LA-4

Joseph Cao and the 435 District Strategy

There were two elections in Louisiana tonight, and it's fair to say that before tonight, what became John Fleming's squeaker in the 4th attracted 99% of the attention from the political class. After tonight, that figure should be reversed.

In the heart of New Orleans, in a district that is 28 points more Democrat than the national average, Joseph Cao sent Bill Jefferson packing. As Swing State Project notes, Cao now represents the district with the most lopsided voting patterns favoring the other party, outstripping the R+26 margin in Jim Matheson's UT-3.

As I noted yesterday and reiterate tonight, there could be no more vivid example of why we need to run Republican candidates in every district than Louisiana's 2nd. Cao won his seat more solidly than Fleming did in an R+7 seat. Starting with Obama CoS Rahm Emanuel, Democrats started to understand that Congressional races can be very nonpartisan under the right circumstances and that poor performance or other personal shortcomings by the incumbent can render even a hefty party ID deficit meaningless. 

We can't recreate Bill Jefferson in every district -- the guy was indicted on 16 counts and the feds found 90 G's in his freezer. It's also an accident of history that the election happened today instead of on 11/4 when Jefferson could have ridden Obama's coattails -- it was delayed by Hurricane Gustav. There isn't a Bill Jefferson in every district, but there is a Joseph Cao. Here's Cao's biography, boiled down:

  • Family fled South Vietnam in 1975 when the Communists took over
  • Learned English and graduated with a degree in physics from Baylor University
  • Joined the Jesuits after graduation; taught philosophy at Loyola University in New Orleans while going to law school
  • Advocated for Vietnamese refugees in the U.S., leaving private practice to do so
  • Returned to New Orleans after Katrina and became a community activist on rebuilding issues
  • Rebuilt his law practice from scratch after Katrina

Cao ran as an independent for the state legislature in 2007 but is otherwise a political novice.

In crafting our 435 district strategy, the lesson is that we don't need to run risk-averse politicians in longshot seats. We need to run everyday heroes like Cao. We need to identify people outside politics who've done things in the community and who can capitalize on the incumbents' mistakes. Every district has a Joseph Cao.

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