Promoted and bumped. -Patrick
Back after the May fundraising numbers came out, I hypothesized thusly in a comment:
I'd been saying for a while that we could expect a major drop-off in [Obama's] fundraising. People have been crowing about his small donor base, and how he could keep tapping that.
But it isn't necessarily true. When I was in law school, I gave GWB $300 online after he was the presumptive nominee but before he was the actual nominee. But it would be foolish to assume that you could keep coming back to me again and again up to $4600. Or even up to $400. On my law student budget, that was it. Add in the "shiny new toy" aspect to Obamania back in February, and I think you can see why his fundraising has dropped off.
Maybe the Clinton folk will come up big for him. I don't know. But this really might be the first big strategic gaffe for the Obama campaign.
Now, Kavon Nikrad over at Race42008 writes:
There is a good chance Barack Obama’s fundraising total from June will be less than the $22 million he raised in May. No word on whether McCain’s fundraising total was up from then, but if you recall, Sen. McCain only came in $1 million behind Obama for the month.
Nothing is certain, but there is at least the possiblity (remember-I said possibility) that John McCain outraised Barack Obama in June.
I'm not certain what Kavon's sourcing is here, but if it is true, Obama might have a real problem here. I've been skeptical of the notion that he can wring a half billion dollars out of Dem donors, in addtion to the quarter billion that was wrung out of Dem donors for the primary, and continue to be so skeptical.