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GOP Group Relationships
[Promoted - this is an interesting basic visualization of the relationship between various rIght-of-center ideological groups. The graphic could probably be extended and refined a great deal - perhaps a useful project for an enterprising person who has a good handle on the right-of-center coalition, their relationships and graphic design - Jon Henke]
This morning I took out my Visio crayons to play with some set theories inspired by Jon's article The Future of the Right. Rick's comment recommended that we not forget the missing category of Reagan Republicans, and I thought I should also include another category whom I hope I have properly categorized as "Paleo-Libertarian Republicans". I'm better at process analysis than political analysis and this is a very rough draft, but the nifty thing about a Venn Diagram is that it leaves very little doubt which groups share common goals, and which group is an outlyer. You can take the term outlyer any way you like, by the way. Heh.
Jon, I promoted P.J. as the archetype for Neo-Libertarian Republicans instead of you because I don't want anyone thinking I'm in the tank for you just because we share 99.9% of the same philosophy and you have a 33.3333% share of the influence on this website. Plus, anyone who writes a book titled "Republican Party Reptile" deserves to be an archetype of something.



Comments
Very cool
I still think identifying social conservatives as Bush republicans after his disappointing fiscal record is fallacious.
We appreciated his willingness to adress the issues, but not the method he used. see my comment on jon's story about the Huckabee republican mindset
I find it very revealing that people assume that Huckabee would pursue social big government policy at the federal level, when in his own administration, he did more streamlining of what was already there, than introduction of completely new.
I think people assume that because he was a pastor he would go crazy on healthcare, education, poverty etc in a handout rather than hand up way. But look at his state.. He introcuded a system for private companies to give people incentives on their own dime to stay healthy..he didn't try to mandate free healthcare for all.
He consolodated a scattered ineffective educational burocracy and moved it out of the failing to the productive.
Everyone is complaining about Bad government in Washington.. here was a candidate with a proven track record of GOOD government..that worked.. was more limited when he left it than when he found it.. and that had a surplus to boot.
I never understood the hostility toward his approach. I have yet to find another governor who was able to balance the social and fiscal responisibilities of governing so well.
I think the definition of a Huckabee republican as a Bush republican is incorrect. As a Huckabee supporter, I found Bush's rampant spending for ineffective product, social or otherwise, very disturbing. One of the very things that draws me and 20,000 other grassroots supporters to Huckabee's cause is his proven ability to be as fiscally limited as he possibly can, while still achieving the desired result. We are not as virulently opposed to very limited taxation if we can see the ultimate benifit for the entire community down the road...but expansion on a massive scale is out of the question, and Huckabee has never expanded government exponentially. Raises here were offset by cuts there..the overall effect was one primarily of balance, or minimal increase for maximum benift.
There is no 'may or may not be interested in limited government' in the Huckabee republican camp..Nor would his administration if he ever had one be a 'Christian Democracy' that's just an FYI for those who may not know the inner workings of our thought processes.
Editors, I really wish you guys had a representative of the social conservative, Huckabee republican world view working closely with you. I don't think you really understand where we are coming from, and definitions like the one you made of Huckabee are more likely to piss us off than get us on board here. I would love to hope we have a place in shaping the discussion of what will go on here at the Next Right.
@ Rensen
I actually really liked Huckabee early on in the Primary, and I fall more into the Neo-Libertarian group than any other. I liked the fact that he supported capitalism by improving the infrastructure that spurs the growth of business in the state. I thought his wife was a wonderful asset who did her own laundry on the campaign trail, knew when to be quiet and supportive, and was also very much her own woman with a successful professional and political career. And don't even get me started on how cool it was that Chuck Norris campaigned for Mike!
If you have $5 and Chuck Norris has $5, Chuck Norris has more money than you.
Chuck Norris destroyed the periodic table, because he only recognizes the element of surprise.
Chuck Norris can eat just one Lay's potato chip.
There is no 'ctrl' button on Chuck Norris' computer, because Chuck Norris is always in control.
Chuck Norris can slam a revolving door.
H/T to Chuck Norris Facts.
Very, very unfortunately, I fear that Huck's NRA riposte regarding Obama is going to have the same effect on his national political career as Howard Dean's scream. And it doesn't matter that you know and I know he meant nothing by it, because the P/C Thought Police have other ideas.
If it's any consolation, I think that even the most libertarian among us have a real repugnance for abortion - at the very least we don't want our taxes used to pay for it.
If you'd like me to create or modify a group that better represents Christian conservatives, specify the input and I'll update my diagram. It's all iterative. ;-)
NRA Gaffe isn't a killer..
I'd agree with you about the NRA gaffe except for two things.
1) The liberal media let it go, as did many democrats, even in Obama circles. Why? because he has consistently been on the record as supportive of the minority community and has been respectful to both of the democratic candidates in his interviews in public. It stung..but i'm willing to bet he was able to cash in his one get out of jail free card with the political capital he had stored.
I'll bet the greatest criticism is coming from the conservative bologosphere, and mainly because many economic conservatives would prefer Mike was out of the running.
2) Poor Hillary managed to out gaffe him on the same subject with her RFK quote.. and the libs went nuts on that one...interesting.
I think his good VP polling numbers have to keep him in the running. We'll see.
Re our identify in the graphic
Would It be apostasy to say that a primarily social conservative who expects fiscal responsibility and cares about national security in equal measure are actually Regan republicans? I don't think Regan treasured one leg any higher than the others, although the ficons would have you believe he valued fiscal over social responsibility.
If that was the case, why did the crossover appeal into the democrat base start with the Regan democrats... He appealed to the working class primarily with his social and economic message, the very same appeal that mike now has, especially with his support of the fair tax.
I am not saying that Mike is Regan, but I think their governing pattern at least on a local level including on taxes was quite similar.
Actually though to be brutally honest... we think of ourselves as Huckabee republicans now, especially because of his support of the fair tax reform which no other president has supported. For us the combination of things that are appealing are packaged so uniquely that he sets the standards for candidates who will come after him on those same issues platforms.
On the joke in front of the
On the joke in front of the NRA
In part, yes, he benefitted from his credibility as just a decent fellow who clearly wouldn't make a remark of the nature some tried to infer from the joke. Also, I think it was clear he was trying to make a joke about Obama's opinion of gun owners, but he never even got to his own punchline. In general his humor serves him well and I don't think that particular comment is going to hurt him in the long run.
Huckabee does have some unique strengths. I don't see McCain choosing him as VP, but I do hope that the GOP recognizes how many Republicans resonated with Huckabee's proposals for tax reform.
Suggestion for New Group Input...
Just for fun, let's play with the notion of a Huckabee Republican and see where it takes us. Here's my recommendation for formatting the input:
Title: Huckabee Republicans
Guiding Principle: ___________________ (please provide your favorite Huckabee quote or quotes, so I can summarize something philosophical thereof)
Key Attributes: ______________, _______________, ________________ (fill in blanks with the policies or positions which best describe your Huckabee Republicans)
Archetype: Mike Huckabee
If you go through the exercise and the key attributes differ with Reagan Republicans, then we have an intersection but not an exact match - thus a new group. Jon's probably hired a sitter and gone out to dinner and a movie with the fetching Mrs. Henke, so we can have our fun while he's away. <weg> I'll check back after I finish my ironing while my hubby mows the yard.
fun!
For the record, my parents are Huckabee supporters.
Three words:
White Southern Baptists
Guiding principle:
"I'm pretty sure there will be duck-hunting in heaven and I can't wait!"
Three words: White Southern
Three words: White Southern Baptists
Not necessarily. Huckabee won Catholic Louisiana.
LOL..you just opened the floodgates
I crossposted blog link at hucksarmy.com, so you may get feedback.
Guiding principle: "Never sacrifice your principles for anybody's politics."
Key Attributes: Supports comprehensive tax reform (Fair tax), Supports Human Life Amendment, (pro-life from conception to natural death), Supports Comprehensive Immigration Reform, (Secure America Plan) Supports Rebuilding Military to Reagan era levels.
I'll look for other quotes where he adresses policy specifically and add. BTW.. I'm black..and several huck supporters are athiests on huck's army website..so mike's support is not at all limited to the white baptist vote.. lol
I like this...
The Huckabee fan club are clearly the social conservatives. I would also add the following:
Nice
Very impressive.
I'll have to think about the intersections, though.
@ Lisa
Think about 'em and let me know how they can be improved to reflect what's really going on in our party. Thanks!
I'd change an affiliation
I would let the "Status Quo Republicans" intersect with the Bush Republicans in the upper left with no further intersections.
Also, I would agree with Rensen that identifying Bush as a social conservative is fallious. Bush used social conservatives and pandered to them while failing to deliver on their issues.
Not so sure,
Bush in general hasn't been a bad president on issues of life, though in much of my panorama, I'd prefer he hadn't blown his political capital elsewhere. His two successful SCOTUS picks have proven -- so far -- to be real winners, but don't forget his other pick, Harriet Miers. History will, of course, eventually be the judge.
I find myself identifying with each of the circles above except Nixon and Paul. That's a bit strange, since I worked on the 1972 ReElect the President program, but what did a 15-year-old know? I think I once voted Libertarian, too, but youth does pass by oh so quickly.
Nixon gets a bad rap
When he was President the Dems had neat veto-proof control of Congress(remember how many Rockefeller Republicans were around then) , there was no means to challenge the liberal news media and the courts were packed with activists liberals. Nixon didn;t bother to advance much of a conservative agenda since it was going to go nowhere given the circumstances. He focused on foreign policy where he was left alone a bit more.
He played the cards he was dealt. Had Reagan won in 1968 he might have gotten more done ideologically, but there was no way he could have done then what he did in 1980 with a congress much more aligned to his agenda.
Interesting
I really like your diagram, GR. I'm going to promote this momentarily.
Two quick things:
1. You were exactly right. I had gone out to eat wth my wife.
2. Huckabee's guiding principle is summed up in this quote: "Two things govern my political philosophy. One is the Golden Rule: "Do unto others as you would have them do unto to you." And the other is Scripture from Matthew chapter 25, verse 40: "Inasmuch as you have done to the least of these my brethren, you have done it unto me." I feel like that gives you real good ditches to drive between."
That's pretty straightforward Rawlsian liberalism. Outside of the social stuff, it's very hard to see how Huckabee has much philosophical similarity to traditional conservatives.
C'mon Jon!!
The following platform wasn't conservative?
Guiding principle: "Never sacrifice your principles for anybody's politics."
Key Attributes: Supports comprehensive tax reform (Fair tax), Supports Human Life Amendment, (pro-life from conception to natural death), Supports Comprehensive Immigration Reform, (Secure America Plan) Supports Rebuilding Military to Reagan era levels.
I don't understand why folks latch on to his social sensibility and assume it could only be administered through liberal means!!
Huckabee's similarities to my favorite conservative.
The term "Huckabee Republican" describes me.
I WAS a Reagan Democrat. I agree with him, I didn’t leave the Democrat Party, they left me. What happened to “Ask not what your country can do for you; ask what you can do for your country”? I am strong pro life and pro family. I vote my Bible; trusting God will take care of my wallet. Reaganomics works. Republicans help take care of our wallets by keeping taxes low enough that employers can afford to pay employees.
Many of our party are looking for the next Reagan. There will NEVER be another Ronald Reagan. After God made Reagan, God broke the mold. I am looking for the one that seems to be the closest to Reagan. The harder I look the more I like one particular candidate. The list is in no specific order.
Sincerely,
A Reagan/Huckabee Republican
Re: Huckabee's guiding principle
Really, Jon? How does the following Huckabee quote fit with those principles?
Beyond his liberal spending policies and his total lack of knowledge on foreign affairs, Huckabee is personally a mean spirited, small minded little man. Should he somehow finagle his way onto the ticket I fear many fiscal Republicans will find that to be the last straw and will just stay home in November.
No, it wasn't.
That's a meaningless cliche. Any poltician could spout it.
It's quite interesting that Huckabee decided to latch onto a tax reform plan that is fundamentally unworkable and has pretty much zero chance in passing.
(shrug) I never said he wasn't a social conservative. Again, though, this has about as much chance of passing as I have of becoming President. Zip.
A road to DC, er, Damascus realization that he had better copy and paste the CIS immigration proposal is pretty meaningless in my book.
Ah, limited government.. I'm not sure I saw anything in the items you mentioned that would remotely limit government.
No Huckabee for me
The groups are interesting but I'm not sure that I agree there is such a group as Bush Republicans. Bush was able to meld enough groups together to form a winning coalition but his coalition has splintered into many pieces now.
Where do the Republicans who can't abide John McCain fall? There is a large group of Republicans who will support McCain only to be sure Obama doesn't win. They dislike McCain intensely but are too terrified of Obama to sit out.
Republicans are a little hard to classify but I do like your attempt.
Where's the can do spirit?
Gosh you can dump ice water on a girl's head...
The philosophy wasn't meant to be a 'conservative statement' just something that resonates with Huckabee republicans... with a washington full of flip flop conservatives, having someone who stands on something is valued to us.
The fair tax can happen if enough of the people communicate its viability to congress, we made big steps with raising its profile this cycle. Any body who really gets how the tax works realizes how much of a boost our economy would get from it. And its a working model in other countries, so its not an imaginary platform.
A 'conversion experience' is credible when it happens to someone who has proven to be a man of his word. Huckabee has delivered on EVERY campaign promise made at the state level, we assume he'd deliver at the federal level as well. Imagine what would happen if he REALLY delivered on that security plan..wow
Did Reagan finance his military with the capital earned from his tax reforms? Maybe the economic boost from the fair tax would provide similar resources?
I wasn't trying to prove that Huckabee Republicans belong to your GOP group...just what defines our GOP group. We are a little less about ideological purity and more about good government productivity I think..
I'm guessing you aren't a Huck fan
A couple more thoughts.
I'm with Jon on the Huckster.
Perhaps we need to do something about the relative size of the circles and/or their intersections with each other.
The fair tax can happen if
That's just it. It's not viable. Tax evasion and avoidance dramatically increases above about 12%. At 30% tax rates - not including State sales taxes - evasion and avoidance would be enormous. And that's just (allegedly) to make it revenue neutral at current levels. You'd have to raise levels to make up for the additional spending government would have to do to pay sales tax on its purchases. And while I think a shift towards a consumption tax would help the economy in some ways, I think the pie-in-the-sky assumptions about the fair tax driving down prices is grounded in a lot of wishful thinking. Prices are determined by supply and demand, not by cost factors.
Where? Countries trying consumption taxes pretty invariably are forced to use a VAT, rather than an NST.
The Fair Tax.....
The Fair Tax is also unworkable because you have to:
1) Create a new bureaucracy to administer the "prebate" (monthy welfare check given to everyone)
2) Continue to file forms every year to get said prebate telling how many in are in the household.
3) There are many loopholes to avoid the "Fair Tax" (used goods, business purchases, etc.)
4) The fact that we may have both an income and national sales tax.
If we adopted the "Fair Tax"
Every political campaign would be based around the Democrats demanding that the "prebate" be increased to some outlandish amount and the Republicans left to play green eyeshade responsible politics...."We could increase the prebate by $5000 if the Republicans would raise the tax rates...and you know big business and rich people would be footing the bill"
This would not end well. I think we have given the Democrats more than enough ways to try and buy votes already
HUCKABEE REPUBLICAN (from a self-described Reagan guy)
I would personally put myself in the Reagan category as would most Hucakbee grassroots leaders that I know.
HUCKABEE REPUBLICANS
Guiding Principles: Justice, Fairness, and Opportunity
Justice Example: Culture of life for all. High ethical standards.
Fairness Example: Fair tax (FairTax) structure and free trade that is also fair. Repeal of McCain/Feingold to be replaced with a system to no limits and full and instantaneous disclosure.
Opportunity Example: Commitment to outcome-based, accountable education instead of just throwing money into more bureaucracy so that our students actually get the opportunity to learn. (Look at how Arkansas went from #49 to #8 in education while Huckabee was Governor.)
Key Attributes: Pragmatic & Authentic Leadership, Pro-Family Policies, and Charge to the American People that if they want Limited Government that they need to start with self-government and healthy living.
I know that Malta has national sales tax that is main source of tax revenue. I know that because I talked with a student at VA Tech last month whose uncle was the former PM of the country and he told me about their tax structure which he said worked very well. They did not call it the "FairTax" in Malta although that is exactly what it was.
I would say that a VAT / FairTax hybrid would be a good idea as well. You could do a 10% inclusive VAT and a13% inclusive FairTax for the same effect.
The FairTax would also encourage GREEN LIVING as re-sale of used items would be tax-free.
PS - Can we call Huckabee, Huckabee and not the Huckster. We are all on the right here. I don't call McCain "Juan McCain" or Mitt Romney "Mitten". Let's use some class and respect.
Just a few thoughts...
Great chart, GR!
Kevin Boyd: I would let the "Status Quo Republicans" intersect with the Bush Republicans in the upper left with no further intersections.
Good point - Definitely agree!
Lynn: Where do the Republicans who can't abide John McCain fall? There is a large group of Republicans who will support McCain only to be sure Obama doesn't win. They dislike McCain intensely but are too terrified of Obama to sit out.
Sounds like Status Quo Republicans to me, based on the chart. “Winning is everything.”
And on the Huckabee discussion, why not classify him as a Progressive Republican?
Not what I thought
I was very interested when I saw the link to this site, but the content has been disappointing. Threads full of ideological masturbation, Venn diagrams, "define yourself"....may as well go to a Poli Sci class at Berkeley.
Great leaders are able to define simple overarching visions, then let the troops fill in the details. That is what made Reagan great. George Will said it best; Reagan had two beliefs: the American people were taxed too much, and the Soviet Union was getting away with murder. Nearly everything else he did stemmed from these two tenets. But what made him successful...as opposed to, say, Goldwater... was that he was brilliant enough a politician to know how to pick his battles, how to win in the long haul. There is a great difference between intellectual conservatism and conservative politics.
Republicans began to lose when they strayed from basic tenets, not when they splintered into these invented groups. Reagan was staunchly pro-life; he did not, however, make it a defining issue: except that he made certain that, on the federal level, overturning the bad law of R v W would put the decision back where it belonged. He was a cold warrior in the Kennedy/Acheson mold. He decried the coddling equivalence of detente. And he had an unfailing confidence in the good judgement of the American people, who rewarded that judgement. Now y'all are welcome to your classroom jibber jabber. But it ain't gonna win elections, ain't gonna cut your taxes, ain't gonna save any of the unborn, and ain't gonna reduce the tidal wave of government.
Boy, gold,
you sound like a great church sound man I know. Is that you, Kirk?
Exactly
Virtually no voters could tell the difference between Russell Simmons and Russell Kirk. We are not going to get anywhere with the mindset we need to reach some metaphysical nirvana before we can win elections.
We lost in 2006 because we wasted money, we could neither finish the war in Iraq or explain why we hadn;t, and we had a lot of sleazy or misguided candidates on the ballot. The average couch potato watching daytime TV could figure this out without a diagram.