Joe Biden

Final Electoral Predictions: What a McCain Upset Would Look Like

Cross-posted from NextGenGOP.

At this point, I don’t think that any of us can effectively predict what the outcome of tomorrow’s elections will be. Quite frankly, I’m not even sure that we’ll know the who the next President of the United States is going to be for many hours, if not days, after polls close. That said, it seems that there are three possible scenarios that could play out in tomorrow’s Presidential election:

  1. Barack Obama wins in a huge landslide.
  2. Barack Obama wins in a close race.
  3. John McCain pulls off an historical upset in a close race.

Barack Obama Wins in a Huge Landslide

This seems to be the narrative that the Leftosphere would like us to believe. This scenario seems to be the most unlikely due to a number of factors, including the huge percentage of undecided voters (which should break for McCain), McCain’s success in raising doubts in the minds of voters about Barack Obama, and Obama’s struggles with working-class voters in states like Pennsylvania and Ohio. Nonetheless, if current polling is to be believed, then we should see a such a landslide with an electoral map looking something like this (this is pulled straight from the RCP “No Toss Up States” map):

Barack Obama Wins in a Close Race

Unfortunately, I strongly believe that this scenario is the most likely. Basically, I see Florida and Ohio departing from their current polling numbers and going for McCain. Obama is polling near, but not at, the 50% mark in each of the states, and I think that the vast majority of undecided voters will swing to McCain in these states, allowing him to win each of them, albeit closely. Thus, the final electoral map in this scenario would look like this:

John McCain Pulls of an Historic Upset in a Close Race

I am extremely hopeful that John McCain can pull off an upset tomorrow. Unfortunately, looking at the electoral maps above, it’s hard to imagine a scenario in which he can accomplish such a difficult feat. However, if it’s going to happen, I think that in addition to Ohio and Florida bucking the current polling trends, so will Pennsylvania and, out of necessity, another state with a couple of electoral votes. Based on current RCP averages, I’m of the opinion that Nevada is the other state most likely to swing.

First, let’s talk about Pennsylvania. I’m Pittsburgh born and raised, and so I’ve lived in Pennsylvania my entire life. As a former Santorum 2006 staffer, I know that accomplishing a statewide victory in Pennsylvania is an incredible challenge for Republicans. However, I also believe that the dynamics of Pennsylvania’s electorate make it the next most likely state to flip from polling projections after Ohio and Florida. No, this isn’t because we’re racist or a bunch of rednecks (although I believe that Murtha’s comments may drive an increased number of Republicans in his district to the polls tomorrow, which is undoubtedly in McCain’s favor). Rather, I believe that the blue collar voters of Pennsylvania, although reliably Democrat, find it extremely difficult to swallow Barack Obama’s “spread the wealth around” policies – and as a result, they may either decide to not vote at all, or to pull the lever for John McCain. Additionally, there are a number of highly competitive Congressional races in PA in which an outcry of Republican voters could help turn the race in favor of McCain. Specifically, I look to William Russell’s race against John Murtha (which I mentioned above), but also to Lou Barletta’s race against the filthy Paul Kanjorski, in which I think Lou will defeat Kanjorski. With Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida going against polling trends, the electoral college stands at 270 for Obama-Biden to 268 for McCain-Palin, requiring one more state to flip for a McCain-Palin victory.

In my eyes, there are two other states that potentially could end up becoming red despite polling that indicates otherwise: Virginia and Nevada. Winning in either of these states will prove difficult for John McCain. However, he only has to flip one of them from its polling trends in order to win. So a McCain-Palin victory might look something like this:

The roadmap to victory for the McCain-Palin ticket is enormously difficult and quite improbable, although certainly not impossible. Some important questions to ponder over the next day or so: Can Barack Obama close? Will the GOP’s vaunted GOTV machine have the success we’ve seen in previous elections? Will young voters turn out in droves, and if so, will they really disproportionately vote for Obama? And, most importantly, does John McCain’s campaign have the ability to pull off an unprecedented and historic electoral victory?

Team Obama's new gameplan

Senator Obama has gone to Hawaii to be with his ill grandmother (We wish her well)

Senator Biden has disappeared off the campaign trail. Rumor has it a noted surgeon is busy trying to remove a Florsheim stuck between the Senator's teeth.

Given what's transpired the last few days, perhaps they think silence is golden. In football terms, they are now running the prevent defense http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_football_strategy#Prevent

Sitting back in a deep zone usually avoids sudden scoring passes or damaging penalties. But take it from someone who has cringed every time the NY Giants adopt this ploy when they hold a late lead, it's also a great way to lose in the last minute of the game. 

As noted philosopher John Madden once said:. All a prevent defense does is prevent you from winning.

CHRISTMAS COMES EARLY. THANKS TO JOE BIDEN

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zL0VoIgopPI

 

 

Biden Tells The Truth About Obama

Podcast Show Notes

Biden warns of danger ahead if Obama's elected. (Hat Tip: Michelle Malkin.) Biden is the gift that keeps on giving. (Hat Tip: Wizbang Blog.) Left blog reaction: "Did Biden take his extra stupid pill yesterday?"

Biden: Undecided voters are struggling with racism. (Hat Tip: Sister Toldjah.) John Murtha insults his own constituents--again.

A Republican arrested for voter registration fraud.  (Hat Tip: Volokh Conspiracy.)

Ayers: Just some guy in Obama's neighborhood that he shared an office with for 3 years.

In the World Series, is Obama for the Devil Rays or the Phillies? Yes. (Hat Tip: World Magazine.)

What's so about spreading the wealth? Ask Zimbabwe. (Hat Tip: Michelle Malkin.)

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The Obama-Biden agenda: Blind Faith uber alles

By now I'm sure you heard Joe Biden's upbeat assessment of the first year or so of an Obama-Biden Administration 

 Because I promise you, you all are gonna be sitting here a year from now going, 'Oh my God, why are they there in the polls? Why is the polling so down? Why is this thing so tough?' We're gonna have to make some incredibly tough decisions in the first two years. So I'm asking you now, I'm asking you now, be prepared to stick with us. Remember the faith you had at this point because you're going to have to reinforce us."

"There are gonna be a lot of you who want to go, 'Whoa, wait a minute, yo, whoa, whoa, I don't know about that decision'," Biden continued. "Because if you think the decision is sound when they're made, which I believe you will when they're made, they're not likely to be as popular as they are sound. Because if they're popular, they're probably not sound."

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalradar/2008/10/biden-to-suppor.html

So what to make of Biden's untimely truthfulness?

1. They are going to repeat what was probably the most critical deficiency of the Bush Administration. They are going to presume they are right and simply press on whether they properly gain the public's trust for their foreign policy.

Actually one prominent national leader has already compared Obama's foreign policy deficiencies to that of Bush, but her candor has been placed in a blind trust this autumm. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/02/25/AR2008022502663.html

Obama will never recover politically from this sort of mistake. He will never have the Right and as it is apparent, will promptly lose the Left. And Senator Biden, I know Dick Cheney and you are no Dick Cheney.

2. They are going to break their campaign promises at a blinding pace. At a minimum, it's hard to reconcile one of the architects of the Iraq War with Move On. org.  Even the most decent politician is going to leave someone in the dust, and I don't these guys in that high regard.  

3. They are probably going to sell out our allies as a consequence of their willingness to do something when  " it's not gonna be apparent initially, it's not gonna be apparent that we're right" http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1017129.html

4. They promise "unpopular decisions". Conservatives should recall that previous international crisis have been used as excuses to implement economic and social measurres inimical to liberty that could never be approved otherwise.  Think rationing, wage/price controls etc.  Watch the same people who attacked FISA and the Patriot Act as violative of the civil liberties of terrorist suspects chill the 1st and 2nd Amendment rights of decent Americans. (Notice, by the way, Obama failed to mention the 2nd Amendment when discussing the Constitution at the debate) 

5. At the end of the day, there is nothing Joe Biden is willing to offer America except blind faith in a man manufacturing his own "cult of personality" http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cult_of_Personality_(song)  America will get into the soup, Obama and Biden will do something that makes no sense, and we will be told to chill out and wait for things to work out..... Eventually..... Because

Maybe Bruce Springsteen oughta reconsider this support for the Obama-Biden ticket

Blind faith in your leaders, or in anything, will get you killed.
Bruce Springsteen
http://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/authors/b/bruce_springsteen.html

Words, even from a Lefty, to live by.

  

Generally Speaking - Obama Supporters Fudge the Truth

You just can't trust these lefties to tell the truth.  Having watched the technically well made video, one is left with the impression that all security and military people in the Israeli military and intelligence have strong positive feelings for Obama. While some actually do, others do not. Not one contrary voice is heard on this video.  Indeed some of them seem to have a positive impression of Obama, basically because Obama endorses no pre-condition talks with Iran.

Yossi Alpher, appearing in the video and tagged as a "former Mossad senior officer" (but the Jewish Council for Education & Research failed to associate Alpher with one of his other jobs, that of Senior Advisor to Ehud Barak at Camp David [where Barak tried to give away most of Yosh to Arafat who chose not to end the conflict]) appears in the video endorsing Obama as a negotiator and reinforces one of the themes of the video that Sen. McCain is essentially a second President Bush and that would no longer be helpful. 

More interesting is the assertion by Ret. Brig. Gen. Shaul Arieli in the video that the "Bush Doctrine" has intensified the fundamentalist Islamic threat and has strengthened Hamas and Islamic Jihad. Arieli is interviewed in the JPOST article and endorses Obama. Arieli is a member of the "Council for Peace and Security" which includes in its http://www.peace-security-council.org/about.us.asp#abGuiding Guiding Principles  these gems:

    • PEACE IS ACHIEVED BY COMPROMISE  Peace and a strong army are the essential ingredients for Israel’s security.  The army must at all cost retain its deterrent ability.  It should however be borne in mind that peace is not achievable without compromise and willingness to make sacrifices.

    • THE OCCUPATION IS CAUSING DAMAGE  Continued occupation of the Territories and control over the Palestinians is damaging the democratic character of the State of Israel.  It is weakening the army, undermining its ability and its preparedness to respond to military threats.

    • A PALESTINIAN STATE IS NOT A THREAT  The establishment of a Palestinian State in the major part of Judea, Samaria and the Gaza Strip – with necessary security provisions – does not constitute a threat to Israel.  On the contrary, it is essential in order to maintain a Jewish majority in Israel.  A realistic permanent boundary between Israel and a Palestinian State should be that of the Green Line (Israel’s provisional border before the Six Day War in 1967), with certain adjustments in Jerusalem and in other places.  The large Jewish settled domains on the eastern side of the Green Line should be annexed to Israel.</blockquote> I suppose giving away Gaza and offering to give away Yosh has had nothing to do with strengthening the more visible anti-Israel forces amongst the Pali population vis a vis the terrorists in suits. It is much easier to blame the American president than take responsibility for advocating failed policies which have brought increased bloodshed and rocket attacks. More of the same policies will leave a devastated Israel in its wake. A PA terrorist state will certainly NOT enhance Israel's security in any way.

     

Essentially, this video was constructed to be an Obama outreach to Jews and people close to Israel, made by lefties advocating the Obama way as the most effective method to preserve Israel's security. To what extent the Obama campaign assisted in its creation or advised the producers remains to be seen. That misleading and deceptive editing was needed to sell the message is something well worth noting. I wonder though if any of those appearing in the video actually are thinking that an inexperienced and naive Obama will be easier to manage from Jerusalem than someone else?

I also wonder what some of the desire for "change" in US policy is all about.  The Bush administration has, more than any previous Presidency supported the Palis politically all the while, not backing down in support for Israel in the issues that matter.  The Bush administration has publically called for a Pali state which was a game changing event. At the same time, the pretense of having free elections and at least some lip service to a commitment to "living in peace" with Israel by the PA has insulated the Bush team and prevented the forcing of any significant concessions.  Bush even sat quietly while watching Arafat rot in the Muqata. The Bush policy has certainly helped reveal a pali population that actually is more concerned with bringing on Jewish suffering than they are establishing a civil government by giving them a vote. Sen. 'say it ain't so' Joe Biden, speaking for the Obama camp during his VP debate with Governor Palin believed removing the veil of concealment covering the true intentions of the Pali population to be a negative. http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1222017470356&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull  (Ex-generals misled by pro-Obama video)

Oct. 6, 2008
Matt Zalen and Shani Rosenfelder , THE JERUSALEM POST
A video released by the Jewish Council for Education & Research, which appeared to show several retired senior IDF and Mossad officials supporting Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama has proven to be misleading, with a number of officials who appeared in the video saying on Monday that their words were taken out of context.

The film's producers have stressed in response that the Obama campaign was not involved during any stage of the production.

"It's not only misleading, it was an interview about what the next president was going to have to deal with," former deputy chief of General Staff Maj.-Gen. (res.) Uzi Dayan told The Jerusalem Post. "And to know that they used this interview and took five seconds, and put me in a list of people praising Barack Obama…

"It wasn't about the campaign, it was about the political and security issues of the Middle East that the next president should be involved in," he continued. "Nothing was said about Obama or [Republican presidential candidate John] McCain."

"I don't want other people to interfere in my elections, and I must not interfere with the elections in the United States," he said, adding that to do so would be neither "ethical nor smart."

In the video, the senior Israeli officials appear to support Obama's stated policy that dialogue with Iran would be the best way of confronting the current nuclear crisis. Dayan said that his position is just the opposite.

"I don't think that we - either the United States or Israel - should be engaged with Iran, because the Iranians will take advantage of that," the former deputy chief of staff said. "Our issue is to prevent Iran from achieving nuclear capability."

"We need more powerful, effective sanctions to delegitimize [Iranian President Mahmoud] Ahmadinejad," he continued. "A military option should be prepared, but used only as a last resort."

Former Mossad chief Ephraim Halevy, who appeared in the video praising the Democratic candidate, also said that he was misled.

"I was interviewed for a documentary dealing with what issues the new American president must deal with regarding the Middle East," Halevy told the Post. "I was asked about the candidates, and was complimentary to both."

But when asked about his opinion on who was more qualified to be president, Halevy said that he had rejected the question.

"I said that I thought it was inappropriate for an Israeli to advise Americans on who they should vote for, as it would be for them to advise Israelis on who they should vote for prime minister," he said.

Halevy added that it would be irresponsible to comment on the positions of any US presidential candidates before an election, as those positions may change once the new president takes office.

Both Halevy and Dayan said that representatives of the Jewish Council for Education & Research had been in contact with them, and promised to deal with the matter.

According to Israel Radio, Maj.-Gen. (Ret.) Amram Mitzna and Brig.-Gen. (res.) Giora Inbar, a former IDF commander in south Lebanon, both said that they were also unaware of the true nature of the video. However, Inbar said he did not have a problem with the clip because it represents his views.

In the video, Mitzna had said that another four years of indecision, stagnancy and a lack of intense US involvement in the Middle East peace process would be bad for Israel. He claimed Obama would achieve a greater involvement and that he "brings many hopes."

For his part, Inbar was filmed saying that he would personally vote for Obama to help Israel. Inbar said he was not convinced that the Bush method was the right way to deal with the axis of evil and that he would welcome anyone who chose to handle it differently.

Revised Films, the independent film company that produced the clip, issued the following response:

"Our firm is an independent company that created a clip that was composed of interviews with senior Israeli security officials, and whose subject was the American policy regarding Israel, in light of the upcoming elections in the United States, while focusing on the two central candidates for president, and Barack Obama.

"The Obama campaign was not involved during any stage of the production, or [the film's] distribution. After the film was completed, the Jewish Council for Education & Research, took charge of the film and used it."

A response by The Jewish Council for Education & Research has yet to be obtained due to the time difference between Israel and the US.
 

VIDEO LINK

http://vimeo.com?pg=embed&amp;sec=1882159

 

Suggested venues for McCain debate viewing parties

Joe Biden once again warps the time-space continuum. Evidently people who frequent a local restaurant in Wilmington, DE are concerned about the Bush economic record.

Since "Katie's Restaurant" closed during the first Bush administration, perhaps there's enough "truthiness" for Bidenspeak purposes

http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=NGUwOWIxM2ZiZjc2MWEyYjY5YmMyYTFlOWUyMmE5OWY=

My suggest is that we enbrace "Katie's restaurant" and speak to all their diners around the nation. A cursory look shows that there still are restaurants by that name in St. Louis, Milwaukee, Omaha,  Orange County, CA, and suburban Denver.

http://search.yahoo.com/search?p=katie%27s+restaurant&ei=UTF-8&y=Search&fr=yfp-t-501-s&xargs=0&pstart=1&b=1&xa=ilXfrDkn13F_7d8au.ts6g--,1223167307

Maybe the McCain campaign can gather at the real "Katie's Restaurant"s around the nation while we demonstrate which campaign actually is in touch with 2008 America

 

Media Reality Check

If Sarah Palin makes a few gaffes or demonstrates a misunderstanding of history, it's the end of the world as we know it.

If Joe Biden makes a few gaffes... and a few more... and a few more... and demonstrates a basic misunderstanding of history, well, that's just Joe being Joe.

For his decades of experience in public life, John McCain is part of the problem in Washington, and did we mention... too old?

For his decades of experience in public life, Joe Biden is the wise old hand, the man with the gravitas to succeed into the Presidency.

Barack Obama's two years of experience as one of 100 in the Senate before running for President makes him young and fresh and exciting, the right man at the right time to be leader of the free world.

Sarah Palin's two years of statewide executive experience before running for Vice President makes her dangerously unfit to succeed into the Presidency in the unlikely event she would be called upon to do so.

Look folks, I am not trying to whine or work the refs. The media will always be biased. We've won lots of elections against a biased media. Ronald Reagan had to deal with this, and he managed somehow.

But what makes it more interesting this time is that both tickets have members who are mirror images of the other. And yet the double standard couldn't be more obvious. What makes this different is that the media can't arbitrarily decide that a quality possessed by the Democratic ticket is simply more relevant. Both sides possess many of the same qualities in equal measure. For McCain-Palin, either experience or inexperience is a liability, no matter how you cut it. And for Obama-Biden, both inexperience and experience are huge plusses... at the same time.

After the election, we will surely be treated to countless media seminars and soul-searching on media bias. (Here's what it looked like last time.) Maybe we were too hard on McCain, they'll say, as the Maverick's unappreciated qualities suddenly rise to the fore. And then we'll have to go through this whole rigamarole again in four years.

I just wondering out loud what it would take to get some real-time accountability from the media -- not the kind that starts 32 days from now.

Her Inner Barracuda

Any questions about Governor Palin's ability to be in the big time spot light were put to rest last night. Gov. Palin succeeded in turning the tables on the main stream media's assault on her qualifications. Moderator Gwen Ifill, with wary eyes on her for not disclosing to the debate commission her forthcoming Obama book conflict of interest, behaved herself.

As I was watching the much heralded debate which was supposed to end the presidential election, at least according to many in the Obama camp, I wondered, is Sarah Palin's television appearance going to matter so much? After all, this would be the VP not the Presidential candidates debating. With all the hype though, I knew that the left was just waiting to pounce all over a potentially tongue twisted and uncertain, nervous looking new comer to the political arena. The Olbermans and Matthews and Couric crowd had already written their talking points. "She's unqualified" "Biden looked Presidential" "No comparison" "The Senator demonstrated his experience and she her lack of experience" "She didn't seem knowledgeable".

Thankfully, all those notes went into the shredder after the first few questions. It was obvious that after the Governor's first answer the debate was not going to resemble the scenario the Obama camp had prognosticated.

PALIN: Thank you, Gwen. And I thank the commission, also. I appreciate this privilege of being able to be here and speak with Americans.

You know, I think a good barometer here, as we try to figure out has this been a good time or a bad time in America's economy, is go to a kid's soccer game on Saturday, and turn to any parent there on the sideline and ask them, "How are you feeling about the economy?"

And I'll bet you, you're going to hear some fear in that parent's voice, fear regarding the few investments that some of us have in the stock market. Did we just take a major hit with those investments?

Fear about, how are we going to afford to send our kids to college? A fear, as small-business owners, perhaps, how we're going to borrow any money to increase inventory or hire more people.

The barometer there, I think, is going to be resounding that our economy is hurting and the federal government has not provided the sound oversight that we need and that we deserve, and we need reform to that end.

Now, John McCain thankfully has been one representing reform. Two years ago, remember, it was John McCain who pushed so hard with the Fannie Mae (NYSE:FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE:FRE) reform measures. He sounded that warning bell.

People in the Senate with him, his colleagues, didn't want to listen to him and wouldn't go towards that reform that was needed then. I think that the alarm has been heard, though, and there will be that greater oversight, again thanks to John McCain's bipartisan efforts that he was so instrumental in bringing folks together over this past week, even suspending his own campaign to make sure he was putting excessive politics aside and putting the country first.

APRPEH wrote about the Palin factor in http://aprpeh.blogspot.com/2008/09/no-second-guessing-israel-sarah-palin.html No Second Guessing Israel - Sarah Palin and  http://aprpeh.blogspot.com/search?updated-max=2008-09-11T10%3A50%3A00-06%3A00&max-results=7" Desperate Times Call for Desperate Democrats. The APRPEH posts discuss the connection Gov. Palin makes with the American heart and soul. Gov. Palin made a point to speak to America last night. Her words were directed to the folks who never will be on a stage in a national debate but who nonetheless have the common sense and decency to serve in the highest offices of the land. This common sense is what is being vied for in this election. Obama is trying to sell the American people that their common sense is what permits him to offer socialistic policies crowned with the righteousness of fairness. This is the core of the argument that Biden was trying to make. Gov. Palin was offering no none sense, traditional American values. She connected with the people at home. Gov. Palin unleashed her inner barracuda. Gov. Palin's last few weeks had been difficult ones. Her positive media and polling was reversed. People were questioning her. But like a serious athelete after a couple of bad games, innings, or quarters, Saracuda came fighting back, shaking off the negativity and rising to the occassion. As as the oft quoted Gen. George Patton supposedly said 'true Americans love a winner and hate a loser', Saracuda ignored the press and came started the debate with every intention to win. Yes, Americans do love a winner but will not tolerate fake claims winning. Gov. Palin's debate performance was the real thing, the real Sarah Palin, the real barracuda.

Despite Senator Biden's attempt to appear down home mentioning bars in Wilmington, an impossible to make case after three decades in the Senate, Palin looked straight at the camera and talked to the American people as if she were sitting at their kitchen table, neighbor to neighbor. Americans will respond favorably when they perceive that someone has been attacked unfairly. This is possibly why Frank Luntz's focus group and CNN's post debate poll both concur that Gov. Palin beat expectations. But to conclude she merely beat expectations does not do justice to the fact she stood on stage with a very seasoned US Senator, on an internationally broadcast VP debate, and not only held her own but went toe to toe with the Senator and landed a few really good jabs at him too. Gov. Palin was able to through direct contradiction and implied remarks make legitimate criticisms of Sen. Biden's career without looking angry and dis-respectful. Sen. Biden despite his efforts was not able to respond decisively or convincingly to this criticism. He is a career politician and looked the part. What Gov. Palin was able to accomplish was to represent a broad sweep of Americans who would like to say the same things to their Congressmen but never have the chance to say them. Sarah Palin, governor of Alaska, did not represent the nation's governors, she represented Main Street, USA. This will resonate strongly over the next few weeks.

Some of Gov. Palin's best lines include:

  • And the American workforce is the greatest in this world, with the ingenuity and the work ethic that is just entrenched in our workforce. That's a positive. That's encouragement. And that's what John McCain meant.
  • Now, Barack Obama, of course, he's pretty much only voted along his party lines. In fact, 96 percent of his votes have been solely along party line, not having that proof for the American people to know that his commitment, too, is, you know, put the partisanship, put the special interests aside, and get down to getting business done for the people of America.
  • Darn right it was the predator lenders, who tried to talk Americans into thinking that it was smart to buy a $300,000 house if we could only afford a $100,000 house. There was deception there, and there was greed and there is corruption on Wall Street. And we need to stop that.
  • One thing that Americans do at this time, also, though, is let's commit ourselves just every day American people, Joe Six Pack, hockey moms across the nation, I think we need to band together and say never again. Never will we be exploited and taken advantage of again by those who are managing our money and loaning us these dollars.
  • We do need the private sector to be able to keep more of what we earn and produce. Government is going to have to learn to be more efficient and live with less if that's what it takes to reign in the government growth that we've seen today.
  • And I may not answer the questions that either the moderator or you want to hear, but I'm going to talk straight to the American people and let them know my track record also. As mayor, every year I was in office I did reduce taxes. I eliminated personal property taxes and eliminated small business inventory taxes and as governor we suspended our state fuel tax. We did all of those things knowing that that is how our economy would be heated up.
  • Now you said recently that higher taxes or asking for higher taxes or paying higher taxes is patriotic. In the middle class of America which is where Todd and I have been all of our lives, that's not patriotic. Patriotic is saying, government, you know, you're not always the solution. In fact, too often you're the problem so, government, lessen the tax burden and on our families and get out of the way and let the private sector and our families grow and thrive and prosper. An increased tax formula that Barack Obama is proposing in addition to nearly a trillion dollars in new spending that he's proposing is the backwards way of trying to grow our economy.
  • He's proposing a $5,000 tax credit for families so that they can get out there and they can purchase their own health care coverage. That's a smart thing to do. That's budget neutral. That doesn't cost the government anything as opposed to Barack Obama's plan to mandate health care coverage and have universal government run program and unless you're pleased with the way the federal government has been running anything lately, I don't think that it's going to be real pleasing for Americans to consider health care being taken over by the feds.
  • And that's why Tillerson at Exxon and Mulva at ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) , bless their hearts, they're doing what they need to do, as corporate CEOs, but they're not my biggest fans, because what I had to do up there in Alaska was to break up a monopoly up there and say, you know, the people are going to come first and we're going to make sure that we have value given to the people of Alaska with those resources.
  • There is not. And how long have I been at this, like five weeks? So there hasn't been a whole lot that I've promised, except to do what is right for the American people, put government back on the side of the American people, stop the greed and corruption on Wall Street. {turning a potential liability into an asset}
  • It's a nonsensical position that we are in when we have domestic supplies of energy all over this great land. And East Coast politicians who don't allow energy-producing states like Alaska to produce these, to tap into them, and instead we're relying on foreign countries to produce for us.
  • Barack Obama and Senator Biden, you've said no to everything in trying to find a domestic solution to the energy crisis that we're in. You even called drilling -- safe, environmentally-friendly drilling offshore as raping the outer continental shelf.
  • Your plan is a white flag of surrender in Iraq and that is not what our troops need to hear today, that's for sure. And it's not what our nation needs to be able to count on. You guys opposed the surge. The surge worked. Barack Obama still can't admit the surge works.
  • Now, you said regarding Senator McCain's military policies there, Senator Biden, that you supported a lot of these things. In fact, you said in fact that you wanted to run, you'd be honored to run with him on the ticket. That's an indication I think of some of the support that you had at least until you became the VP pick here.
  • You also said that Barack Obama was not ready to be commander in chief. And I know again that you opposed the move he made to try to cut off funding for the troops and I respect you for that. I don't know how you can defend that position now but I know that you know especially with your son in the National Guard and I have great respect for your family also and the honor that you show our military. Barack Obama though, another story there. Anyone I think who can cut off funding for the troops after promising not to is another story. {talk of cutting off troop funding is homerun rhetoric}
  • Israel is in jeopardy of course when we're dealing with Ahmadinejad as a leader of Iran. Iran claiming that Israel as he termed it, a stinking corpse, a country that should be wiped off the face of the earth. Now a leader like Ahmadinejad who is not sane or stable when he says things like that is not one whom we can allow to acquire nuclear energy, nuclear weapons.
  • No and Dr. Henry Kissinger especially. I had a good conversation with him recently. And he shared with me his passion for diplomacy. And that's what John McCain and I would engage in also. But again, with some of these dictators who hate America and hate what we stand for, with our freedoms, our democracy, our tolerance, our respect for women's rights, those who would try to destroy what we stand for cannot be met with just sitting down on a presidential level as Barack Obama had said he would be willing to do. That is beyond bad judgment. That is dangerous.
  • That's not what we're doing there. We're fighting terrorists, and we're securing democracy, and we're building schools for children there so that there is opportunity in that country, also. There will be a big difference there, and we will win in -- in Afghanistan, also.
  • Oh, yeah, it's so obvious I'm a Washington outsider. And someone just not used to the way you guys operate. Because here you voted for the war and now you oppose the war. You're one who says, as so many politicians do, I was for it before I was against it or vice- versa. Americans are craving that straight talk and just want to know, hey, if you voted for it, tell us why you voted for it and it was a war resolution.
  • And you had supported John McCain's military strategies pretty adamantly until this race and you had opposed very adamantly Barack Obama's military strategy, including cutting off funding for the troops that attempt all through the primary.
  • Just everyday working class Americans saying, you know, government, just get out of my way. If you're going to do any harm and mandate more things on me and take more of my money and income tax and business taxes, you're going to have a choice in just a few weeks here on either supporting a ticket that wants to create jobs and bolster our economy and win the war or you're going to be supporting a ticket that wants to increase taxes, which ultimately kills jobs, and is going to hurt our economy.
  • Say it ain't so, Joe, there you go again pointing backwards again. You preferenced your whole comment with the Bush administration. Now doggone it, let's look ahead and tell Americans what we have to plan to do for them in the future. You mentioned education and I'm glad you did. I know education you are passionate about with your wife being a teacher for 30 years, and god bless her. Her reward is in heaven, right? I say, too, with education, America needs to be putting a lot more focus on that and our schools have got to be really ramped up in terms of the funding that they are deserving. Teachers needed to be paid more. I come from a house full of school teachers. My grandma was, my dad who is in the audience today, he's a schoolteacher, had been for many years. My brother, who I think is the best schoolteacher in the year, and here's a shout-out to all those third graders at Gladys Wood Elementary School, you get extra credit for watching the debate.
  • Education credit in American has been in some sense in some of our states just accepted to be a little bit lax and we have got to increase the standards. No Child Left Behind was implemented. It's not doing the job though. We need flexibility in No Child Left Behind. We need to put more of an emphasis on the profession of teaching. We need to make sure that education in either one of our agendas, I think, absolute top of the line. My kids as public school participants right now, it's near and dear to my heart. I'm very, very concerned about where we're going with education and we have got to ramp it up and put more attention in that arena.
  • But it wasn't just that experience tapped into, it was my connection to the heartland of America. Being a mom, one very concerned about a son in the war, about a special needs child, about kids heading off to college, how are we going to pay those tuition bills? About times and Todd and our marriage in our past where we didn't have health insurance and we know what other Americans are going through as they sit around the kitchen table and try to figure out how are they going to pay out-of-pocket for health care? We've been there also so that connection was important.
  • And we are to be that shining city on a hill, as President Reagan so beautifully said, that we are a beacon of hope and that we are unapologetic here. We are not perfect as a nation. But together, we represent a perfect ideal. And that is democracy and tolerance and freedom and equal rights. Those things that we stand for that can be put to good use as a force for good in this world.
  • We have got to win the wars. We have got to get our economy back on track. We have got to not allow the greed and corruption on Wall Street anymore.
  • And we have not got to allow the partisanship that has really been entrenched in Washington, D.C., no matter who's been in charge. When the Republicans were in charge, I didn't see a lot of progress there, either. When the Democrats, either, though, this last go- around for the last two years.
  • Change is coming. And John McCain is the leader of that reform.
  • You do what I did as governor, and you appoint people regardless of party affiliation, Democrats, independents, Republicans. You -- you walk the walk; you don't just talk the talk.
  • And even in my own family, it's a very diverse family. And we have folks of all political persuasion in there, also, so I've grown up just knowing that, you know, at the end of the day, as long as we're all working together for the greater good, it's going to be OK.
  • But the policies and the proposals have got to speak for themselves, also. And, again, voters on November 4th are going to have that choice to either support a ticket that supports policies that create jobs.
  • You do that by lowering taxes on American workers and on our businesses. And you build up infrastructure, and you rein in government spending, and you make our -- our nation energy independent.
  • Or you support a ticket that supports policies that will kill jobs by increasing taxes. And that's what the track record shows, is a desire to increase taxes, increase spending, a trillion-dollar spending proposal that's on the table. That's going to hurt our country, and saying no to energy independence. Clear choices on November 4th.
  • I want to assure you that John McCain and I, we're going to fight for America. We're going to fight for the middle-class, average, everyday American family like mine.
  • I've been there. I know what the hurts are. I know what the challenges are. And, thank God, I know what the joys are, too, of living in America. We are so blessed. And I've always been proud to be an American. And so has John McCain.
  • We have to fight for our freedoms, also, economic and our national security freedoms.
  • It was Ronald Reagan who said that freedom is always just one generation away from extinction. We don't pass it to our children in the bloodstream; we have to fight for it and protect it, and then hand it to them so that they shall do the same, or we're going to find ourselves spending our sunset years telling our children and our children's children about a time in America, back in the day, when men and women were free.
  • We will fight for it, and there is only one man in this race who has really ever fought for you, and that's Senator John McCain.

Now, I do have some concerns, ones which pale in comparison to Obama-Biden, but concerns still.

A two-state solution is the solution. And Secretary Rice, having recently met with leaders on one side or the other there, also, still in these waning days of the Bush administration, trying to forge that peace, and that needs to be done, and that will be top of an agenda item, also, under a McCain-Palin administration.

Israel is our strongest and best ally in the Middle East. We have got to assure them that we will never allow a second Holocaust, despite, again, warnings from Iran and any other country that would seek to destroy Israel, that that is what they would like to see.

We will support Israel. A two-state solution, building our embassy, also, in Jerusalem, those things that we look forward to being able to accomplish, with this peace-seeking nation, and they have a track record of being able to forge these peace agreements.

They succeeded with Jordan. They succeeded with Egypt. I'm sure that we're going to see more success there, also.

It's got to be a commitment of the United States of America, though. And I can promise you, in a McCain-Palin administration, that commitment is there to work with our friends in Israel.

Our "friends in Israel" are those that know that negotiating with a terrorist in a suit is no different than negotiating with a terrorist in a keifiah. This 'two state solution' talk and wink and nod to Condi Rice does not make me happy. And while this is a debate and Sen. McCain is officially on record supporting a 'two state solution', this talk must be measured against the remarks Sen. McCain and Gov. Palin have previously made concerning the so-called 'peace process'. And this logic goes back to the APRPEH post which examined the two Presidential candidates and their opinions of why they believe Israel is important and why McCain discussing 'two states' and Obama discussing 'two states' is a very different thing. The short version is that Sen. McCain and President Bush justify their support for Israel because it is the morally right thing to do, and religiously correct thing to do. For Obama its about expediency http://aprpeh.blogspot.com/2008/05/mccain-redeemed-rubin-exposed-obama.html McCain Redeemed, Rubin Exposed, Obama Still the Favorite of Terrorists and http://aprpeh.blogspot.com/2008/05/two-campaigns-two-candidates-one-israel.html  Two Campaigns, Two Candidates, One Israel

More debate coverage links below:

http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=YWY5NTRkYjFlZWIwZDBlNWRiMzhjZTQyY2Y0MDZlMWQ= Palin’s Triumph editors-NRO

http://www.nypost.com/seven/10032008/postopinion/opedcolumnists/the_veep_debate__shes_back__131933.htm 
THE VEEP DEBATE: SHE'S BACK! Rich Lowry-NY Post

http://www.rightpundits.com/?p=2150  transcript and video link here

How we will know Sarah Palin won the debate?

When by Saturday morning the event is no longer discussed by cable TV and print wire services.

I think there is a huge sense of disappointment in the media, They were convinced that they had a train wreck waiting to happen, and much to their dismay, both trains made it to the station.

I have to say this was about the best Joe Biden I've seen, but he's still trying to peddle the "poor boy from nothing "line to steal Sarah's thunder. I could go on and on about Biden's mansion, his lobbyist son, his MBNA deals, but maybe we ought just look at where he went to high school.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Archmere_Academy

From 1910 until 1931, Archmere was the beautiful country estate of John J. Raskob, his wife, Helena Springer Green, and their 12 children. Chairman of the Board of General Motors and Vice President in charge of finance for the DuPont Company, Raskob was recognized as one of the most successful and influential financiers of his time.

Between 1916 and 1918, the Raskobs had constructed on their 48 acre property an elaborate home, The Patio, a fine example of Italianate, Renaissance architecture, and Manor Hall, a servants' quarters. While the Raskobs lived at Archmere, the house was alive with activity. During the presidential campaign of 1928, Archmere was the scene of many meetings of the Democratic National Committee. Raskob was campaign manager for the party's presidential nominee, Governor Al Smith of New York.

The history of Archmere as a college preparatory school began in the spring of 1932 when Bernard Pennings, Abbot of the Norbertine Order, made what must at the time have seemed a risky decision to purchase the Raskobs' Delaware River Estate for $300,000....

Archmere's mascot, the Great Auk, frequently compared to a large penguin by neighboring schools, is the only known one of its kind in the United States.

OK, all you folks out there who went to a snooty prep school with the "Great Auk" as a mascot, get down to Home Depot and start campaigning for Biden!

  

 

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