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Tea Party movement: Focus on defeating pols, not electing them
Perhaps the most powerful image from the Tea Parties is the video of South Carolina GOP Congressman Gresham Barrett being relentlessly booed at the Greenville event.
Some are suggesting that the way to give the Tea Party movement long term impact is by using it to encourage people to run for local office. Gresham Barrett's smackdown suggests that defeating candidates may be more effective for getting at the real root of the problem, which is incentives within the system that push whoever's in office to do the wrong things.
Electing a few sterling characters won't change that. But if one or a bunch of political establishment hacks get "taken out and shot" - figuratively speaking, of course - that does change incentives, and behavior.
Milton Friedman said it well:
"I do not believe that the solution to our problem is simply to elect the right people. The important thing is to establish a political climate of opinion which will make it politically profitable for the wrong people to do the right thing. Unless it is politically profitable for the wrong people to do the right thing, the right people will not do the right thing either, or if they try, they will shortly be out of office."
Turn that around and the point becomes clear: It needs to become politically unprofitable to do the wrong things. At this moment the most important thing about an election is not who gets elected, but who gets defeated. So rather than electing candidates, the movement should make defeating them its goal.
This applies to incumbents and also to open-seat races, where the front-runner is almost always a member-in-good-standing of the political class. Make that identity the issue, and defeat those people. Make political-class membership a political death sentence for candidates.
Back to that SC congressman being booed at the Tea Party: Talk about "changing the climate of public opinion" - that kind of thing is an incentive changer, especially if it marks the beginning of the end of this establishment pol's career.


Comments
Tossing the bums out...
... is not so effective if you have no better alternative to the bums.
Here's the problem with purists: Someone is always elected.
And our country has a winner-take-all electoral system with a strong executive, so the stable equilibrium is two political coalitions represented by one major party each. Owing to the reality of coalition politics, you will have to share your party with people with whom you're not entirely comfortable if you want your party to beat the other one.
So if you have a decent minority within your party refusing to support anyone in your party who isn't, say, 95% pure, that makes it likely that a lot of races will be won by people who only agree with your movement 5% of the time. And then the 5-percenters become entrenched incumbents.
To tie it in with your main point: if your movement makes it more politically profitable to do the wrong thing 95% of the time than to do the wrong thing 25% of the time, what have you accomplished? You certainly haven't put a dent in the political class, you've just ensured that the political class is full of people who are dedicated to your destruction.
Or, if your minority isn't even big enough to stop an impure candidate from being nominated, then all you've done is left the dinner party to sit out in the bitter cold. For a host of reasons, "spoiler" political movements do not last long -- they are abandoned pretty quickly by all but the most hard-core.
On the other hand, if your movement focuses on the races where you can leverage that movement energy to replace a relatively rotten candidate with a relatively good one who can win with your help, you can really make a difference. Or if your movement supports the existing good candidates (like Tom McClintock or Mark Sanford) exclusively to help promote them within the party and within the government, that can also help.
Bryan, you are thinking "old politics".
We are now in a new age, the Communication Age, the Age of the Internet. If We, the People, who believe in less government, less taxes and more liberty can successfully use the Internet to empower that voice, our political system will respond.
ex animo
davidfarrar
?
I don't see how your point has anything to do with my argument. Does the Internet change any of the facts or arguments I made above? How?
Focus on the incentives of officeholders
I accept that it's hard for Americans who are conditioned to view one party or candidate as the antidote to the other to break that habit of thought and grab hold of a different concept. We deeply feel that if can just send enough "Mr. Smiths" to Washington all will be well.
But that no longer works in the era of a massive welfare state, where the political system is dominated by public employee unions and other concentrated interests who benefit from big government, all rippling with political muscles. They have created a system that quickly co-opts 95 percent of successful candidates, regardless of what promises they made on the campaign trail.
Further, the bipartisan political class has perfected the tools of political manipulation, and none of them hesitate one nanosecond to use the instruments of that welfare state to retain their hold on power. The romantic "Mr. Smith goes to Washington" model just can't make a dent in that system.
Have you watched that video of Gresham Barrett being relentlessly booed? In that instant, all the tools of political manipulation that he and fellow members of his class have perfected over their lifetimes could not help him. Imagine that scene being replicated hundreds and thousands of times around the country and you'll start to get a glimmer of how the world might really be changed. It's a very different model than Mr. Smith goes to Washington, but it's one that genuinely has the potential to bring about real change.
A little fear is a good thing
Career politicians are afraid of offending party leaders and lobbyists. It's time the voters put a little fear into them, too.
It's time for people who aren;t looking for a favor to start making noise at these staged "townhall meetings" so they stop being little photo ops for incumbents.
Of course, I'm trying to petrify Chris Dodd, and if anyone deserved it.... well, it's him...
A conflict between GOP apparchiks and grass-roots Tea Partyers
"Career politicians are afraid of offending party leaders and lobbyists."
Indeed, and this also makes me realize that there's a conflict between the interests of grass-roots Tea Party protestors whose sincere desire is real change, and those of GOP candidates plus the people who personally benefit from the election of those candidates.
It's in the interest of the former to declare a pogrom against all members of the political class in and out of office. That's highly threatening to those who have made a career of politics and gaining non-civil service goverment employment (that is, the jobs that one acquires from working for or being a winning candidate).
This is interesting. The booing of Congressman Gresham Barrett reveals even more than I imagined.
Great Point!
Jackinmichigan, you are so right! Another thing We The People are doing without even trying is taking over the CHANGE mantra. The only way there will ever be change is by defeating the political members in good standing. Change that We The People can count on will only come from We The People. Lets get some infomercials going staring We The People expressing the importance of registering and voting. We need to wake up the "silent majority" and get them involved in the future. The future of all our children and grandchildren depend on it. Anyone with other ideas can go to www.desmoinesteaparty.com help us to keep this alive. Help us to link up with all supporters and build the national data base.
Making it happen- challenges
"Lets get some infomercials going staring We The People expressing the importance of registering and voting."
Not so sure about that one. First, who's going to pay for them? More fundamentally, we don't need to mobilize a bunch of people who haven't voted before. Rather, those who always vote need to change their behavior, no longer allowing themselves to be manipulated by the political class.
Over his career Congressman Gresham Barrett has received hundreds of thousands of votes from people who probably believed that he was "conservative," or at least that he was better in ways that matter from his Dem opponent. Those voters and millions like them have been successfully manipulated by the political class.
I've been thinking more about this, applying the model to specific races, and seeing some challenges. It works best in a primary between a no-name newcomer with few ties to the establisment and an incumbent member-in-good-standing of the political class, but not every election presents such a stark choice. For example, in Michigan there's going to be a GOP primary for Governor, and there's not a dime's worth of difference between the candidates in this dimension - not a Palin, Jindal or Sanford in the bunch.
Here's another: One of those gov candidates will be Pete Hoekstra. That leaves an open seat in a GOP Congressional district. It's a four way primary now - two political class members-in-good-standing, and two ambitious newcomers with few or no ties to the political class. How does this "Send Them Home!" movement identify and coalesce around just one of the latter?
Vote for the one ambitious newcomer.
As to which one, that won't be too hard to get our heads around. As I have pointed out, if we use the Internet successfully, and are networked successfully, that will be the easy part.
But far more importantly, even if we don't get together and support just the right candidate, the message will still get out to all...eventually the message will get heard.
Getting our numbers to grow to a politically significant level will be -- is the challenge.
ex animo
davidfarrar
David Farrar - All true, very
David Farrar -
All true, very cool, somewhat heartening!
JM
Milton's got a few good points...
but we're in a hostage crisis now, and attempting to sift through "honorable and distasteful" voting versus "corrupt and eroded" voting seems difficult at best.
How do you remove blackmail from the stage?