Kinzinger Tops Polls in 11th District (Good Illinois Pickup)

From the Adam Kinzinger for Congress campaign (11th District)…

Adam Kinzinger is currently holding townhalls across the district and after Wednesday night, he will have held 11, Debbie Halvorson, who voted yes for healthcare, has held zero. This is the first poll conducted on the Congressional Level after the Healthcare vote.

NRCC Memo Adam Kinzinger currently leads on the ballot test 44%-38% over Congresswoman Halvorson, with 16% of voters undecided. Among high interest voters (8-10s), Kinzinger’s lead improves to 49%-35%, with 13% undecided.

On the generic Congressional ballot test, the generic Republican candidate enjoys a ten point advantage in the district (43%-33%, with 21% undecided).

Voters in the district are unhappy with the job President Obama is doing, as 45% approve of the job he is doing, and 52% disapprove. Nearly four in ten voters (38%) strongly disapprove of the job the President is doing.

Congresswoman Halvorson’s image stands at 33% favorable/31% unfavorable. Her challenger, Adam Kinzinger is still relatively unknown, with a name ID of 50% and an image of 19% favorable/5% unfavorable.

Congresswoman Halvorson’s re-elect stands at 31% total re-elect to 44% total new person, with 24% of voters saying they do not know if Halvorson deserves to be re-elected. Such a low reelect score shows that Halvorson is in a precarious position for a first term Member of Congress.

www.electadam.com Results from Public Opinion Strategies:

Key Findings 1. Voters in Illinois’ Eleventh Congressional District are ready to elect a Republican candidate and disapprove of the job President Barack Obama is doing.

On the generic Congressional ballot test, the generic Republican candidate enjoys a ten point advantage in the district (43%-33%, with 21% undecided).

Voters in the district are unhappy with the job President Obama is doing, as 45% approve of the job he is doing, and 52% disapprove. Nearly four in ten voters (38%) strongly disapprove of the job the President is doing.

2. Congresswoman Debbie Halvorson’s image is polarized and her re-elect score is poor.

Congresswoman Halvorson’s image stands at 33% favorable/31% unfavorable. Her challenger, Adam Kinzinger is still relatively unknown, with a name ID of 50% and an image of 19% fav/5% unfav.

Congresswoman Halvorson’s re-elect stands at 31% total re-elect to 44% total new person, with 24% of voters saying they do not know if Halvorson deserves to be re-elected. Such a low re- elect score shows that Halvorson is in a precarious position for a first term Member of Congress.

Her position further weakens with high interest voters – the 70% of the electorate who describe their vote interest as an eight, nine, or ten on a scale from one to ten. Among these voters, Halvorson’s re-elect score stands at 30% re-elect to 48% new person.

3. Adam Kinzinger leads Congresswoman Halvorson on the Congressional ballot test.

Adam Kinzinger currently leads on the ballot test 44%-38% over Congresswoman Halvorson, with 16% of voters undecided. Among high interest voters (8-10s), Kinzinger’s lead improves to 49%-35%, with 13% undecided.

The Bottom Line Adam Kinzinger is in solid position to win, and Congresswoman Debbie Halvorson is on very shaky ground to be re-elected on Election Day. The political environment is against Halvorson, as voters in the 11th Congressional District prefer a Republican candidate on the generic ballot test and disapprove of the job President Obama is doing.

Halvorson has a polarized image, has an upside down re-elect score, and trails Adam Kinzinger on the Congressional ballot test. Halvorson trails by a larger margin on the re-elect and Congressional ballot among the voters most interested in the election. Adam Kinzinger, with an issue-oriented campaign, can defeat Congresswoman Halvorson on Election Day.

Methodology Public Opinion Strategies conducted a telephone survey among likely voters in Illinois’ 11th Congressional District on March 21-22, 2010. The survey was completed among 400 likely voters and has a margin of error of +4.9% in 95 out of 100 cases.

 

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No Obama supporter is coming to this post to argue

They can't even brag about CNN polls anymore.
If the mainstream media did not report Bush won the Iraq war, why would they report on the future November Republican Tsunami ?