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Virginia to Obama, Florida to Toss-Up

by idahoconservative | September 30, 2008 at 10:27 PM

Today's Insider Advantage poll puts Obama up 6 in Virginia, with the last three polls indicating an Obama lead. So after several months, I'm moving Virginia out of toss-up and to "Leans Obama."

The Latest Public Policy Polling has Obama up 3. This is after other recent polls have shown a tie, and two others have shown McCain +1. I hate to do this (and I also hated to move Virginia but lamenting the state of the race in two straight paragraphs is lame.) but Florida has got to go to toss-up.

Simply put, Obama has a clear, functional electoral college majority for the first time since I've been posting on the state of the race.

Turning this around depends on everybody, including the candidate, doing their part. I made five calls into Nevada for Senator McCain tonight.

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The Mac team seems to be doing few events

Submitted by Ironman on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 06:33.

in VA and CO, which makes no sense.

The Obama team is simply out on the road more and it does have a cumulative effect

Everyone seems to be doing their part...

Submitted by Darvin Dowdy on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 07:34.

...except for McCain himself.  And his team of handlers. They continue to shoot themselves and each other in the foot.  

They don't seem to have a clue.  They need to take the leash off of the Pitt Bull and give her a fresh supply of lipstick.  Turn her lose....   DD

If McRino loses this should send the message loud and clear

Submitted by Big Ben 4 liberty on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 08:45.

next time to the GOP heirarchy.  No "mavericks" or RINOs of any kind, they don't win.  Only genuine consertives like Palin, who are allowed to be who they are, win.

VA Blue??

Submitted by alexashrugged on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 09:15.

Eeek!  I'm going to have to move further South!

www.alexashrugged.com

I'm to the left of most here

Submitted by gabriel on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 09:59.

so I am biased, but what where you expecting?

The closest thing to an iron law of politics in the US is that Americans get tired of the same party in the WH after 8 years. Add to that the economic situation and Bush's low  approval and there is nothing surprising about these numbers.

Everyone should have seen this coming

Submitted by superdestroyer on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 10:02.

Image what the eleciton in 2012 will be like after the Democrats get to do most of the redistricting or in 2016 after the Democrats put 20 million illegal aliens on the fast track to citizenship.

When you realize that less than 50% of the children in kindergarten are white, you can forget about a long term comeback for conservatives. That is what President Bush and Karl Rove were much more interested with pandering to Hispanics and implementing conservatives politicies.

What would have a greater affect on politics in the U.S:  for all of the Republicans to start voting in the Democratic primaries or for the Republicans to hang on as some kind of rump party that cannot affect policy (See the Republican party in most states north of Virginia).

 

McCain did it to himself

Submitted by Repack Rider on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 10:14.

He has made such a big deal about being a "maverick" who isn't beholden to his own party and doesn't adhere to anything GOP, that he has redefined himself as "not a Republican."  Who does that leave Republicans to vote for, especially when they are extemely uncomfortable with Palin?

I think they'll just stay home.

Obama Over 50 Percent In Florida

Submitted by carltonyates on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 10:28.

Look on the bright side...McCain/Palin have been wanting to spend more time with their families.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1218

Toss-Ups

Submitted by Jim Dandy to the Rescue on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 11:05.

October is going to be VERRRRY interesting, with Obama, the DNC, and the DSCC/DCCC all full of cash and contributions continuing to pour in.

I have been looking at Quinnipiac and other results today, which put PA, OH, and FL solidly over to Obama outside the margin of error, and now put NC, IN, and even MO into the Undecideds.

That is over 329 EV, and puts Obama in sight of Bill Clinton's amazing 370 EV victories in 92 and 379 in 96.

Rumor is the GOP chairs are telling the McCain campaign to fire off all the ammunition they have NOW.  We are moving quickly to people's minds settling on a candidate and staying put, and things are beginning to look very bleak down-ticket GOP as well.

Former 100% guaranteed-safe seats like Mitch McConnell, Liddy Dole, and Saxby Chambliss, all from deep-red states and districts, have moved within the MoE this week.

Dead Horse Edition Obama +7 in Pew Poll

Submitted by carltonyates on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 12:07.

Saracuda not so popular.  Idiocracy should remain a movie and not a campaign platform, according to registered voters.

http://people-press.org/report/456/obama-regains-lead

It Ain't Over

Submitted by Jeff Roberts on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 12:31.

I know liberals love to crow about the latest polls, but deep down, they know they can still lose this election.  If they were confident about their nominee winning, they wouldn't feel the need to go on conservative websites and brag about the latest poll numbers, telling us it's over.

You can count on this race tightening up significantly in the next month.  Averaging all the polls during the worst week McCain could possibly have, this is still a 3-4 point race, which is nothing.  Especially considering Republicans tend to do better than the unbiased MSM polls indicate.

The fact that Obama hasn't closed the deal with this current environment should send chills down your spine.  You have a deeply flawed candidate, and I predict more of Obama's history is going to come out over the next 4 weeks.

 

Absolutely my man!

Submitted by Big Ben 4 liberty on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 15:26.

This empty suit couldn't even seal the deal with the nomination, he needed the superdelegates to swing it (which only proves that  the Democrat party is anything but).   If he we're really winning then it would be a 10+ point race and the liberal trolls would be laughing amongst themselves rather than trying to convince us that it is over.

Stages of Grief

Submitted by carltonyates on Wed, 10/01/2008 - 16:02.

Refresher http://s236.photobucket.com/albums/ff286/oxymoronically/?action=view&cur...

 

At first I didn't get it, then it occured to me

Submitted by Big Ben 4 liberty on Thu, 10/02/2008 - 22:22.

that your point is purely psychobabble.  Truly you are in touch with the Oprah-Dr. Phil mentaliy.  While it is great for geeting in touch wiht your feeling it unforunately it makes for lousy political analysis.