Obama As Bush II

Crossposted at Right Minds

You have to feel a little sorry for George W. Bush. Right now, his approval ratings hover at around thirty percent (on good days), the Iraq War is nigh universally regarded as a dismal failure, and many believe that he is one of the worst presidents in our history.

Bush is not only regarded as incompetent, but stupid as well. No Bushism is considered too unlikely to be believed, (and while Bush has had his share of awkward moments, the story about Bush waving at Stevie Wonder, among others, can’t possibly be true) and it is impossible to imagine a movie like W. being made about any other political figure (except maybe Sarah Palin). Bush might be the most hated and least loved man in America—conservatives tolerate him without much enthusiasm, while liberals unreservedly loathe the man. Barack Obama ran a winning presidential campaign based largely on the fact that he is different than Bush.

Nobody likes Bush—but Obama seems ready to carry on the policies of the Bush administration during his time in the White House. During the election season, there were two vitally important issues: the War in Iraq and the economy. Both candidates spent a lot of time harshly criticizing the President on his handling of these issues. Yet now that he’s in the White House, Obama’s policies on both issues mirror those of Bush.

After years of condemning Bush for his decisions in Iraq, Obama seems set on concluding the war pretty much exactly as Bush would have. He has inserted pro-war Hillary Clinton as his (future) Secretary of State, and is plans on keeping Robert Gates as his Secretary of Defense. (That means that two of the nation’s most influential foreign policy positions will be filled by people who enthusiastically supported the Iraq War). Obama has ceased talking about withdrawal schedules; instead, he seems confident in Gates’ ability to bring the war to a close. And Gates’ position is, of course, that of the Bush Administration. 

On the economy, too, Bush and Obama’s positions seem to overlap. After the economy started it’s meltdown, Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson thought the best way to bring the economy back would be to implement a massive rescue package. Obama agreed. Seven trillion dollars later, Obama is still on board with most of Bush’s economic rescue plan. His plan (which he has been quite vocal about) seems to be almost exactly that of President Bush—inject money into failing companies in order to stabilize the credit market. Obama and Bush differ on some details—Obama, for instance, is more enthusiastic about a possible autobailout—but generally, the two sides seem to agree on broad details.

On these two issues, at least, it is not easy (so far) to see a significant difference between Obama and Bush.

Granted, events forced Obama’s hand a bit—the surge, however little Democrats want to admit it, fundamentally altered the Iraq situation and made Obama’s old anti-war position outdated. And Bush’s response to the financial crisis is Keynesian and probably at least somewhat similar to what Obama’s plan would have been anyway. So it is not as if Obama is suddenly experiencing a conservative epiphany. But Bush’s strategy was hardly the only one Obama could have chosen, and Obama seems to be following Bush’s lead on these issues.

No liberal would ever admit it, but perhaps Bush is not as incompetent as many think he is. And for all his talk of “hope” and “change,” perhaps Obama is a great deal more pragmatic than he seems to be. But it is ironic that the man who condemned John McCain for representing “more of the same” is starting his presidential journey by continuing many of Bush’s most controversial policies.
 

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I thought you were going down the Bush I

analogy....who lasted only one term partially because he raised taxes (he even won the popular vote by a greater margin percentage-wise than Obama did).  Americans have not seen their taxes raised in over 14 years; reality will set in once Obama lets those original Dubya tax cuts expire and Americans have to fill out their 1040s just in time for the 2012 election.  The "middle-class" tax cut that Obama proposed is a sham; it's a one-time deal whereas letting the Bush tax cuts expire is a permanent tax increase unless Congress extends them; this is on top of an increase in payroll, death, and capital-gains taxes with no decline in the corporate tax rate.

I'm all in favor of higher capital gains taxes

otherwise how will the rich have to pay anything?

The estate taxes will be fixed, and continue as Adam Smith would have liked, removing wealth from the aristocracy.

Middle class starts from 250,000 dollars per year, and goes up from there. Trust me, we can afford to let most taxpayers pay less. The wealth is going to the rich. And if you don't see a problem with that, I've got some gatling guns to sell you.

King henry's response to the crisis is classic friedmanianism

increasing liquidity to prevent deflation. Do you even read these economists?

The bailout has FAILED. Obama looks set to appoint much better regulators of the economy. Of course, when you back everyone into a corner and threaten riots and martial law, everyone suddenly sees where they have to run. That's not an indication of consensus, that's an indication of mass Panic.

Bush's most controversial polcies involved handing money in no bid contracts to his cronies, and UTTERLY deregulating wall street. If either of those are continued under Obama's administration, well, you can pass me the ammunition, cause I'll be after his head.

And Mr. Gates is not Bush's man. He's the Military Brass' Man (and they pressed for him to be kept on). AKA the only one willing to step in after Rummy. As such, he already drew up a plan for withdrawal. Obama's using it. This is standard practice, just as Bush used Clark's excellent plan to attack the Taliban.

Scuttlebutt says Gates is gone in two years or less.

Obama isn't nearly as liberal as people think ... or at any rate, he's extremely pragmatic about his liberalism, willing to adapt it to the overton window as much as he pushes the window.

Your post indicates that Bush isn't even Bush anymore

I think you've got it completely wrong - Obama isn't moving toward Bush's positions; Bush, in his dying days, moldering in a pit of unpopularity, is modifying his position to the Iraq War, and basically is just drifting along on the economic crisis. Bush 2008 bears little resemblence to Bush 2006, and it was the 2006 model that Obama was campaigning against.

Punditry as cherry-picking

If you are seeking to demonstrate that punditry is largely an exercise in cherry-picking...

On these two issues, at least, it is not easy (so far) to see a significant difference between Obama and Bush.

...I would say you have succeeded.

However, even these cherries are somewhat over ripe.

1. Gates has essentially signed on to Obama's timetable: Gates on board with Obama's Iraq plan:

Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates said he accepted President-elect Barack Obama's approach to scheduled troop reductions in Iraq, arguing Tuesday that the hotly debated subject of timelines for withdrawal largely had been settled by a new U.S.-Iraq security agreement.

"That bridge has been crossed," Gates said a day after he formally agreed to remain as Obama's Defense secretary. "And so the question is: How do we do this in a responsible way?" 

2. Bush and Obama's economic plans the same! Really? Are you going to stick with that? Really? Get a grip, man. Does any of that look like Bush/Republican economic policy?

Please try harder.