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And Finally, A Piece Of Advice For McCain And The House Leadership:
You own the defeat of the bailout bill. For better or for worse you own it. The American people will view it as your doing because (a) many of them believe you still control Congress and (b) the American people think of Republicans more than Democrats as the party that doesn't like bigger government.
Your response today was the absolute worst one imaginable. The finger-pointing and lame excuses about partisan speeches from the House Speaker are the worst possible reason, for a public that is very tired of finger-pointing and lame excuses. In the end the bill failed for one reason: People were pissed off about government spending $750 BILLION to bail out Wall Street. Your rank-and-file figured this out, as did much of the Democratic rank-and-file. We are in a populist moment. But populism (as opposed to progressivism) contains TWO great dislikes: Wall Street and Congress. This bill was seen as an unholy alliance of the two.
You now need to claim ownership of this defeat, which is already assigned to you. The argument is simple: "We are not going to vote for the $750 BILLION in spending of taxpayer dollars for Wall Street, the one proposed by President Bush and Nancy Pelosi." You need to do the reverse of what President Clinton did -- they need to triangulate against the President and the House Democratic leadership. Neither of them is very popular, and McCain is increasingly unlikely to win. Drop them and run against them. If Pelosi brings up a bill farther to the left, 190 Republicans need to vote against it.
You own this. The American people think you stopped this bill. They want to know why. There is an argument for why which will resonate with them. You need to start making that argument, before the Democrats and the press start making it for you, while you keep arguing that you don't own this defeat.
That might kill the economy. But that die has already been cast, long ago. I think the bailout bill might have helped, but not stopped this. But there were also helpful signs today -- increased liquidity from the fed, the buyouts, rather than bailouts, of WaMu. The Dow fell 7% today, a lot, but far less than the 23% it fell in October of 1987. Maybe the bankers who would be bailed out by this bill's failure aren't the best people to listen to when they scream about impending doom. Maybe, just maybe, we can weather this storm.
I think today was a political mistake, but I think the worst thing the GOP could do is to be perceived as weak, and trying to deny what is obvious to many Americans. For better or worse, you now own this defeat, and it is time to take a stand on whatever it is you own.


Comments
OOOPS!! Too Late
Barney Frank almost immediately today:
"... Here’s the story. There’s a terrible crisis affecting the American economy. We have come together on a bill to alleviate the crisis. And because somebody hurt their feelings, they decide to punish the country. I mean, I would not have imputed that degree of pettiness and hypersensitivity.
We also have — as the leader will tell you, who’s been working with them — don’t believe they had the votes, and I believe they’re covering up the embarrassment of not having the votes. But think about this. Somebody hurt my feelings, so I will punish the country. That’s hardly plausible. And there are 12 Republican members who were ready to stand up for the economic interest of America, but not if anybody insulted them.
I’ll make an offer. Give me those 12 people’s names and I will go talk uncharacteristically nicely to them and tell them what wonderful people they are and maybe they’ll now think about the country...<lsughter from Press>"
Need a plan B, much?
The Site Is Much More Interesting Since We Got Our Own Trolls nt
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I don't plan on retiring, anyway...
...I'd much rather see my measly 401 diminish than to see our banking institutions nationalized. It hurts for sure. But we don't want to hand down a socialists state to our children. All I can say is "Thank the Good Lord above for those brave congressmen/women who voted against this atrocity".
Ox, I luv ya man, but - get used to the "population". Any who want to get voted into office had better understand that they need the "populace" to vote them in & hence, had best add a "tincture of populism" into the mix. And if a political party starts ignoring/dis'ing/insulting that "populace" like George W. Bush & the present GOP Hierarchy, well they're going to have problems. They've driven the former mighty GOP base away.. Palin brought a few back but if McCain wants people standing/cheering, he'd best band together w/these Congressional misfits who voted against this bill. DD
I'm glad bill was defeated in a slightly bipartisan vote
The repubs do have the greater responsibility for of the defeat of this version of the bailout, but who's to say there won't be a better bill passed in a few days or weeks. Maybe congress needs to consider more options and consult with better experts such as this one.
http://www.rgemonitor.com/roubini-monitor/253783/is_purchasing_700_billion_of_toxic_assets_the_best_way_to_recapitalize_the_financial_system_no_it_is_rather_a_disgrace_and_rip-off_benefitting_only_the_shareholders_and_unsecured_creditors_of_banks
I have no investments to lose and understand very little about this crisis, but have an intuitive sense about which experts are talking sense.
"So this rescue plan is a huge and massive bailout of the shareholders and the unsecured creditors of the financial firms (not just banks but also other non bank financial institutions); with $700 billion of taxpayer money the pockets of reckless bankers and investors have been made fatter under the fake argument that bailing out Wall Street was necessary to rescue Main Street from a severe recession. Instead, the restoration of the financial health of distressed financial firms could have been achieved with a cheaper and better use of public money. "
Nancy didn't promote this bill to the D's.
She didn't deliver her committee chairs - the guys she appointed and can remove from their positions directly. The Majority Whip is quoted saying he hadn't been asked to pressure anyone as of late yesterday. And they procedurally set things up so the bill couldn't be reconsidered today. Now they're going on recess.
So this is entirely by design.
Gingrich and Blunt
On Joe Scarborough's Cable News show this morning, Newt Gingrich was exposed. No one was more active than the former speaker in whipping GOP Conservatives against this bill, despite the complete lie of a statement he put out after the vote.
It is simply not true that Dems did not deliver: In the end, 2 out of 3 Democrats voted FOR this bill. They went with Nancy Pelosi in spite of the fact they were getting 100-1 calls from home not to do it. In spite of the fact this is a REPUBLICAN bill, written by Henry Paulson and sent out by the White House. In spite oif the fact that many provisions demanded by Dems, including the rewrite of the bankruptcy code that was just made stronger by the GOP Congress so that a new bill would help low-income and minority homeowneres in foreclosure and bankruptcy proceedings not have to lose their homes.
This morning on Morning Joe, James Cliburn, Pelosi's Whip, went on the record.
Roy Blunt, who had been hand-picked by the GOP House COnservatives to speak for them in all negotiations, told Cliburn he could not deliver the 100 GOP votes that Pelosi and Clyburn told him to deliver to move forward. But, Clyburn says, he was told by Roy Blunt he had between 75 and 85 votes he could count on.
How many GOP House Members voted FOR their own President's bill? 65.
Blunt, Boehner, and every one of those GOP members who voted FOR this needed bill was done dirty, stabbed in the back by Gingrich, who is paving the way for his own Presidential run next cycle, and by Pence and the rest of the GOP House Conservatives.
What we saw this weekend and yesterday is the destruction of the GOP, as it was made by Ronald Reagan.
One clue comin' up. . .
. . .for ya, Jim Dandy: The Republicans who opposed the bill have two luxuries that the Democrats don't have -- (1) Phone calls, emails, faxes, and letters to congressional offices running 1,000 to 1 in opposition to the bill, and (2) a general inclination against such government actions.
So, while you're bogged down in the minutiae of justifying Pelosi's pathetic headcounting (it IS her House, after all), the GOP has the luxury of pointing to the voters and the basic principle of limited government as all the justification they need to have voted against the bill.
This bill was like a snake in the garden. Sure, it might help to keep some rats and birds out, but in the end, it's a snake. And you're going to have a hard time making the guy who killed the snake look like the villain.
Mr Oxendine, You are such an
Mr Oxendine,
You are such an Inside The Beltway (whether you actually live there or not) company man, that you seem to think that this bill had to pass today and today only. Do you really think that passing that particular bill, in one House of Congress was really that vital?
Come on out to the real world: feeding fat cats is not that important to us. Chaining McCain to Frank and Pelosi is not all that realistic, unless you posit that Obama was worthless and helpless, except of course, if you are "inside the Beltway" and in the tank for the status quo ante.
In less than three months, regardless of what happens on election day, this failure of leadership by the Dems will turn out to be quite fortuitous.
Thanks for listening.
Don't Live Inside The Beltway
And if you re-read things, I see a lot of what you talk about in your post. I tend to believe that the bailout would have been better than the alternative, but we're about to find out if that judgment is correct or not.
If this is the route to take. . .
. . .and I'm still not 100% convinced that it is, then this is the way I would go about making the case to voters -- at least as a jumping-off point.