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Is Obama abandoning Virginia?
I just got an email from Barack Obama's campaign urging me to drive to Pennsylvania. The thing is... I live in Virginia. Virginia is supposed to be a swing state. They would rather have me knock on doors in Pennsylvania than Virginia? That sounds like they are abandoning Virginia.
If they were on the attack, people would be going to North Carolina. (Of course, they could be sending North Carolina into Virginia and Virginia into Pennsylvania)
Here's the email:
You're receiving this message for two reasons.
First, Election Day is seven weeks from today -- just 49 more days. That's not a lot of time.
Second, you live right next door to a state that is once again shaping up to be a crucial general election battleground -- Pennsylvania.
And Obama supporters from across the northeast are going to be crucial to putting us over the top in the Keystone State.
That's why we're organizing teams of supporters to come to Pennsylvania for Drive for Change weekend canvasses.
John McCain has made it clear that he intends to continue George W. Bush's failed policies. Just yesterday, he repeated his belief that "the fundamentals of our economy are strong."
Hard-working families in Pennsylvania and across the country know differently. You know that it's getting harder to afford the price of gas and health care.
It shows how out of touch McCain is from what's going on in the lives of ordinary Americans.
That's why we're going to be counting on supporters like you to come to Pennsylvania to spread Barack's message of change.
Face-to-face contact with undecided voters is the single most effective way to grow this movement.
Sign up for a Drive for Change canvass this weekend and make a short trip to make a big difference:
http://my.barackobama.com/
PAborder We can't do this without you.
- Soren Dayton's blog
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Comments
PITY
I was hoping he'd waste as much money losing VA as he was spending to lose Florida.
I guess the good news is that they are worried enough about PA that they wont take it for granted. This is good for McCain as he doesnt need PA to win. McCain gets OH, VA, CO and FL and he wins. The other insane part of this is that we are much more effective in our home state.
In 2004, Bush had a "Texas Strike Force" of Texas volunteers that were willing to go to other states.
Texas Same Story
People signed up in Texas are recieving the same type of emails. I registered with a Ft Worth zip code and asked me to spend my weekends in Colorado.
A Hillary delegate who helps me over at TalkStraight.org lives in Austin and was asked to spend her weekends in New Mexico.
They want you to call and setup special arrangements if you can spend longer... hmmm.. or during November 4th I'm sure.
ACORN...
Why?
Rasmussen shows McCain's number going down in Virginia (9/7-9/15) and I was reading in the Washington Post today that the state is running out of Voter Registration forms. Obama has been very aggressive here registering new voters.
http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/09/15/fox-newsrasmussen-report-race-re...
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/14/AR200809...
Hmmm....
If by abandoning Virginia, you mean Obama is going to Virginia, then yes, Obama is abandoning Virginia.
http://my.barackobama.com/page/s/vasistercity
PA is a huge body problem
Remember, Obama was crushed pretty much everywhere past City Line Avenue in PA. It's an older state with few college kids and yuppies. It's quite possible the old time labor movement types simply aren't showing in sufficient numbers for them.
haocai
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Their internal polling
for PA must scare the heck out of them
Virginia Borders (Trivia)
"Second, you live right next door to a state that is once again shaping up to be a crucial general election battleground -- Pennsylvania." Which state (or commonwealth) is the only state (or commonwealth) in the Union that borders both Delaware and Pennsylvania? Team Obama Answer: Virginia
Maybe PA is in trouble
Maybe it's not so much that Obama is abandoning VA -- but maybe this indicates that the Obama campaign in Pennsylvania is in such trouble that they have to bring in guys from out-of-state.
No. Obama has a better than
No.
Obama has a better than even chance of flipping VA to blue. Poll numbers have been steadily , if not very, favorable.
Obama, like the writer above mentions, is betting a lot on his new voters. If they come out like he thinks they will, it will be a very bad day for the GOP from the White House to the County house .
His only hope in VA is for voter tunrout in NOVA
everywhere else in the state is solidly McCain. He would need McCain to have a poor voter turnout elsewhere in the state to win that state.
Vote fraud and faked registrations
Barack the ACORN activist maybe using his favorite tool to try to win VA, but its a double edged sword. Every state where they run these big voter registrations, they have big scandals about it. The ACORN MO is to pay for forms, and they dont care,in fact encourage and incentivize fraud. This massive fraud is paid for by taxpayers via shakedowns in housing bills (see below) and it is also being underwritten by Obama's campaign. It is sleazy and underhanded.
Michigan:
More on the money laundering that is going on with taxpayer dollars:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121745181676698197.html?mod=residential_real_estate
Webb had huge tunout in NOVA
and beat Senator Macaca by what, 3,000 votes. And Webb stayed on the map in the western part of the state where Obama will get smoked
Only Conservative Democrats Can Win In Virginia
Conservative Democrats, like Warner and Webb, can win there. There's still a lot of older, Dixiecrat/FDR-type voters that are socially conservative, but fiscally more liberal. Combine that with the influx of young, yuppie liberal vote and the African-American vote and you can cobble together a winning coalition (barely).
Obama will obviously get the latter two demographics, but the former is just not going to happen. Bush won that state by nearly 8 points both in 2000 and 2004. The state hasn't gone Blue since LBJ. I don't see a state making that kind of leap in one election cycle. Every election year we hear about how the youth vote and new voters are going to make the difference, but we've yet to see it.
Virginia will be closer than it should be, and McCain is going to have to fight for it, but in the end he will win the state.
Well......
that may be true, there are a lot of folks in rural Virgina that would never pull the lever for a black man. But Obama is getting my vote in Virginia.
Very grateful to the author's
Very grateful to the author's share, I very much agree! :) Christian Louboutin Shoes Christian Louboutin pumps Christian Louboutin boots Christian Louboutin sandal
It appears that the geography
It appears that the geography of the 57 States has Team Obama believing that Maryland is closer to Virginia than Virginia is and Virginia is closer to Pennsylvania than Maryland is. Here in California I'm awaiting my orders to go to New Hampshire while those in Maine are sent to Nevada. It's all so confusing. Sigh!
testking 642-845The Obama campaign could use a few adults.
Obama was crushed pretty much
Obama was crushed pretty much everywhere past City Line Avenue in PA. It's an older state with few college kids and yuppies. It's quite possible the old time labor movement types simply aren't showing in sufficient numbers for them.
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The majority of the problem
The majority of the problem applications are coming from the group ACORN, Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now, which has a large voter registration program among its many social service programs. ACORN’s Michigan branch, based in Detroit, has enrolled 200,000 voters statewide in recent months, mostly with the use of paid, part-time employees.