Web Videos Take Risks and TV Ads Are For Congressmen

Patrick is right, web ads have frequently been a lot more memorable than presidential TV ads this cycle and there are a couple of good reasons for it.  The campaigns have been much more willing to take risks in web videos and fundamentally, television ads as a tactic are better suited to races further down the ballot.

TV ads also have to accomplish different tasks than a web ad.  A web ad’s two key goals are to draw eyeballs (“go viral”) and influence the press, while TV ads are primarily about defining a candidate in the absence of other information.  A voter who has met a candidate in person, heard about them from a trusted friend or read about them frequently in the news isn’t going to be nearly as influenced by a TV spot unless it includes radically new information.

This cycle we’ve seen great web videos and atrocious ones – but the successful ones have all been irreverent, “too long,” hokey or generally different from traditional spots.  In other words, they take risks.  It’s relatively easy to justify a risky web video because if no one watches you’re only out the cost of production.  Screw up a TV ad though and you’ve flushed the entire cost of the ad buy.  Even worse, if the ad really flops you’ve just paid money to drive your own numbers down.  

The Huckabee and Richardson spots Patrick points to as examples of successful web video-like TV ads both came from long shot candidates.  Neither campaign had much money or a realistic hope of winning so strategically taking a big risk made perfect sense.  (Incidentally, Richardson’s ads weren’t that original, they look suspiciously similar to this very sucessful ’06 spot.)

Presidential races are also fundamentally different from all other races.  They're the subject of a massive, overwhelming, stage-stealing deluge of information.  In a Congressional race, it takes hundreds of impressions to build up anything more than a vague impression of the candidates. In a Presidential race, Paris Hilton cuts a fake ad spoofing the latest TV spot.

The presidential ads this cycle aren’t bad as congressional ads – Obama’s especially are quite strong – but they all use traditional TV spot “fill the information gap” tactics.  That doesn’t mean their spots can’t be somewhat effective at pushing messages the press won’t cover (e.g. Tony Rezko, I’m going to keep beating on that until someone puts an ad buy behind it), but it does mean that there’s a much higher bar than a typical congressional race.  

In the heavily saturated presidential general election environment, TV ads begin to fill the role of “super web ads” and the campaigns would be smart to start taking more risks with them (heavily focus grouped of course).  Lately, the McCain campaign has been showing signs lately of doing exactly that.  Here’s hoping they stick with it.

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Comments

If you want to look at blown money...

...check out the millions the DCCC wasted in 2006 attacking Peter Roskam for Tammy Duckworth. In an election all about Iraq and corruption they decided to run TV ads attacking Roskam for wanting to ban books and allow guns in schools. While factually honest - Roskam opposed the book because it had a story about kids rebelling against authority - the DCCC idiots played up stories in it by Dr. Suess and the Little House on the Prairie author. Roskam mocked the ad with a Dr. Suess rhyme on his website and held up a dogeared copy of LHotP his wife used to read the kids at bedtime at a presser. He even said they visited the Little House museum in NE or wherever it is on vacation. 7 Million bucks and all the DCCC did was make Duckworth look like just another politician willing to say anything to get elected. 

2006 wasn't about the NRA and book banning anyway. Nobody cared about that. If they had Roskam on record saying Harry Potter is the work of the devil that would have been one thing but they didn't. They should have tied Roskam to DeLay. Pete claimed he hardly knew him when he got his start as an intern in Tom's office back in the 80's. DeLay held a $500/plate fundraiser for him in DC in Sept. 2005. They should have hit him repeatedly for saying Dems wanted to "cut and run" from Iraq. Duckworth lost her legs when a Iraqi shot down the Blackhawk she was piloting with an rpg. They could have contrasted Duckworth's service with Roskam's career as an ambulance chaser. He and his partners run half page ads in the yellow pages soliciting "slip and fall" injury cases. A judge in Lake County admonished him for bringing up frivolious lawsuits in his courtroom. The guy really is everything we say about Edwards. Those kind of ads broadcast in the Chi. TV market would have helped all Dem candidates in the area not just Duckworth.

Dems said they wanted to make the campaign national in 2006 while Roskam played up his local roots. If Dems had made this race about national issues she probably would have won instead of losing by 2.  

 

 

 

The Paris Hilton

ad seems to have backfired.

Her spoof response is getting far more play, and because she has nothing important at stake, she (her producer) got to say things Obama can't.  Even though it was not made for TV and no time was purchased to show it, it's been shown anyway at no expense to Obama, and as of right now has over 4,000,000 views on the host site.

While Hilton's video is somewhat dismissive of Obama, her response is to McCain, who used her as a poster chld for irresponsibility and angered a woman of considerable means, if not ability.  I don't believe it helps McCain to have her going on at length about how old he is, with images of Yoda and a mummy and repeated references to "wrinkly, white-haired dude," no matter how much his campaign says he appreciates the joke.

Whoever created the Spears/Hilton ad for McCain and opened the door for this ought to be fired.  Hilton's video is McCain's punishment for taking the campaign into the shallow end and focusing on image at the expense of policy.

Hilton's ad has already created a catch-phrase that won't go away until after the election: "See you at the debates, bitches."  I guess she can afford better writers than McCain, and isn't THAT a shame?

Not to mention HIlton's mother

who has maxed out to McCain complaining in a HuffPo op-ed that he's wasting contributors money with that garbage.