Barack Obama and alienated Democrats

Next Right community member Aberman made an interesting point in a diary the other day...

Look at the following words and phrases that---fairly or unfairly---are used to describe Bush and ask whether Obama or McCain can better be described with the same terms:

  • Wastes taxpayer dollars

  • More interested in helping his friends than helping you

  • Lack of experience heading into the White House

  • Ideological

Certainly, those characteristics would seem to apply to Barack Obama as much as, or more so, than John McCain.  Still, though, I was fairly skeptical that a "Barack Obama is the new George W. Bush" theme could be successfully driven.  The differences being magnified by the media and pop culture just overwhelm any important similarities in conventional wisdom.

But then I read this story...

Winnie Altomare called on Tuesday, the day Sen. Hillary Clinton lost the Democratic presidential nomination to Sen. Barack Obama, beside herself with anger. [...]  Altomare views Obama the same way she saw George W. Bush eight years ago: Too inexperienced and too smug to be president. [...]

Only if Clinton becomes Obama's running mate, Altomare said, will she work as hard for the Democratic ticket as she had intended to with Clinton atop it.  The historic five-month primary battle exposed Obama's two main demographic weaknesses heading into the fall campaign: women and white voters. Altomare personifies millions of women who were passionate about Clinton's candidacy and now must be salved to overcome their bitterness.

The Wall Street Journal also points out more Democrats who aren't willing to throw in with Obama yet, either. 

As the campaign drags on, Obama's 'I'm the Chosen One, and I know what is best for you people' approach will alienate many voters.  It looks like it's already alienating some Democrats. 

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Comments

Don't underestimate...

...the role that Obama's supporters have also played in alienating potential sympathizers:  The foul and insulting netizens, the swooning media, the imperious party bigwigs, and the throbbing throngs have reinforced fears of Obama and hardened feelings against him, exposing an infuriating contradiction between "new politics" high-mindedness and real Obamamaniacal tactics.  It's not surprising that  comparisons of Obama to Bush have proliferated among Clintonites:  Aside from the rational grounds for the argument, transference and projection from one hate-object to another is a familiar psychological process.  What's remarkable, and potentially exploitable, is that Obama has fallen into this category for some substantial number of people.  As for "Obama '08 = Bush '00":  For obvious reasons it's not a natural slogan for Republicans, but the elements of the argument will remain available, and the raw meme may still reach escape velocity both despite and because of its intrinsic unwieldyness.  

Weak

This line of attack is weak. 

Point 1 is a simple ideological tag line.  Yes, this has power in the electorate, and McCain is viewed as different enough from other Republicans that he can probably use it somewhat effectively to rally some usually Republican independent voters, but the terrible environment is going to take away a lot of the power of these generic party tag lines for the Republicans this cycle.

Point 2 will only resonate in the conservative blogosphere, on Fox, and with Limbaugh, where the audiences wouldn't vote for Obama or Clinton.  Really, does McCain want to go to undecided voters stacking up his list of past ethical problems, lies, and the long list of old guard K-Street project beneficiary Republican lobbyists he employs against... what equivalent from Obama?  My obvious political leanins aside, the man just hasn't been in public life long enough to put together a bad list in this category a tenth as long as McCain's, regardless of whom you would prefer as president.

Point 3 is the only opening here.  I personally think the tide swings so hard against the Republicans this cycle, and people really do want something different enough from the past so as not to be strongly drawn to a 72 year old Washington insider, that it won't.  But there's definite possibility for play with this one.

Point 4 again is just a standard party tag line.  Readers here will read into it all the things they don't like about Democratic policy preferences, but Republicans have heeded to a much more Parliamentary style strict ideological line and with much greater discipline than the Democrats have, and the pushback this cycle again is not going to give this any play outside the party base echo chambers.

This isn't to say there aren't many equivalent party lines and echo chambers and all on the other side.  It's just that the current conservative run's crapped out...

Yes Clearly

throwing President Bush not Just under the bus but driving it over him two or three times is how we will win the General Election

 

I mean far be it for me to point out that the Democrats will be running most of their campaign Against GWB and not against John McCain so why not give them fuel instead when you can pour rocket fuel on it

 

clearly a good choice there