Let's Admit It: Bush Was a Failure

Crossposted at Right Minds

For the past eight years, conservatives have been fairly easy on President George W. Bush. They’ve complained a bit about his massive budgets, and have occasionally pointed out examples of his poor communication skills, but overall, the conservative movement and George Bush have gotten along. Bush has received more criticism than any president since Nixon—but the conservative movement has always been there to defend his record.

In less than two months, Bush will no longer be president. It’s time to take a realistic look at Bush’s presidency. There is no longer anything to be gained by denying that it has been anything but a failure.

The Iraq War will probably be remembered as the defining event of Bush’s presidency. The wisdom of going into Iraq is doubtful in hindsight. (Saddam Hussien had no WMDs, and no—or few—connections to terrorism) When one looks at the information Bush had at the time (which is, really, the only way to judge the decision), Bush looks a little better—but not much. Even the most worrisome pre-war intelligence did not show any immediate threat from Iraq—Iraq’s WMD program, if it had one, could only have been in the planning stages.

Many liberals have charged Bush with falsely linking Al-Qaeda and Saddam. He didn’t. But there can be little doubt that Bush used 9/11 as a reminder of what could happen should we not invade Iraq. And Iraq had nowhere near the capabilities to inflict another 9/11 on America.

The intelligence failure was excusable—it’s difficult to judge future threats. Bush’s handling of Iraq was not. Our initial strike was a clear victory. Things went downhill from there as Iraqi insurgents mastered guerrilla tactics. America spent a far-too-large amount of blood and treasure in Iraq, futilely attempting to destroy an enemy who could not—at least using the strategies we were using—be destroyed. It took Bush three years to realize that a change in strategy was needed. That amount of time was much too long.

Possibly even worse than Bush’s handling of Iraq has been his management of economic matters. When Bush took office, the national debt was around five trillion. Now, it’s nearly ten trillion. Bush’s domestic policies represented the greatest expansion of government since the Great Society. That is simply inexcusable, especially for a president who claims to support fiscal responsibility.

It isn’t fair to lay responsibility for the current financial crisis solely on Bush’s shoulders. But then, Jimmy Carter wasn’t wholly responsible for stagflation—but that hasn’t stopped people from blaming him. Bush deserves blame for our situation today, as his policies are largely responsible for it.

His administration (and the Republican-controlled Congress) pressured Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to accept risky mortgages. Under his watch, the Fed lowered interest rates far below market rates. (Granted, the Fed operates outside the executive branch—but it’s hard to imagine that Bush didn’t have influence). When Fannie’s and Freddie’s financial situation became obvious earlier this year, Bush’s Treasury Department did nothing productive.

Even if we assume that some sort of bailout was necessary to protect the lending markets, Bush still mishandled the issue (although to be fair, he had plenty of help from Congress). The bailout put far too much money in the hands of Henry Paulson, and Paulson’s allocation of it doesn’t seem to have helped the situation much. Paulson has spent about half of the $700 billion he got from Congress. It’s hard to see where spending another $350 billion will help. Bush tried to spend his way out of a crisis he helped cause. He failed.

Voters were right to reject Bush’s Republican party (although they probably jumped straight into the fire). There is nothing to be gained from defending Bush, or looking to his administration for guidance (unless, perhaps, as a guide of what not to do). As conservatives seek a new direction in which to take the party, they should simply admit Bush’s failure and look for a new national GOP leader.
 

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Comments

Silver linings.

At least we got Alito and Roberts out of it.

Alito & Roberts?

Bush wanted Miers and, supposedly, Gonzales.

Yes, Alito and Roberts.

OK? But he gave us Alito and Roberts -- hence Alito and Roberts sitting on the SCOTUS. The base played a part in Alito and Roberts -- a big part -- but ultimately it was his pick. I'll give him credit for that.

Was Bush a failure for the Conservative movement? Absolutely. I never want to see Compassionate Conservatism ever, ever, ever again. Reaganites from here on out or bust.

 

Your thesis sounds

Your thesis sounds good--until one looks at history.  Who were the greatest presidents?

Washington, Lincoln, Roosevelt, Reagan.  Presidents who won a war when the nation itself was in danger.

Johnson should have been great, but he lost Viet Nam.  Truman gets a split vote for being part of winning WWII but not winning in Korea.  Eisenhower should have gotten a vote because of prosperity and ending the Korean War, but it wasn't a win.  We're still living with the stalemate.

Bush faced an attack on the homeland with casualties similar to Pearl Harbor.  We haven't been hit since.  Iraq might have pulled him down, but it looks like he's going out a winner there.  A messy winner?  Sure.  But so was Lincoln.  Actually, Lincoln was arguably the worst commander-in-chief the nation has ever had.  But, in the end, with U S Grant, he won.

It is war and threat to the nation that determines the greats.  George W. Bush will go down as one of the great presidents for being the first to tackle the terrorist threat in a winning manner.  If Iraq did prove reasonably fatal to Al Qaeda, it will be an underlined win.

All the other matters are, historically speaking, inconsequential--unless this recession turns out to be a 30's type Great Depression which was due primarily to Bush economic policies (and remember that Fannie, Freddie, and loans to people without sufficient equity were Democrat darlings and protected as such). 

Other than Hoover (and Carter--just because he's historically close), which presidents presided over a recession/depression?  That a short list of names doesn't spring to mind shows how inconsequential recessions and depressions usually are (except to the people who live through them).

If President Obama ushers in a period of peace, Bush's legacy will dim.  But, if pressures from Russia, Iran, Korea and China persist, not to mention problems of war in the Middle East, Bush will receive quite nice treatment from historians.

Not quite

If President Obama ushers in a period of peace, Bush's legacy will dim.  But, if pressures from Russia, Iran, Korea and China persist, not to mention problems of war in the Middle East, Bush will receive quite nice treatment from historians

Nope.

The sins of omission that the Clinton Adminstration made in failing to rootout Al Queda on their watch have been swept under the rug. (Try renting the Road to 9/11).

Similarly, if there's a foreign policy crisis in the first Obama terms, his media lackeys will blame Bush for not addressing it during his administration, and it will be added to the lousy economy that Obama inherited.

I fear the tongued tied Texan is a gift that will keep on giving.  Yes, he protected America from further attacks, but the press treats that like Delta landing planes safely.   

those who trade liberty for security deserve neither

eom

pft

The entire Democratic economic philosophy is premised on the opposite of that.  And it appears that the foreign policy philosophy is following suit now that they have to, you know, govern and stuff.

tip of the hat

and the republican social philosophy, too. ;-)

That's rich

Considering the Patriot Act. Republicans are just as willing as Democrats to state that the goal of the President is to 'keep the people safe'. It's not. It's to uphold the Constitution.

Sorry, but  the War on

Sorry, but  the War on Terror--at least in the short term--can't even compare to either World War in magnitude. There is simply no way that Al-Qaeda--dangerous as it is--poses any concievable threat to the existance of the United States. It's impossible to bring down a country by crashing hijacked airplanes. Even a chemical or biological attack probably would, in the long run, be relatively minor. And I don't see Al-Qaeda denotating a nuclear weapon (and I'd like to remind everyone that nuclear suitcase bombs don't exist). Al-Qaeda is dangerous--but it's not even close to being a mortal threat.

so soon we forget Bush's Ownership Society

seriously, that was a dipshit idea. When we talk about ending redlining -- it really just meant that blacks would be giving FHA loans. Before that, there was systemic racism in the system. Blacks were forced to go rent in the inner city, while white people got loans for houses in the suburbs.

Which wars are you referring to?

Washington, Lincoln, Roosevelt, Reagan.  Presidents who won a war when the nation itself was in danger.

I don't think President Washington fought or won any wars. He was a good general and a fine President, but his Presidency cannot be measured by the war he fought and won prior to becoming President.

It's a bit of a stretch to call Reagan a war President unless you mean Grenada. He "won" the Cold War but is that really on a par with WWII and the Civil War? It was a called a cold war for a reason.

And what about Wilson, why doesn't WWI not count?

In short, your "win a war, be a great President" thesis seems forced to me.

Washington is the general

Washington is the general credited with keeping the Continental Army alive and winning the Revolutionary War.  He was a president, and he won a war--the war that determined if we would be a nation.  He was considered by his contemporaries as the great American leader from the winning of the Revolutionary War until the end of his presidency.  It all flowed into one for him--and rightly so.

As for the Cold War, ever hear of mutual assured destruction?  The whole world was panicked about the possibility not just of the US or the Soviet Union going down, but of the destruction of the entire world.  The stakes were immeasurably higher than in either the Civil War or World War II.  (A Canticle for Leibowitz gives a flavor of the possible meaning of the Cold War.) 

It is historically astonishing to regard it as a back burner war given that it was the central challenge of Truman's, Eisenhower's, Kennedy's, Johnson's, Nixon's, Ford's, Carter's, and Reagan's presidencies and that two significant wars, Korea and Viet Nam, were among its "hot" war battles.

Why not Wilson (WWI) or Madison (War of 1812)?  I can only give guesses.  The generals got the credit for those wins.  Neither Wilson nor Madison was seen as a hands on commander in chief responsible for war policy (as Washington, Lincoln, Roosevelt and Reagan were).   Also, in WWI the homeland was never in danger, and American troops weren't the chief factor in the win as they were in WWII.

Okay, then I'm going to suggest Carter as the non-mad

"best in the cold war" person.

He masterminded Afghanistan (and yes, I do agree that was his only foreign policy success. damn idealists).

Reagan's star wars was entirely too dangerous, and didn't work to boot, causing a nuclear arms race, etc etc.

No Duh

The reason why I even get up in the morning to defend him is the fact that his enemies are even more risible, and some are even more evil, than he is.  He nearly destroyed Lincoln's party through sheer incompetence.  

Indiana is Democratic and so is Illinois

Lincoln's party went democratic this year. Lincoln's base is gone from your party, and has been replaced by Dixiecrats.

Our governor would

Our governor would disagree...

It's much more nuanced then that.  You really have to look at actions, for instance in the state government, rather then just meerly party identification, or who got the most votes for President.

no arguments there.

but I see obama's coalition as recreating Lincoln's.

Oh, and look at everyone who seems to consider Montana a Republican state! (see? it's not just me! ;-) two democratic senators, a democratic governor...)

we shall see, we shall see

we shall see, we shall see.

Bush's Presidency was far more complex than simple "failure"

Roberts and Alito were HUGE wins, thanks to the pressure from the Republican grassroots - to which he did, to his credit, respond. 

Dubai Ports was a near-fiasco where he also gets credit for listening to the good counsel of Republican grassroots.  I put talk radio pundits and conservative bloggers into that column along with their audiences and readers, who generated great activity in emails and phone calls to the White House.  We rejected a bad idea of his, and he heard us.

As for Gonzalez, the attorneys he fired were involved in defending ACORN.  I find it exceedingly difficult to hold that against the Bush administration.

Rescinding the Executive Order for Offshore Drilling may have halted the skyrocketing oil future prices that caused great harm to the American people, and certainly set the table for a potential #dontgo success, had all the other stars aligned for Drill Here Drill Now - again, he listened to his grassroots and the Rebel Congress.

Responding to the counsel of McCain and Petraeus on The Surge in Iraq - HUGE.

He consistently implemented a muscular foreign policy and appointed one of my personal heroes, John Bolton, to the U.N., albeit only temporarily.  Well done. 

If you don't believe that the GWOT poses "any conceivable threat to the United States", I recommend you pick up a copy of Richard Miniter's Shadow War:  The Untold Story of How America is Winning the War on Terror (or just click on Google's book preview here).  I also recommend Lawrence Wright's The Looming Tower: Al Qaeda and the Road to 9/11

The threat to the United States is not solely limited to casualties, in fact the bigger threat was, and probably always will be, to bring down the U.S. economy.  I would imagine that recent events might contribute to us all being able to agree that an economic threat is one of the most effective possible ways to bring this nation to its knees.  The next biggest threat would be a nuclear EMF attack which would render our entire technology infrastructure completely useless, conveniently throwing us all back into the stone age for 3-6 months.  Unless you're a former CIA operative I might question your assurance that suitcase nukes don't exist, but there is no doubt that a rusty barge is capable of launching a portable rocket with a nuclear warhead, not to mention that North Korea's range already reaches to the West Coast.  So while Bush has made some egregious miscalculations and errors during his tenure, the fact that he and his staff have managed the clandestine operations which have kept us safe for the past 8 years is no failure as far as I'm concerned.

If throwing Bush under the bus is the attitude of the NextGen GOP, I'm really disappointed and will be looking forward to the Millenial GOP.  When I look for a new national leader, I certainly won't be looking up to someone who treats Bush the same way John McCain's staff treated Sarah Palin.  George Bush listened to us, he kept us safe and protected Israel,  He's made several significant mistakes - and so did we.  Personal responsibility means we all went astray, not just the leadership that we elected.  I think we should cowboy up to that fact instead trying to run away from it.

What did Bush get wrong then?

Anything you can think of?

Yet another positive accomplishment: African Compassion

All the things I can list that he's done wrong have already been posted elsewhere in and around this article, so I'm not inclined to revisit the Department of Redundancy Department.   

On the other side of the tally, I am inclined to mention yet another positive accomplishment of the Bush Administration - he's considered an absolute hero on the African continent (as opposed to the country of Africa, LoL) due to his contributions to fighting poverty and disease and the treatment and control of AIDS.  Read Bob Geldof's opinion of George Bush here.

I wasn't sure

If you agreed with the failures of the Bush administration posted by the OP. Thanks for the clarification.

While Bush has done some things correctly, on the defining moments of his presidency, he was a failure. Iraq was mismanaged, the response to Katrina was poorly handled, and his 'winning-through-fear' tactics have led to increased Democratic self-labeling among the next generation.

Excellent points

I'm a Boomer, and I've talked with several of my Millenial colleagues about the election.  Full disclosure:  Millenials are my favorite generation.  I think my generation has made an absolute mockery of governance, good stewardship and competency in both the public and private sectors.  A great concern I have is the fact that people I consider to be utterly reprehensible radicals of my generation such as Ayers and Dohrn have obtained "respected professional" status and are heavily influencing education agendas.  Since Millenials have no living historical memory of these people and their acts, their response to my horror over Ayers has uniformly been "it takes a lot more than that to scare us".  I really need to rethink how best to send a message that conservative values such as competition and individualism trump statism and collectivism, given the cultural divide.  Fear is not the answer - there has to be a much more inclusive and intelligent (and humorous?) way to get these points across.  Libertarian Republicans typically have a great sense of humor, sarcasm and mockery - and I wonder if that will ultimately save us...

that's just it...

individualism does not trump statism. They are two hands, and only by working together, and existing in areas where the other one is flatly incompatible, can we make good progress.

Russia is an excellent example of this. The completion of statism led to Communism (USSR), and the completion of individualism led to the present state of Kleptocratic Anarchy.

Neither is a good thing.

So long as we're having arguments about how we can effectively use both hands, where they deserve to be placed, and which one gets to hold the bow (and which the fiddle), we're doing something right.

The upcoming Millenials (of which I am a part)

It should be interesting to see how we break politically. It seems many of us are socially liberal and moderately fiscal. I think many of us like libertarian ideals, but see the practical application as being quite reduced. Look at some of the things that we've grown up with after all. The internet, where I can play video games with a kid from Russia. Increased methods of surveillance. 9/11 and constant 'fear' tactics policies.

I believe the Millenials will grow up to be on average more politically active than any generation since the Boomers, and will lead the way for civil rights for gays, as well as enhanced immigration. What will be really interesting to see is how us Millenials combine evolving technology with politics. We've already seen an idea of what we can do this cycle with Obama's fundraising efforts. What comes next? Will it be for good or bad? Only time will tell.

Fair and Balanced View

I don't think Bush needs to be thrown under the bus, but we have to acknowledge what his failures were.

Communication Breakdown

wasn't a Led Zeppelin hit from the late 1960's,  it was the operating principle of the White House after Ari Fleisher left.

 

Okay, so which is it?

If you consider Bush's administration a failure, does that mean you also believe supply-side economics is, was, also a failure?

What about demand-side economics,  is that now the right path to follow?

Frankly, I think we, the little people, are screwed by either path, but that's another story.

ex animo

davidfarrar