the conservative takeover of Congress in 1994.  I would be interested in seeing readers’ comments on the subject. 

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