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No More Minnesotas
I don't think we can say that things are over yet in Minnesota, but we could be inching closer to another confirmation of the GOP's rock bottom status. If Al Franken is elected a Senator, I think we can officially say that things can't possibly get any worse.
What are the broader lessons here? One of the big problems it seems we face is that we keep losing votes after Election Day. On the day after the election, Obama's Presidential margin stood at under 6 points. Now, it's 7.3 according to RealClearPolitics. A lot of this is West Coast absentees and provisionals. But the reality is that it's going to be very, very difficult to succeed in recounts if we tolerate 1 to 1.5 points of slippage in overall vote counts after Election Day, usually in their direction. And MN-SEN isn't even the worst. Remember when we suddenly lost OH-15 by more than 2,000 votes when they decided to count 26,000 Franklin County provisionals a month after the election? And I don't even need to remind you about WA-GOV in 2004, when a governor was elected courtesy of votes found in closets.
Even if some of these votes are counted legitimately (the Ohio provisions example), we are inviting a crisis of confidence in our election system if it looks like the winner is dependent on the time we count ballots: usually a Republican on the day of the election when standard procedures are followed, and then a Democrat after protracted recounts and court battles.
We must insist on basic good government reforms to increase confidence in election results. Some of these might be done federally (as amendments to HAVA) and others will need to go state by state.
- Full electronic voting with a paper trail audit. There's a reason Paul Carmouche didn't challenge a 356-vote margin in LA-4: because the voting was 100% electronic. Critics have made good points about the lack of a paper trail on many of these machines. But MN-SEN shows that optical scan ballots, preferable only to hanging chads, are not fulproof. While plenty of bugs have been demonstrated on e-voting machines, there's no evidence (to date) of actual votes being mis-counted or lost -- and a paper trail should greatly improve the detection and resolution of these issues in real time.
- All ballots counted within 72 hours. It shouldn't take weeks to count absentees and provisionals. Let's set a reasonable window for counting every vote -- like 72 or 96 hours -- understanding that this might be different in states that are largely vote-by-mail.
- Zero tolerance for lost-and-found votes. Negligence in handling voted ballots should be made a misdemeanor offense at a minimum. Election officials should pay heavy fines and face removal for incidents like the 133 "lost" Minneapolis ballots. Heavy legal penalties should be a deterrent to "losing" ballots that are then "found" at conveninent points in a recount.
- An open election results standard. I want this for other reasons, but a bunch of tech people should get together to formulate a standard for the reporting of real-time precinct election results in XML that also covers 1) reporting status of absentees and provisionals, and 2) historical precinct data, including notional numbers from census block counts for re-precincted areas. For all precincts, we should know how many voters are registered to get a real sense of voter turnout as well as how many people voted in this precinct in the last few elections. Practically, this means that the spotting of anomalies can be crowdsourced to the online community. If turnout seems abnormally high or low for a precinct, we can know in real time.
The GOP, with the help of sites like Election Journal, has made it a priority to detect and prevent voter fraud before and during elections -- but we lack a similarly systematic approach to prevent the stealing of elections after the fact. (Arguably, such a strategy would have more of an impact.) More than a handful of races this year were in recounts or in limbo until after Election Day, and at the Senate level, all have been decided for the Democrat or are trending that way (Alaska, Oregon, and now possibly Minnesota).


Comments
Franken Helps Us In The End
If he (Franken) does get in, the radical Stuart Smalley (Frankens character on SNL) can only help us in the end. He is so so left that he is marginalized at the start. He'll moan and groan, he'll either divide the democratic party or become ostracized such that he doesn't make the next election cycle. Sure it's a senate seat but really....what's more poop on an already huge pile of poop.
As for voting machines, rules, ballot handling, etc., In my opinion, all minutia easily combatted by a well formed, succint message. Whenever the public sees us challenging voting results, they perceive us as a whiny bunch of malcontents. Elections are about public opinion, as part of the next right, let's make it a promise not to give them any more ammo; no matter how small.
I am from Minnesota
thats fine if you wanna talk about our recount but get your facts straight.
first that whole ballots found in a trunk was debunk, also the 133 votes were never found, they were from a heavy Franken area and could have cost him a net of 46 votes, but they decided to go with the election night results.
I know how politics, work and how everyone does it, but you can't use MN in that game, even Gov. Pawlenty when he isn't to busy running for 2012 has said there is no evidence of wrong doing, yes including those "supposed" found ballots.
the currect counting of the challenged ballot has taken them around a week, most of that was because Coleman decided to challenge some many, and even after they got started even added MORE for them to review. so 72-96 hrs? does that count the initial recount of 3 million ballots and then the review of challeneged ones?\? so are they not suspose to sleep?
MN takes pride in its elections for a reason, and the national games of the parites will not affect us here, voters don't tolerate that here.
and what is even more dangerous are people and sites that continue to spread things that are debunked say lost ballots found in a trunk because they never updated themselves about the story and found out what was going on. I am not saying that specifically what you were doing, but at the very least this tone of your title is very misleading.
We are "losing votes after Election Day"
You can only say that we are "losing votes after Election Day" if you accept the premise that the count on Election Day was complete and correct. Since it was done in haste, I doubt that it can be.
The most important thing is that every vote is counted, regardless of whether it fits into the 72 hour window you've come up with. Accuracy is more important than speed.
In cases where there are disputes, send it to the courts - that is what they are there for.
also that absentees don't count
apparently.
Close elections deserve an accurate count
In our system, there is a period of nearly two months between the election and the beginning of the term for a new Senator or Representative. It is tempting to look at the Minnesota election and say that if Franken wins, there is something corrupt about it. In an electronic voting scheme, there is no accountability for electronic fraud. Local governments are notoriously poor at choosing technology, and both sides have an incentive to steal elections by shifting large numbers of votes. This may already have happened in some states--it is unknown and unknowable. But here is what Minnesota did right:
Minnesota has a paper system that can be audited. It needs a little tightening (lost ballots, sloppy application of standards for absentee voting), but it has proven to be well more than 99% accurate, which would not be an issue in any election except for the basically tied Coleman-Franken race.
Minnesota defined its standards before the election. The campaigns can debate it, but the reason that the vast majority of the challenges have failed is that the standards were in place, with sample ballots, before this election. All states should define these standards BEFORE there is a 'Democratic' or 'Republican' position on sloppy marks. The Star Ledger showed pictures of the disputed ballots, and nearly all of the ballots had 75% of the ballots allotted the same way by the readers.
Minnesota doesn't have a county by county hodge podge of systems like many states do. Florida 2000 was a patchwork of punch cards, paper, and electronic systems. (I lived there.)
Minnesota's Supreme Court took a step backwards by making the two campaigns 'agree' on standards--expect this to be the next point of contention--but the correct venue for writing standards is an off year, when there is no partisan position on it.
The test of a system of voting is this -- if your side loses a close race, do you trust it?
also, bear in mind that poll workers are in general in their
70's or so. if you disagree with that, volunteer.
This really should be a bipartisan issue
The mechanics of voting in this country are inexcusable given current technology.
I can, and have, used my ATM card to get currency in 9 countries on 3 continents. The banking system verified my identity and my eligibility to withdraw funds, gave me the money, printed a reciept and updated my financial record. I do not know if the various ATM machines maintained a paper record in addition to the reciept printed for me but I am sure that would not have been difficult.
There is no techonological reason, (and no meaningful legal, moral or political reason), why each and every voter cannot be issued a secure voter id card that provides the same capability as an ATM. I should be able to walk up to a voting machine anywhere in the country (world?), insert my voter id card, have the Automated Voting Machine (AVM) pull up the appropriate ballot, record my vote, give me a printed reciept and update the voting records in my home precinct. This is not rocket science. We have had ATM technology since the mid 70s for crying out loud!!!
Yes, conversion to the new technology would be expensive. But the current machines are not exactly cheap and think of how many disputed elections could have been settled more easily if we had rolled out AVMs the way we rolled out ATMs.
I really do not see how any of this is a Liberal vs Conservative, or Republican vs Democrat issue. And as for the black helicopter crowd that is so worried about a national id card; take the tin foil off your head and look at your driver's license. That train left the station 50 years ago. Get used to it.
They do this in Brazil
You have a voting card that you use in a nationwide election. Voting is compulsory, and there are booklets with the candidate's pictures and their corresponding numbers for those who cannot read.
All things considered, Minnesota's recount is much more organized than Florida's was in 2000, because it is going how it was designed to. Considering that Democrats gain votes after a recount pretty universally, I wouldn't really look for funny business. And our response should be the same whether Coleman wins by two votes or loses by 5.
Easy in idea
But how would you enforce it, without a large amount of bureaucracy?
Same way we do now
Have you noticed the size of election bureaucracies in most states? I think a well designed AVM system could be supported with less bureaucracy not more.
I love the AVM idea, but
I love the AVM idea and you describe it well. However, I think it could encourage vote buying/selling.
Imagine a low-rent apartment complex, or a dorm. Word spreads that the guy in 2C will pay you $10 for your AVM card and pin, and you'll get them back the next day. Or, that he will pay you $10 for a receipt that shows you voted a certain way.
Perhaps biometeric technology will negate the first possiblity in a few years time. But I don't have a solution to the second one.
Some problems cannot be solved
I've worked too many elections to kid myself about vote buying. It is rampent under the current system and will be under any system we can devise. Been that way since the days of bread and circuses in Rome. I called the lawyers in on a polling place in Alabama where one of the poll workers was checking the optical scan sheets and giving a reciept to the voter before they left. You could look through the window and see them exchanging the reciept for cash in the parking lot. There is even an economic school of thought that buying and selling votes should be legal, open and transparent. One of the reasons I tend to distrust economists.
Mega-Ditto's to That!!!
Transparency in Precinct counts
I fully agree with you Patrick especially in regards to the reporting of precinct results. I have seen election results at many election officials websites across the nation and it is amazing to me how much the precinct results are not available on the Internet as soon as possible.
In some cases, they are never put on the Internet. Among the major jurisdictions who cover up their precinct results on a regular basis are New York City, Philadelphia PA (until recently when a law suit was threatened), Marion County IN (Indianapolis), Sacramento County CA, Wayne County MI (Detroit), and Santa Clara County (the Silicon Valley).
On the other hand there are some states and counties that do a great job of reporting the results by precinct almost immediately after they are counted including North Carolina, Virginia, Orange County CA and Miami-Dade County FL.
If they can do it, certainly all jurisdictions can put the precinct results on the Internet as soon as they are counted. This will help restore confidence in the election process, help elections officials correct errors through a citizen army of Internet inspectors, and give us a new insight on the way America's neighborhoods vote.
Look, Minnesota is basically a Good Gummint state.
However, I suspect that when all is said and done, we'll be blessed with Senator Al Franken by the Hair of the Last Dog.
This is what happens when the Democratic Party comes up with a candidate for Senate because Jar Jar wasn't available. That Norm Coleman could only manage a tie to this angry little man doesn't speak well for the Coleman Campaign. Norm was a good guy and had a good record in the Senate. It also speaks to the toxic atmosphere for Republicans post-2005.
Yes, we need to make sure that Election Reform occurs, but the fact remains that the Republican Party right now can't afford to get to the point where it has to worry about a recount. When you have to worry about a recount, you've lost. The D's control the urban voting apparatus and all the mechanisms of fraud that go with that. Ray Malone once related the story told to him by the late John Rhodes of Ohio: if a Republican wasn't leading in Ohio by at least 50,000 votes, he'd lose, because that was the spread needed to make up for the fraud coming out of the Cuyahoga County political machine (that would be Cleveland). The ACORN people like to softpedal this, but fraud is real and it occurs.
Obama learned not to have to depend on the machines by maximizing white liberal votes in Red Counties and Black votes in Blue Counties. That was his secret.
There is no substitute for a Republican Party that believes in itself, believes in what it stands for, and remains apart from and outside of Washington. That leads to good candidates and political victories.
If you have to worry about recounts, you've lost already.
As for Franken, he'll become the poster child for direct mail and those graverobbers over at NewsMax. The man is an extremist and a yeller. That's exactly why he's bad for Minnesota, but good for the Republican Party.
Karl Rove must have this man on retainer.
Well, I've been following
Well, I've been following Minnesota as closely as anyone else... I think we need to stay focused on actual political issues of substance, and "how votes are counted" does not meet the test. If we want to tackle recounts, that's fine, but that's not something substantive that we can offer to the voters as a reason to support the Republican Party.
Republicans for good government
Full electronic voting with a paper trail audit. ... There are traditional Democratic positions. The NYTimes has been calling for this for years, with Republicans in the opposition.
Question about this post: Do you object to the Minnesota recount procedure? Do you think Franken got fewer votes? Do you think Minnesota should have used it's inaccurate election day counts instead of the more accurate count they have now?
Overturn the consensus view on voting
It has long been the consensus view that high turn out favors Dems and low turn out favors Republicans. Positive election reform may be a good issue for the GOP to support in the minority as a means for renewing our credentials as the party of transparency and good government.
To that end I would recommend joining with Democrats in Congress to pass forward-looking legislation that makes it easier not harder to register and to vote, that modernizes election technologies and bureaucracies and that can serve as a platform for increasing participation.
If the GOP aggressively took the lead in this it might go far toward reviving our brand. We support liberty, democracy and participation.We will then have to go out and win those votes, but I think we will gain overall.
Need to keep elections open, fair, and LEGAL
My first reaction after the 2000 Presidential Election was "How can this happen to us? How can the US have an election where people question the outcome?" (Granted, after a few years my main reaction was "THIS guy is PRESIDENT? He's not competent enough to be a crossing guard who "only" protects a few hundred kids each day, let alone a nation!"... but I digress...)
We should have electronic counting of some sort, where the manner in which you select your candidates is VERY obvious (not more butterfly ballots), with easy to track paper audit trails. In North Carolina, my ballots have been large (possibly "A" sized sheets) of thick paper/paperboard, which is fed into a machine for counting. I say throw out the electronic voting machines until they can be made more secure (see "Hacking Democracy" if you want a good, fact-filled scare about voting machines as they stand now).
Anybody involved in the manufacture or distribution of electronic voting machines should be prohibited from working or volunteering in the political arena. The head of Diebold, who "guaranteed" Ohio to GW Bush in 2000 may not have done anything underhanded with his machines, but the possibility of impropriety needs to removed.
The same goes for Secretaries of State or anybody else officially involved with the vote. If you are a SoS, you do NOT run a candidate's state election campaign. You don't even set foot in one of the candidate's offices. Clean, open elections require this.
No limit on the amount of time to recount - we run into the BS of the 2000 election where there were plenty of questions remaining, but the courts said "too bad - time's out". The length of some of these recounts is frustrating, but I'd rather have correct counts than artificially quick ones.
What would help is if bogus charges of "voting fraud" against groups like ACORN did not muddy up the water. ACORN did submit, as required by law, fake registration forms. They also noted which ones THEY thought were fake (such as "Mickey Mouse"). Their procedures need to be cleaned up to deter/punish those that create the fake forms. And what idiots put out the fliers that stated "due to the expected rush, Republicans vote on Tuesday, Democrats on Wednesday"? Go after THEM. And if somebody has a club (nightstick, whatever) in front of a voting place, get them out of there (as they did in Philadelphia).
The last thing we need is another situation where the judges Daddy and Daddy's old boss selected seem to act like Soviet basketball ref's during the 1972 Olympics. It HAS to be better than that.
So what about the MN SOS
One reason many of us are so sceptical of the resutls in MN is their SOS was selected by George Soros who bankrolled these types of races throughout the nation in order to "make sure votes are counted 'properly' during recounts."
And as for ACORN, I've delt with many citizens groups as a legisltive staffer and never met a more sleazy or corrupt organization. Voter fraud is merely the tip of their very ugly ice berg.
Regardless of Party
Please note that I did not specify "no GOP SoSs".
Where's the evidence that the votes AREN'T being counted
Where is the evidence that the votes in Minnesota AREN'T being counted properly? It seems to me to a remarkably open procedure.
Re: zero tolerance for lost-and-found votes
The people running elections are volunteers. Many are retirees.
Arrest an old lady who made an honest mistake? Good luck finding volunteers for future elections...
Good gosh
Such a target-rich environment...
If the old lady made an honest mistake, she would not be arrested. If she was somewhere filling out optical scan ballot for the Democrat candidate, she should be arrested. To claim she would be arrested for an honest mistake is demagoguish hysteria.
As far as evidence votes aren't being counted correctly, it's not hard to find. Is there such a lack of conscience on the left that stealing an election is ok?
Excellent ideas Patrick. We need to have a process in place to thwart the thuggery of the election thieves. It would be wonderful if every conservative Republican victory were a landslide - however, that won't always be the case.
The Minnesota Canvassing Board is doing its work out in the open
Otherwise, that Fox News article you complain about could not have been written.
Coleman agreed to the procedure in advance and he and his legal team are closely observing the process and can and have taken their complaints to court.
That article shows protions of ballots, but the board is looking at the entire ballot and trying to determine the voters intent as best they can. And they have standards they apply to all cases. For example, if there is an "x", the board tried to see if the X was on top or beneath the filled in portion. If it is on top of the filled in oval, they ruled it was an undervote. If it was underneath the filled in oral, it counted for that candidate. Same for every case. AND they look at the rest of ballot. On the ballot which Coleman lost a vote, the rest of the ballot had both Xs and filled in ovals. The board probably decided it could not tell which voter's intent and threw out the ballot.
It is the best system for a bad situation - just because Coleman is losing doesn't mean the system is flawed. I simply don't believe the Canvassing Board and the MNSC love Franken so much they'd be willing to commit daylight robbery on live TV in order to steal an election for him. And if they did, Coleman's got another court he can go to.
Mr. Ruffini said "heavy fines" for "lost-and-found" ballots.
We're talking about sloppy behavior, not proven fraud. There are already procedures to deal with fraud. Are you saying that you'd be OK with a monetary fine? That would still drive good people away from the process.
I mostly agree with the OP & have deep concerns about Democrat partisan Lori Swanson meddling in the process. And yes, there should be consequences for sloppy behavior by election officials. Would be nice to fire the person who lost the ballots. But you can't treat them like professionals unless you start paying them. I'd rather not professionalize the process.
The FUCK??? Charlie brown Lost
Montana went Republican, so did Missouri?
Please, people, get your facts straight.