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Which Comes First - Ideas or the Message?
I've read a lot of discussion on this blog and many other over the "failings" of the party and what we must do to rebuild. The Washington Post today ran a feature story on the Rebuild the Party effort and talked a lot about the effort to get the GOP to take seriously our deficiency in online organization and mobilization.
Much of the Rebuild the Party discussion has focused on the three things Patrick lined out in his post today - infrastructure, message and leadership. It has troubled me that one thing has been missing, but I couldn't quite put a finger on what that was.
Fortunately, another Washington publication caught the omission for me.
They can't quite get to policy disputes or serious analysis, because they're too busy mulling over the implications of liberals joining forces with Islamofascists, the United Nations, and Mexican immigrants to execute some kind of nefarious plot.
Worse, Kevin noted that when these blogs do consider key policies, such as global warming and growing income inequality, they tend to believe the problems don't exist.
While written with the harsh lefty tilt you've come to expect online, there is a serious point built into that shot.
Republicans continue to be against things. We're against serious exploration of alternative fuels simply because it conforms to our messaging that global warming is caused by trees, cow farts, etc, or because we simply refuse to acknowledge environmental concerns.
But where is the harm in moving beyond that discussion and into a serious conversation about other alternatives simply because it may improve a) our economy b) our position as innovators in the world or c) our quality of life?
We have, in short, become reactionary. Most of the discussion of "honing our message" is still aimed at reframing the ideology/theology of the past rather than having serious discussions of the future. We're focused on the message, but not the ideas behind it.
Why not embrace the environment as a message, but distance ourselves from government mandates as the answer.
Whether true or not, the perception of the environment is that something must be done to "fix" it. By denying that, we have framed the debate as a choice between the government must do something to address it, or we simply do nothing.
There is a third, and more politically profitable alternative. We can make this a referendum on how government must address the issue. The GOP should engage in debate over "going green" not in the context of stopping global warming, but in the context of supporting new technologies and businesses.
Take, for instance, FuelMaker Corporation. This is a company that seeks to address the distribution problem of alternative fuels by creating a fuel distribution system in your home. Installation of a compressed natural gas (CNG) fueling system in your home would enable you to skip the gas station and have a permanent refueling option in your home.
The GOP should propose tax credits for investment in such a refueling system and cars (or conversion of cars) that run on CNG. Such a move would combine our support of lower taxes with a recognition that green technologies aren't a bad thing. We would reverse our identity as a party that supports dirty fuels to one that supports clean fuels and co-opt the eco-issues purely as a business move - rather than "having to cave" on global warming.
If our fight with the Democrats shifts from a question of whether global warming exists to one of who is more serious about investment in green technologies, we win back turf that we have given up. What's more, we win it back in a "smart government" or "pro-innovation" context.
You could make the same argument for home installation of wind/solar systems. You can still support coal/nuclear/oil, but still embrace other forms of energy.
This would also extend to using the power of government - such as it is - to guide investment into quality of life issues from a pro-capitalist perspective. We should not view our ideas through the prism of "us versus the Democrats." What we must do, is explore the issues that resonate with the people (and the environment is only one) and engage in discourse based on an approach that favors putting people, innovation, and yes, even business first.
My grandmother used to describe people as "again'ers". They were the people who were against everything. That's what we have become. We need to engage in healthy debate and reinvest in our intellectual capacity as much as we must invest in our Internet organization and the semantics we use.
- MichaelTurk's blog
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Comments
Exactly
All I see is discussion of how to reframe, reword and rethink, but no bare bones behind these ideas. I'd like to see specific, discrete policies.
Specific policies...
Well, in this case the specific policy differences would be government mandates for things like CAFE standards versus tax credits for purchase of CNG cars and installation of CNG distribution exquipment in your home. It's the difference between the government telling manufacturers what mileage they should get on cars (which inserts the fed into the business model of manufacturers) and the government sending a message to consumers that they more CNG vehicles would be better for the environment and is worth spending federal dollars to encourage.
It's a matter of shifting the government from heavy hand to light touch. I firmly believe that voters will respond better to light touch policies than ham-handed ones.
That's a difference of approach, and one worthy of debate.
Have you heard of 'paternalistic libertarianism'?
It's the new 'thing' and sounds alot like what you're describing. You might be interested in it.
Policy
My preference would be for a carbon tax replacing the payroll tax. It would internalize some negative externalities of gas usage, and do far, far more to address evironmental issues than command and control policies.
I need to start writing about policy some time soon. There are a number of potentially transformative ideas out there.
if more of that tax goes to public transportation
I'm all for it. I think a gas tax itself would work wonders, if fairly priced. Take the transportation budget out of the main taxes.
Know Thyself....
"We're against serious exploration of alternative fuels simply because it conforms to our messaging that global warming is caused by trees, cow farts, etc, or because we simply refuse to acknowledge environmental concerns. " ------- Uh, you're kidding right??.....Maybe YOU'RE against serious exploration because it conforms to YOUR messaging on global warming....But you're totally naive if you think that's the reason that the Republican Party is against exploring alternative fuels....You DO realize that the GOP made it's impact from being the Party of big Business, right?..... You're delusional if you believe that oil is not the first, second and third reasons why alternative fuels are not encouraged in your Party. You're delusional if you don't realize that the President AND Vice President (and several FORMER Presidents and Vice Presidents) don't have a pro-oil agenda.....First you guys have to own up for who you are and get into the real world.... The GOP has always been the party of big business (did you SEE McCain's "tax plan"?) and the wealthy. (did you see McCain's "tax plan"?)....The GOP has been consistent military hawks....FINALLY, the GOP sold it's Soul to recruit Southern States and have adapted an inflexible "Social Conservative" agenda during the past couple of decades....That's who you are. Let's recognize THAT before talking about where the Party's going.
Lack of higher standards has hurt American industry
And I can see that from the Japanese people walking around on my job site.
They put the money into development, where American companies skated by focusing on increasing production (of course, the most effective manner of increasing production is through inflation: M * V = P * Q ). Now we buy the use rights to Japanese technologies where once America was the leader in the world.
But you really don't hear a lot about the new high-strength steel that's been developed, or the new emissions systems going into power plants these days.
But you're going to pay for it. Over and over again.
Look at Hitachi's Osaka plant. That is phenomenal. They imported the technology first to Alberta, then to Iowa. And the US has nothing that can compare.
Greenspan's blank look and his, "Well, we never thought of that..." pretty much ended the cycle of unregulated industry. And good riddance.
Industry benefits from some degree of regulation.
In the meantime, American manufacturing languishes due to the short-sightedness of a leadership than is incapable of envisioning a positive role for government.
In the end, we got what we asked for, and that's why those Japanese guys are there on my job site (in Wisconsin) to sign off on everything. We gave away our best paying jobs. Not the manner of export we should specialize in.
focus on ideas is exactly what I have been looking
for in my search for good conservative blogs. Bloggers on the right should cross post and link more to make the good stuff easier to find. For example Tapped (one of my fav blogs) provided a link to James Joyner where I found this, the most interesting content of the day:
"Barry Ritholz calculates that the various government bailouts under way amount to $4.6165 trillion dollars. To put it in context, he shows the cost of some other government expenditures you might have heard of:
Of course, we don’t know the costs of not doing the bailouts, so it’s still possible that it’s worth it. Still, a hell of a lot of money."
http://www.outsidethebeltway.com/
Joyners brief comment at the end, speculating about the cost of not doing bailouts, makes him seem very rational and worth reading frequently, as do the many other good links to be found in his posts.
the cost would have been riots in most major cities
leading to martial law, and probably no elections on top of that.
Trust me, this way is better. But not by much. Kucinich could have cobbled together a better plan than this! And I am NOT a fan of Kucinich.
But it was "get itdone FAST" not well nor good.
And King Henry has bankrupted us all...
When China decides to foreclose on America
we will be glad that our Fed Reserve Chairman can speak Chinese. It may make the difference between war and a better peace.
This is a trap play, folks
We have zero control of the political environment and zero ability to enact any of our ideas for the next two years. Hence, putting forward detailed solutions to problems which defy them is an academic exercise at best.
What the Left would fervently desire is not to defend their aggressive moves towards socializing the economy and social engineering of our lives; but to paint the alternative as somehow a greater threat. Then we waste our limited resources on defending our alternatives instead of taking our full best shot at what the opposition is selling.
To the extent we offer a concrete alternative, let's limit ourselves to immediate here and now problems on the plate of the American voter.If you think we lost the 2008 election because we weren't specific enough on climate change and CEO pay, fine. I'm selling a bridge if you are interested. There was only one issue that mattered and we needed to borrow our agenda on that issue from a plumber in Toledo.
Let's look at McCain's health care plan as an example of why we don't do this. Supposedly 95% of the public was going to come out ahead, but because it took away what was perceived as an existing consumer benefit, it was relentlessly demoagogued by Obama in 30 second ads. Note to policy gurus. If you can;t defend something in 30 seconds, don;t have your candidate propose it.
For all those folks who think the Bushies went too far right and we need to stand for a more activist govenrment. chill. We are going to get activist government the likes most of you haven't seen in your lifetime. Keeping it down to just rational and affordable activism will be more than enough work for the GOP to keep us busy on the policy front.
Leading with our chin prior to the '10 midterms---as the first President Bush said " Not gonna do it"
this is the perfect example
of governing vs. campaigning
here, don't suggest ideas to improve American's lives that only makes winning elections that much harder for us.
This was like McCain's I know how to win the wars in Iraq, but I won't spell out any details until after I am elected.
it doesn't matter if you are in power or not, there are still elected Republicans who I would assume you would want to get to work to solve this country's problems not just decide how best to be the against everything party.
this is crazy
Speaking as a dyed-in-the-wool lefty, you couldn't be more wrong.
I want an active, good-faith debate on ideas between left and right. I'll probably agree with the left more often than the right, but I want to have the debate anyway. The problem is that conservatives, by and large, do not speak the language of the rest of the country, nor do they even acknowledge some of the bigger problems that exist in this country.
A good example of this is the debate over EFCA ("card check"). You guys are out in full force on this, but you're only preaching to the conservative bubble. The phrase "card check" is thrown around on Fox News without explanation, which gets nothing but confused looks from people who don't regularly listen to Rush or read the Corner.
Another good one is global warming. We have one group of people (liberals) proposing solutions to global warming, and one group (conservatives) who deny it even exists. I truly want to see the conservative solution to global warming, but we're not going to see it anytime soon unless the conservative heirarchy deigns to acknowledge the problem. We had the same issue in Iraq for a long time - conservatives denied there was even a problem, which understandably delayed the implementation of a solution.
Rebuilding your party is a very simple exercise: 1) take stock of your principles, 2) engage with reality, 3) apply principles to reality. It's all about the product - if you can come up with better ideas than Democrats, you'll start winning elections again.
make helpful solutions that Obama can incorporate into his plans
don't assume that you'll be locked out.
Be able to say to the public "here's the plans that they implemented, and heres the plans that we implemented" and say "guess whose are working better?"
Don't let them take all the credit.
America elected a negotiator (and Rahmbo is blessedly out of the House), so please at least try to work with them (stomp your feet after they say no, rather than not making the effort at all)
well, I would agree if you let me rephrase it a bit
The Republicans have an absolute moral duty to keep the President from running the country into the ground. If that means trying to talk him out of truly foolish ideas, (or the in alternative, get the congressional Democrats to bail out of them) then I am all in favor of it.
If , on the other hand, the President seeks bipartsan "cover" for fundamentally misguided policies despite being told otherwise, the Republicans have an absolute moral duty to politely decline.
Bush-hating, not new ideas, is what worked for the libs
Edit: fixed the headline
This is a good point. We should be spending MOST of our effort on STOPPING OBAMA'S SOCIALISM by pointing out how wrong it is. Obviously, we need alernative vision and I think agenda that shows a better solution, but speaking in broad principles suffices.
This is especially true in the 'simulus' and OldDeal2.0 planned. We need to say "No, this is wrong" and have a basic "here's the better path", but we dont need to write up our own 500 page bill. OTOH, it wouldnt hurt to have markup in Congress and propose amendments to get our ideas 'in the record'.
Yes, like how the left falsely demonizes retirement choice and retirement ownership as "privatizing social security" when in fact it does nothing of the kind.
Always Oppose the Lie...
...never compromise with it. Compromising is what has the GOP in the mess its in. And regarding the lie of "Man Made" global warming, the vast number of Middle Americans want the GOP to oppose this hoax. Darned right folks are "against" this ponzi scheme.
Mom/Pop middle America wanted the GOP to do battle w/these radical greenies. Not join forces with them!
This lukewarm, watered down "nothing" attitude is exactly what is driving voters away from the GOP and, yes, even the ailing/sickly Conservative Movement.
Also, can we have some honesty? Lets not speak of "Global Warming" or "Climate Change" without including what the real debate is about? That being, "is it Man Made"? DD
wrong
You're wrong about global warming, but it doesn't matter. Energy prices have rendered global warming debates moot for most people - "Mom/pop middle America" understands now that there is a finite amount of oil and coal, that oil comes from places that are hostile to America, that the continued procurement of those resources is unsustainable, and that alternatives are needed. It doesn't matter whether you approach that from an environmental, business or national security perspective - the problem is clear and Republicans would do well to engage with reality rather than deny it.
You're wrong about global warming
The global warming models have been disproven by the real temperature record.
The temperature trends are convincing, as data should: Global Warming is a sham - the icecaps they say were melting - ARE NOT. The sea ice that was gone - IS BACK. The warming they said was inevitable - DIDNT HAPPEN. We have seen a major cooling trend for 2 years now and its not abating. We now have global temps below 10-15 years ago - NO WARMING - it contradicts models and breaks the theories and wild claims. Worse, the real driver of temperature - the sun - it going through a dead zone of sunspots that indicates we may have cooler temperatures for the forseeable future (many years/ a few decades).
We need to wait AT LEAST 4 years before we can show that global warming isn't anything but a sham based on flawed models that only looked good for a short while because of natural climate variability. Obama and the Dems want to pass the job-killing govt takeover of the energy business before people realize "Hey' it isnt actually warming." - that is a dangerous and lying agenda. Gore has been a fearmonger.
Roy Spencer, PhD has a perfect explanation for what is REALLY going on.
http://www.weatherquestions.com/Roy-Spencer-on-global-warming.htm
FT thanks for this...
...very excellent link. Too bad we're "wrong". Well according to Corey, we're just wrong! That sinches it, doesn't it? Too bad about Dr. Roy Spencer. Guess he's "wrong" too, huh? Oh well, I'm sure glad Corey let us know. That we're "wrong". You. Me. And Dr. Spencer. I guess that ends the entire debate, huh?
That being said, I think I'll save that Spencer link. Thanks again. Anymore good pertinent links, FT, that you can recommend regarding this "wrong" idea that man-made climate change is a hoax, etc.? DD
just like people who watch more TV think that more of america
is made up of doctors, you have been watching too much right wing media. over 50% (nate has the stats) believes in global warming.
Proactive, non-reactionary engagement- NOT abandoning principle.
Yes you are correct that the right and the GOP have become reactionary and need to seriously, honestly engage issues that people really care about in a proactive, positive way. The fact that the first impulse of a thoughtful, savvy observer for doing so on the enviro/energy front is a Dem-lite corporate welfare program suggests a more fundamental problem - an idea/imagination deficit.
"The GOP should engage in debate over "going green" not in the context of stopping global warming, but in the context of supporting new technologies and businesses."
NOOOOOO!
With that one sentence you dismiss Hayek, Burke, Smith, Friedman, all the intellectual godfathers of the limited government, free market movement. You suggest that politicians and central planners are smarter than the market in figuring out what does and doesn't make sense in the energy/conservation realm. You suggest that the real purpose is not to accomplish anything real but just to look like you're "doing something."
Nope - the public won't buy it, the base won't buy it, and in any event this is no different from what's proposed by those who are honest about believing in the efficacy of economic central planning - dems and the left.
So how to engage this issue without being a reactionary? Make an honest proposal that people can see would really work, as follows:
"Folks, if the goal is to reduce or eliminate the consumption of fossil fuels (whether or not you think that is a sensible goal), there is only one honest, transparent, effective and non-economically destructive way to do it: Gradually phase-in over many years a REVENUE NEUTRAL $5 or $10 per gallon carbon tax on all fossil fuels – like 50-cents per gallon increase per year, the revenue offset from supply-side tax cuts. Lefties will want to make reduced payroll taxes the offset - that's OK, let's make a deal.
"Attach a means-tested, graduated refundable tax credit (or prebate) to make the poor whole, with the goal of having zero net-change in after-tax, after fuel-cost disposeble income for every income level.
"Zero net income change in the aggregate, that is - indivuduals who use more fuel will be losers. Hey, isn't that what we want? To sharpen the incentives to conserve, or for energy suppliers to devise non-fossil sources (including nukes)?"
That proposal shows that we are serious and that we really do believe the free-market, limited government precepts of Hayek, Adam Smith, etc.
Note that one doesn't have to take a position on global warming to support this proposal. It would gradually change our economy but would not weaken it. It would let 100 million flowers bloom in terms of entrepreneurial innovation and experimantation in the energy/conservation field, and no politician or bureucrat would have any say in any of them.
I lay this out in detail not because it's a hobby horse of mine - it's not - but as an example of the kind of innovative, first-principles based, honest, outside-the-box idea that fits the bill for a non-reactionary policy agenda for believers in limited govt & markets.
What is the functional
What is the functional difference between a plan like this and cap-and-trade? Both put a price on carbon, except in the cap-and-trade model the price is set by the market, not by governmental fiat.
King Henry has proven that Friedman was wrong
why do you continue to support him?
Ideology -> Strategy -> Message
I'm a liberal, so take my input for what you think it's worth:
You all are focusing on the wrong dichotomy of ideas v. message. The progression has to be ideas (or more accurately, ideology, which is not a dirty word), followed by designing a strategy to vindicate that ideology, which then leads you to craft a message to execute that strategy.
Movement conservatism did this very well until recently. Here's my rundown of that history with my "harsh lefty tilt": You had disparate groups of people who regarded themselves as conservatives milling about with no direction in the 60s. These included racists who were appalled at the federal government protecting the civil rights of African-Americans, cold warriors with Maoist-like beliefs that constant conflict and perhaps even nuclear war with Communist Russia was inevitable and even desirable, religious fundamentalists enraged and baffled at the sexual revolution and the liberation of gays and women from traditional norms, and the wealthy who were convinced that the New Deal and the Great Society would bankrupt the country (and them).
The ideology of conservatism is based on the idea that people are basically evil, and that a successful society creates traditional norms and institutions in spite of and in order to control that evil. In this view, good people were obligated to use power in order to keep everyone else in line and prevent social changes that almost certainly would lead to bad results. The strategy that developed was to sell this idea to the various conservative factions on the theme of virtuous strength v. degenerate weakness.
To the racists, conservatism could say, "You're right. You are the noble white people who built Western Civilization and the United States, the greatest country on Earth. Now these darkies want to take it all away." To the fanatical anti-communists, conservatism could say, "You're right. Capitalism is the highest form of human virtue because it requires people to compete for resources and demonstrate their skill and intelligence in a true meritocracy. Anything that hinders that competition is evil, and Communism is the quintessance of evil - it is an international conspiracy solely meant to destroy capitalism." To the religious wackos, conservatism could say, "You're right. God the Father preordained the natural state of things that should be reflected in human society, but Satan is leading these sluts and sodomoites astray. You are the good people who are doing God's work in fighting their evil ways." To the rich, conservatism could say, "You're right. The mob of poor have discovered that they can vote themselves funds from the public treasury, from your pocket, and if they succeed they'll never work again and society will collapse. We have to stop them."
From there, you could cross-market. The obvious thing would be to unite the messages aimed at the anti-communists and the rich, inspiring the anti-communists to venerate wealth (even if they weren't wealthy themselves) and the rich to provide funding for the cold war infrastructure (even if they thought the Pentagon and CIA examples of bloated, big-spending government). It was also easy to get the religious and the anti-communists together over the subject of atheism both at home and abroad. For another example, you could sell the idea to both the racists and the religious that the worst sexual degenerates were blacks.
But the real genius was discovering a focal point for all these positions. Uniting all of these ideas was that the evil people used government to effect the changes that each conservative group was trying to oppose. Thus, the party of small government was born. Even an anti-communism in the form of a large military was a doctrine of small government - if you think of International Communism as the ultimate form of big government.
Armed with an ideological strategy that could appeal to various groups, movement conservatism then turned to crafting an electoral strategy. The key, of course, was the South. That had the largest concentration of votes in each of the racist, religious and anti-communist blocs. (The rich are there for their money, not their votes, since there aren't enough of them.) The putrid heart of this regional strategy was racism and the regional paranoia that remained from the Civil War. Southern conservatives viewed themselves as a separate, more noble society under constant attack from the outside. This feeling of being under siege solidified the South for the GOP for decades. From this base of North-South conflict, conservatism then aimed at pitting the suburbs (the rich and the anticommunists) and the rural areas (racists and the religious) against the cities (blacks, the poor, homosexuals, and feminists).
The rest is uncontroversial. The right used the money of the rich and the troops provided by the churches to create what liberals called "the Mighty Wurlitzer", which is:
a propaganda machine that can hone a fact or a lie, broadcast it, and have it echoed and recycled in Fox News commentary, in Washington Times news stories, in Wall Street Journal editorials, by myriad right-wing pundits, by Heritage seminars and briefing papers, and in congressional hearings and speeches. Privatization of Social Security, vouchers for school, Vince Foster's supposed murder, Hillary's secret sex life, you name it -- the right's mighty Wurlitzer can ensure that a message is broadcast across the county, echoed in national and local news, and reverberated in the speeches of respectable academics as well as rabid politicians.
This propeled Reagan to power, but the plan began to fall apart in the 90s when Gingrich and the Congressional Republicans overreached and shut down the government. Like the Beer Hall Putsch, like the Tet Offensive, the revolutionaries thought their bold act would result in a glorious uprising of the people! And it turned out, the people hated it. Oops. Anti-government conservatives running government is like the dog who chases cars but when he finally catches one, he doesn't know what to do with it.
People, it turned out, wanted efficient but effective government, and while they bought into the strength v. weakenss rhetoric, weakness was to them always exemplified by the government program someone else liked, not the one they liked. The capstone was Bush's hands-off approach, which resulted in nightmares like Katrina and now the financial crisis.
It gets worse: The demographics are against you. The hardcore racists, religious bigots and anti-communists are all old now. (See the exit polls for any of the successful anti-gay marriage referenda - the young people hated them.) Old people like big government programs like Medicare and Social Security, so what's left to cut? The former communists are our buddies now, and the Muslims aren't scary enough to take their place, it turns out. Finally, the South is no longer Solid. Yankees are moving in. Blacks got their act together and are in political control across large swaths of the region.
The linkage between conservative thought, an ideological strategy aimed at various unaffiliated and disaffected groups, and an electoral strategy aimed at a winning number of states and Congressional districts, is broken. You need to forge a new one. The important step is to identify the current or emerging unaffiliated and disaffected groups, and determine if by uniting them you could seize power again. If so, then craft the message that will unite them. Who those groups are, I really don't know. I think you're just going to have to effectively hang out for a decade or two and see what develops that you can run on.
If I could help you, I wouldn't, of course. You're all pretty evil in both your purpose and in effect. Movement conservatism is a theology of hate that has perpetuated some of the worst aspects of the American character. I've been as honest in this post as I can be, but maybe the fact that I think you're bad people colored my analysis and made it seem more hopeless for you in the short run than it really is. Perhaps you can get the old gang back together by, say, convincing religious blacks and Hispanics that gays and sluts are the real menace. I don't think it will work, but please - go ahead and try.
Exactly What I am Talking About
See Below. "Valid Criticism?"
These are people who can obviously add nothing to their own debate, so they simply come over here and try to stifle ours. Lets hope for the day where the Rightroots has the time to do the same and chooses not to. However, in the meantime, lets ignore criticism from lefty bloggers who have no interest in furthering our cause.
Thanks for being honest and proving my point.
umm... he's got most of that right.
and I'm interested in getting you guys to stop with the whole priests and strongmen idea, kick both of them out, and form a more modern coalition that will go after all the gov't programs the left, for historical reasons, can't touch.
like the war on drugs
like our national defense spending.
Well Said
Having someone distort and deride both Republican and conservative history and concoct a liberal fantasy version of what happened in the last 20 years is not a serious critique. At best, it tells us what's inside the distorted liberal mindset ...
And as for this statement, it perfectly encapsulates the liberal error of personalizing the political differences - you see, we conservatives arent just mistaken, like we forgot to carry a 7 when we did our long division on the Federal budget ... nope ... we are EEEVIIILL! ...
You're all pretty evil in both your purpose and in effect. Movement conservatism is a theology of hate that has perpetuated some of the worst aspects of the American character.
Can you name an untruth in
Can you name an untruth in the post? Are you seriously denying that your party's governing majority (RIP) was built off Southern racism and radical evangelicism?
Absolutely sterling comment
I opened a Yahoo email account and registered on this site just to say that this is one of THE best posts I've read in years of reading comments on lefty and righty sites. If you guys were serious about reformatting the conservative movement/image/whatever, you should reread Mithras's comment and take it to heart. Your whole existence is finding power, using power and rationalizing the reasons for wanting power instead of thinking of the common good. Bravo to Mithras. I copied and saved the post to email it to all my contacts.
Jo
It's a well-written fiction
but alas it is as fictional as any other novel. Your eagerness to share fiction is duly noted.
Consider if you take your comment and put the shoe on the other foot:
The whole existence of the Clinton White House was finding power, using power and rationalizing the reasons for wanting power instead of thinking of the common good.
The whole existence of the Democrat majority in Congress was finding power, using power and rationalizing the reasons for wanting power instead of thinking of the common good.
Obama's whole existence was finding power, using power and rationalizing the reasons for wanting power instead of thinking of the common good.
Would you object? Why not? Power corrupts and surely you are not so stupid to believe one side is immune to corruption - william Jefferson (D-LA) case in point. What is the point? The point is that you are locked in your false, phony "me good, you bad" mindset and are just latching on to those analytical views that match your prior prejudices. That doesnt make it "good", but it does make it fit the 'template' of what liberals want to believe.
Conservative Alternatives
Valid Criticism?:
I am consistently perplexed by those who fall into the trap of taking criticism from lefty blogs as valid criticism from the left. Though I am not a consistent reader (I read it sometimes) OTB seems more and more "inside the beltway" in terms of the topics it covers and the thinking that they derive from those topics. I think we need to be skeptical when a lefty blogger uses a quote from a conservative blogger to criticize what we do. There are a number of people on this blog who claim to be "dye-eyed in the wool" lefties. I'm not talking conspiracy here, but I just don't see why those people would be commenting and adding what they call "constructive" criticism to our discussions unless they wanted us to abandon our principles and take up theirs.
Alternative to the New Left Environmentalism:
There have been a number of alternatives proposed to how the GOP should take up the environmental issues. However, I think there has been one that has been overlooked. I fully admit, that I have come new to these ideas so I have no idea of how this would be implemented, but I think it a much better alternative to either the "paternatilistic libertarian" idea, or the tax-rebate (which is only libertarian in the sense that the government is giving money back to the people, though in a weird government directed way).
First, ditch the practice of distinguishing between humans and "the environment." This dualism sets up a lose-lose race. The left does not understand this, and I think this is how we should begin talking about these topics. The discussion should not be about man vs. nature but man in nature, or simply nature in general. I know this seems old fashioned, because it is, but it is also very founded in the American tradition. Start recognizing individuals as the best STEWARDS of nature instead of the government as regulator of "man's so-called necessary destruction of the environment." This also involves empowering individuals to act in a responsible manner towards encouraging sustainability and reasoned growth. The conservative movement has taken this up in many circles, but the GOP, being sometimes too knee-jerk pro-big-business has been reluctant to do so.
A Note on Oil:
The best way to stand against oil is the Huckabee way on this. We are spending money that is going to individuals who want to do great harm to this country, ie, Russia, Iran, etc.
NOT riding a hobby horse - but rev neutral carbon tax gives this
I have no idea what the "huckabee way" is(and doubt I'll like it), but the "Adam Smith" way to accomplish what you're describing in very abstract terms is the revenue neutral carbon tax I've described in the last few posts. Apply your abstract to that concrete and they meld together quite nicely.
Speaking for me only
I'm interested in seeing conservatives pull their heads out of their asses because I don't like one side dominating debate, even if it's my side. I believe in the marketplace of ideas, but the "ideas" must be fully engaged with reality.
Right now, conservatism is a paranoid shell - look at you, basically accusing those who disagree with you of some nefarious conspiracy, or others, who believe that the scientists are out to get them with theories on global warming.
Until you start engaging with your opponents and with reality, you'll remain in the woods.
Criticism is the only known antidote to error
-- Dr. David Brin (whose blog I heartily recommend -- he's a Modernist Republican, not a Romantic)
Already Exists
Corey,
I am all for furthering and even heightening the level of debate. However, those on the left, even those such as yourself, who are trying to "enlighten" those of us who are conservative, are in essence trying to shift the movement toward the left. This is a point that I think you miss. Though you may have the best of intentions, the things that you are suggesting are not to further conservatism at all, but to move conservatism in a progressive direction. Rather than being in a paranoid shell, I think because of the fiery baptism of the '08 elections, conservatism is actually coming out of its shell and for the first time in a while having an honest debate with itself.
I think it inherent in our sustainability that we do something about our man's relationship in nature, but I don't think it has anything to do with global warming. Instead to think about the reality of the situation, one should sit back and look at the evidence. The world has been cooling over the last 2 years. Why do you think that global warming has somewhat fallen off the radar?
I'm not trying to enlighten
I'm not trying to enlighten anyone. It's in my interest that you guys remain stuck in Rush Limbaugh mode. I think, though, that it's in the country's interest that there be a robust debate that centers on observable reality.
I certainly don't want to get into a debate about the merits of global warming with anyone. But, as a logical exercise, let's look at what global warming denial entails. It means that you believe that the scientific community is either all simultaneously wrong about the climate, or they are knowingly pushing a false agenda to benefit one political movement over the other.
Now, I suppose one could credibly believe the former, but I know a lot of scientists and they're generally intensely smart people. On the other hand, you could believe that they're all in league against you, actively conspiring to destroy conservatism. That's ludicrous for obvious reasons.
We (and I mean that as a nation) have to get away from conservative facts and liberal facts and just recognize reality for what it is. Like it or not, the progressive movement is embracing reality and the conservative movement is not. You won't go anywhere unless you start doing so.
Hardly enlightening
"But, as a logical exercise, let's look at what global warming denial entails. It means that you believe that the scientific community is either all simultaneously wrong about the climate"
This kind of stuff is why engaging your sort in "good faith debate" is a time-wasting trap. You set up the equivalence to holocaust deniers before even stating your assumptions. Then throw up a straw man. The scientific community is not all simultaneously on your bandwagon, and in fact has made large-scale defections from warming orthodoxy. If you actually knew any scientists doing the research (not the mythical Exxon stooges), you'd find out how disgusted they are with the politicization of science.
The hatred is something
The hatred is something you'll also have to lose if you ever want to be relevant again. I made no equivalence to holocaust deniers - the word "denial" is used in a lot of contexts - and to be honest I think you're crazy for even jumping to that conclusion.
Just as a challenge - name one climate scientist, just one, who has serious differences with AGW who is NOT in the pocket of the oil or coal lobby. Just one.
And you still haven't answered my question - the overwhelming preponderance of scientists believe that anthropogenic global warming has occurred and is occuring. Are they all simultaneously wrong, or are they all in a conspiracy against conservatism? Similarly, every major environmental and climate science organization believes that global warming is occuring. Are they a part of a vast left-wing conspiracy?
What do they stand to gain by making people believe in global warming if it doesn't exist?
This is the thing about American conservatism that has turned so many young people off. I'm not a scientist and I won't lie to you, I don't know or understand much about the climate debate. I'm happy, to be honest, to leave the science to the scientists and trust their judgement when it comes to making policy.
Republicans, though, can never leave the experts to do their job when it conflicts with your orthodoxy. You oppose psychiatrists when they say that homosexuality is not a mental disorder, you oppose climate scientists when they tell you that global warming is real, you oppose economists when they tell you that supply-side doesn't work, and you oppose Keynsianism even when budget hawks say a balanced budget is the wrong course of action.
I want a good faith marketplace of ideas where all sides are fully engaged with reality and prepared to deal with the problems it poses. You are nowhere near that, so people will keep voting for my side. Your loss.
Even less enlightening
"The hatred is something you'll also have to lose"
Starting off with a bad-faith argument again, when someone actually does engage in debate is hardly helpful. Calling disagreement "hatred" sounds completely like propaganda.
Richard Courtney, Andre Bijkerk, Artur Rorsch, there are hundreds, if not thousands, of unaffiliated scientists who disagree with the AGW hypothesis. Listing them all here would just result in your sort wiggling off to another subject. However, if you want to place a public bet for $10,000 US dollars, I'll supply you with 100 verifiable names, how about that?
I have no idea who the "you" is in regard to homosexuality, Keynesianism, and so on, but it's hardly related to the point above.
What do they stand to gain? Are you kidding, have you ever seen PhD's scramble for research grant money? It's scary. You'll find that the scientists willing to speak out about their dissent from the religion of AGW are all senior, tenured Phd's because of all the slander and intimidation heaped on younger researchers with less secure positions. It's disgusting behavior, and has created a lot of enemies in the scientific community.
Richard Courtney works for
Richard Courtney works for the British Coal Board and is an edtior of the international coal trading journal CoalTrans International. I can't find any coherent reference to Andre Bijkerk beyond some blog comments on Google, and Arthur Rorsch appears to be a geneticist, not a climatologist. Seriously man, Google exists, and it's a very cool piece of technology.
You still haven't answered the question - are the vast majority of climate scientists wrong about AGW, or are they in a conspiracy to push it onto an unwitting public?
Straw man again- bet or fold.
"You still haven't answered the question - are the vast majority of climate scientists wrong about AGW, or are they in a conspiracy to push it onto an unwitting public?"
I haven't answered it because it's a typically loaded question. The "vast" majority of scientists has never been the criteria for scientific accuracy, and never will be. The "vast" 47 scientists who signed off on the human-cause part of the IPCC statement are far outnumbered by scientists who are skeptical of same.
So, since you're sure of your facts, here's a chance to pick up an easy $10,000. Bet me there aren't at least 100 senior, well-respected scientists, unaffiliated with energy interests, who don't buy the IPCC conclusions. Bet now, and save yourself and me a lot of keystrokes, plus you can gain credibility. Or refuse to bet and thus admit that your statement was wrong or based on insufficient knowlege of what the hell you're talking about.
This is why it's a time-wasting trap. Characters like you claim the high ground and "good faith debate", then slide immediately into bad faith non-debate by coloring your opponents as "deniers and haters". I doubt you would have much to say at all if you didn't have ad-hominems.
And after you make your easy $10,000 bet, you can explain how financial considerations drive scientific beliefs while you justify the millions Al Gore stands to make from carbon trading, and the billions in grants given out to find CO2 warming.
There's no doubt about it...
...you got this guy running for the hills.
ex animo
davidfarrar
So let me get this straight:
So let me get this straight: I ask you for the names of a few climate scientists, with no ties to polluting industries, who are skeptical on AGW. You gave me a "scientist", whose academic credentials are in question, who works for the British coal lobby, one with apparently no English publications, and a retired geneticist. I call your bullshit and you double down? Please. Can't you see how ridiculous your "debate" has become when you're reduced to lame attempts to make bets on the internet?
You know what, I'm sure you could try real hard and find 100 individual scientists who are AGW skeptics. But how do you respond to the tens of thousands who are convinced of the phenomenon? Are they all wrong, or in a grand conspiracy to wreck your way of life, steal your SUV, and tax your business? Remember: as of last July, there are no national or international scientific organizations who object to the basic mechanics of anthropogenic global warming. None. Not even the American Association of Petroleum Geologists. This has been probably the most-studied scientific issue in the last decade and there is almost no controversy on the basics.
And your BS about "politicization of science" is just that. Progressives and Democrats attempt to make public policy based on the scientific community's best assessment of reality, and that's "politicization"?
But really, we're getting away from the real point here. The point is, how do conservatives make reality-based public policy again. I'm being completely serious here - assume AGW to be true. Just for the sake of assumption. What is the best solution according to conservative principles?
paid under the table is still paid.
I know someone who gets paid under the table. He got paid to spot the money trails.
Trust me, they're all paid under the table.
But who the hell is paying you???
I know scientists too, and you could get a NOBEL PRIZE for disproving global warming.
Scientists like the shiny.
Two plus an "out"
"Just as a challenge - name one climate scientist, just one, who has serious differences with AGW who is NOT in the pocket of the oil or coal lobby. Just one"
You asked for one; I gave you two and a bogey in a matter of seconds. "Vast" obviously doesn't mean what you think it means. Do you have any idea how many climatologists signed approval of the IPCC "causation" statement? The number might surprise you.
So take the $10,000 bet or not? "good faith debate" obviously means something quite different to you. Haters and deniers, indeed! This is why it's a time-wasting trap to fall for the bogus good faith you're peddling. Haters and deniers, indeed !
And just for a bonus, let's offer you another easy $10,000. I'll bet you that the number of scientists with no financial incentive to do so, who criticise the IPCC conclusions, FAR outnumber the few who signed the IPCC's causation statement. And most of those IPCC signers are non-climatologists who get money from pro-AGW interests.
Cap and trade a sneaky, non-revenue neutral tax,
The government does set the price with C&P, it just does so indirectly via a sneaky rationing system. It extracts a huge "rent" from consumers, delivering part of the loot to rent-seeking incumbent energy and related companies, and part to the government and all its creatures. It empowers central planners, politicians and bureaucrats. There is just nothing good about it. When the Senate took it up last fall everyone from George Will to Thomas Friedman were explaining how pernicious it was
A revenue neutral carbon tax doesn't extract any "rent" from consumers. It gradually changes the economy without wrecking it. It doesn't empower the political/government class. It leaves it up to consumers, energy producers and innovators to discover the optimum mix of conservation, fossil energy and non-fossil energy.
I think global warming is bunk and that it's silly to be in a rush to phase out fossil fuels. The bigger picture is that this will happen anyway over the next 100 years. The public is anxious about that and there's a lot of "we're all gonna die" alarmism. There is a demand for the political system to "do something." This form of "doing something is honest, transparent, and non-destructive. Heck, it will be fun, and an adventure (so long as the ratchet-up of the tax is sufficiently gradual).
Cato Institute types sometimes dis rev neutral carbon tax, but that is compared to status quo. They agree that it is MUCH better than cap and trade.
err... okay then.
If you can't understand a metaanalysis well enough to understand that global warming is going on, i can't see how you can be an effective conservative blogger.
global warming stopped in 1998
This statement: "If you can't understand a metaanalysis well enough to understand that global warming is going on"
... might as well be calling someone ignorant for not believing in the Tooth Fairy.
Please prove to us that human-driven global warming is going on in the past decade. You can't because it isnt.
Cap-and-trade is an Enron-style corruption scheme
Cap-and-trade is quite possible the most dangerous open door to scamming the american energy consumer and, instead of benefitting the Govt via taxes, it sends it to the 'traders' and those energy firms given the 'credits'. Moreover the European experience is that cap-and-trade DOESNT WORK to lower CO2 emissions.
Combining the evils of the biggest tax increase in history with the evils of the largest opportunity for corruption, self-dealing and patronage subsidies - that's cap-and-trade. Alas, THIS IS WHY THE WALL STREET HEDGE FUNDS LOVE IT. Maybe we can buy them off with the $700 billion TARP.
Cap-and-trade is the worst-of-all-worlds - Enron-style corruption scheme, costs that will be as bad as a large tax increase, yet benefits/revenues that would be much smaller than a simple carbon tax.
You are correct. The past 2 years of temperature trends have blown a huge hold in the IPCC models, and the scientific walk-balk is just starting. If AGW was a stock bubble instead of an 'idea bubble', you can consider the top was made when AlGore and IPCC got the nobel. Since then, every piece of data we get is undermining the AGW fearmongering claims. Sensitivity of temp to CO2 doubling is not likely to be *WELL UNDER 1.5C*, you can extrapolate just by looking at the last 40 years of temps. What this means is - sea levels wont rise much (think millimeters), trends wont be bad, and the impact will be positive not negative.
What this means politically is simple: We need to wait at least 4 more years before we do anything like cap-and-trade or carbon taxes. AGW is not proven and the extreme estimates may soon get DIS-proven, so we should fight to delay any regulations that lock us into unnecessary pain and suffering.