CT Senate 2010: Is the "Club" inviting in Sam Caligiuri?

In the wake of NY 23  all eyes pointed to the Club for Growth to ascertain where they would jump in next to promote fiscally conservative candidates. And in light of this article, one wonders if they have CT in mind as one of their next venues  

Beyond Florida, other establishment Republicans may be looking over their shoulders. Chocola, a former House Republican from Indiana, noted that he served with Rep. Mark Kirk (R., Ill.) and former Rep. Rob Simmons (R., Conn.), both running for the Senate.

“They’re both good guys, but they don’t fit the bill as Club for Growth candidates,” he said.

Before his organization decides to jump in, however, he said the group has to see how those races develop, and whether a clear “Club” alternative surfaces.

“The best Kirk and Simmons can expect is that we leave them alone,” Chocola said.

So, Simmons, who has had to revise prior positions on cap and trade; as well as card check, and recently made a rather conciliatory statement on the public option, might find himself not just  overlooked by the fiscal conservative masterminds, but even challenged by a serious committment of time and resources by the Club.  The Club may not always succeed, but their targets are always aware the Club tried.

So, who would the Club for Growth think would be a viable opponent for Chris Dodd?  Who is fiscally conservative enough to warrant their support, a candidate capable of actually winning against Dodd in the general election, and a candidate who actually could use their support?.

There are four other Republicans in the U.S. Senate race besides Simmons. I believe we can write off two names.  Linda McMahon is , of course, "the Wild RINO". Besides, why should the Club send some of its limited money to CT to subsidize a self-funding billionaire? 

Peter Schiff, the former Ron Paul advisor, is certainlly in favor of limited government, but his agenda is so doctrinaire as to make him a very poor investment of Club resources. Perhaps Idaho is ready for 180 proof libertarianism; CT, not so much. Besides, his campaign to date has just done moneybombs and has no traction on the ground.

That leaves Tom Foley and Sam Caligiuri. Foley has been running cute ads with babies, but he's never run a political campaign and whether he can win an election is an open question.

There's one candidate running in CT right now who a) has a proven record of fiscal conservatism and b) has a proven record of winning elections. That's Sam Caligiuri.

Samcaligiuri2.jpg

2010 might be exactly the year to run a state senator who stood up against a Governor in his own party to vote "no" on an ultimately disasterous state budget. And that made Sam Caligiuri the only CT State Senator to oppose a budget that left the state in a huge deficit. 

It might also be a good year to run a candidate who won a formerly Democratic legislative seat in the Democratic tsunami of 2006.      

And given the issue environment, it might make sense to run a candidate praised for his ability on the stump and described as a "proud Reagan Republican"

I have no idea what the decision making processes at the Club are. Certaintly Rob Simmons is a far cry from the elasticity of Charlie Crist--Simmons is a good guy and generally helpful to other Republicans.  But the Club is looking for alternative to the "Certified Pre-Owned Candidates".

Sam Caligiuri is the sort of guy they would be looking at in Connecticut. And, they did sound like they wanted to play, now didn't they?

 

0
Your rating: None

Comments

So, Ironman, do you think Snowe should be opposed too?

On a related matter, I am curious to hear your opinion about this one. The Family Research Council would welcome a conservative challenger to Olympia Snowe who is generally popular in Maine thanks to solid support from independent and Dem voters but disliked by her own party nowadays.

 

http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/2009/11/family-research-council-pac-w...

 

She's got two years to talk me out of it...

I'm not a big Olympia Snowe fan, but's she's been far, far more useful to her state and even the GOP than Dede Scozzafava was going to be.

Besides, there have been conservatives in ME, it's just that they don't seem very electable. No sense starting a fight if it's not going to end well for the Right.

 

Then why did you support Hoffman?

 No sense starting a fight if it's not going to end well for the Right.

Then why did you support Hoffman?

 

Ironman thinks he[himself] is a pragmatist....

Truth is he can't decide.

He had a better chance of winning than the RINO

Scozzafava was losing ground to Owens from day one in the campaign and was in second place weeks ago. She had little cash and no enthusiasm outside her assembly district. Switching to the candidate with momentum frankly could be done by those agnostic as to ideology.  As noted, this race is starting to look closer than it did election night.  

One other thing. There are only 100 senate seats, only 34 come up every cycle  and one needs to thing long and hard about a campaign. The House is up every two years and mistakes can be fixed in a reasonable period of time. So a flier on a House seat no big deal.

In addition, I stand by my belief that even had Scozzafava eked a win out ( I don;t think she would have) she would have flipped to the Democrats in '11 to save her house seat in reapportionment.  Hard to invest good money in that unreliable a rental.

 

Scozzafava was not in 2nd place until Hoffman

 started siphoning off votes. That district had never elected a Democrat ever - and would not have last week were it not for Hoffman. And your "theory" that she would have become a Democrat is just baseless nonsense that you should be embarassed to type.

Wise up, pal

Hoffman was siphoning votes from day one. The usual Republican House candidate in upstate NY gets between 8-16K votes on the Conservative line. Scozzafava was never getting any of those votes and very early on it was clear her ceiling was lower than Owens. All Owens had to do was to something near what Gore or Kerry got (47%)  in this district and he'd be in.  

As for the "baseless nonsense", hmmn, the Democrats solicited her to run on their ticket in this race and she endorsed their candidate at the end of this campaign. You think she wouldn't have flipped parties to avoid having her district dismembered and having to face a Democrat based in Syracuse or Utica? Please. 

 ===Update====

I remembered this little fiasco, which is proof that Darwinism is right, at least when it come to the NYS GOP.  They ran a liberal woman for the State Senate in a district that includes part of the 23rd (Madison and Oneida county) a few years back; here's how it turned out 

Dadey, as you'll recall, is the reason why Valesky was able to win his seat in 2004.

After losing a GOP primary to then-Sen. Nancy Larraine Hoffman, Dadey refused to bow out of the race and ran in the general election on the Conservative line. He and Hoffman split the Conservative and Republican votes, providing Valesky with a narrow (700-vote) path to victory.

The local GOP should have known full well what running a candidate without Conservative Party support meant in that part of the state. The fact they went ahead and did it anyway bespeaks utter stupidity and immense arrogance.  

 

So how do you explain the result?

nt

So those polls showing Scozzafava with a 10 point lead

 over Owens in September were just something I dreamed?

Seems to me that if Owens had got 47% the Republicans would have won the seat with 53%! Were it not for your candidate.

ANY politician should have known that demeaning local issues as "parochial" (Dick Armey's word) or "arcane" (your word) is no way to win an election, especially when the candidate doesn't live in the district.

And your instance that you can read Scozzafava's mind doesn't get any more convincing with repetition.

reading comprehension?

You do understand the concept of "ceiling"? Basically, Scozzafava hit it right out of the block; and it was all due to her being an incumbent officeholder.. Because, as I pointed out, a minimum of 10 points was going to go third party; even if the candidate was a wooden post. Once Owens got the DNC ads up, he was going to get into the 40's. Bye bye

Wishing won't make it any different.  The NYS GOP gave the seat away not nominating Doheny or Maroun, Hoffman almost got it back in spite of them.