McCain +20 in North Carolina

Yesterday I hypothesized that McCain might get his bounce mostly in industrial, blue collar states, and in red states where he had been underperforming.  This seemed to find support in the Rasmussen and SUSA swing state polls from yesterday which showed no movement or even negative movement in FL, VA, and CO, but some movement toward McCain in OH and PA.

Today we see a little more evidence of this, as McCain has gone from +4 in NC in August to +20 in NC in September.  We unfortunately don't have any internals to see where the movement occurred, but if my suspicion is correct, a lot of the red states that have been marginal will probably be moving to McCain over the next few days.  Of course, I'd rather see a solidification of VA and CO, but that might not happen, ever, this cycle.

Also, Obama's decision to move organizers from GA to NC isn't looking like such a great idea, huh?  I've long been a critic of the 50-state strategy, and this is a prime reason why.  More on that (moron that?) later.

UPDATE:  And sure enough, Matt C at the always-excellent Race42008 notes that McCain has gone from +1 to +11 in Montana, according to Rasmussen.

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