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Lehman Brothers and an opportunity for John McCain
Ben Smith is undoubtedly correct that the situation with Lehman Brothers (and to a lesser extent, Merrill Lynch) will suck up most of this week:
With the Wall Street Journal reporting that liquidation is the likeliest option for Lehman Brothers, it's going to make it hard for the candidates to talk about anything else this week.
Again, this is bad news for Barack Obama because his change argument is not at the top of the agenda. Instead of talking about change, he is going to need to address the substance this week.
John McCain also has an opportunity here. The Dems are sitting on (dishonest) ads with McCain's statement about not knowing much about the economy. If McCain actually talks sensibly about the economy this week, that will defuse the effect of those ads.
I would also point out that Barack Obama received $365,922 from employees of Lehman, while McCain received $115,800. Obama will not have that populist attack on McCain.
- Soren Dayton's blog
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Republicans must immediately look to Congress's record
Electing Obama will empower the Democrats running the key economic related committees on Capitol Hill, who are either clueless (Barney Frank) http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/13/AR2008091302638.html bought off and disengaged (Chris Dodd) http://thenextright.com/category/blog-tags/chris-dodd, or tax cheats (Charlie Rangel) http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122143394599834065.html
You guys make me laugh
Dayton and Ironman couldn't tell you the difference between a tranche and a trench, but that does not stop these fools from spewing out BS in every direction----lol.
Oh how clever!
Did you stay up all night thinking up that one?
Please
I'm sure I was doing multimillion dollar mortgage workouts and refis when half the posters here were watching Sesame Street.
Key - McCain needs to respond like a President
Soren, I agree this is a great opportunity for John McCain to talk like the President he'll be in January. While Obama keeps attacking the VP (like Dems have been shooting at Cheney for 6 years) McCain soars above the mess and speaks clearly
and Mac did just that
This is a very high minded, but direct ad which directly addresses today's issue
http://hughhewitt.townhall.com/blog/g/848a4403-cbdf-4132-965e-57d6af216713
Here's my take...
...we have too much wealth flowing out of our nation and dwindling amount of foreign money coming in over the last several decades. And that as a result of very bad trade deals. Wide open global free-trade for the sake of trade. There are a handfull of folks getting very rich but, as a whole, our nations wealth/economy is being slowly "bled out". America is like a store that is making little or no profit. We'll soon have to put up the "Out of Business" sign.
Tell me where I'm wrong. I'm certainly no expert. Don't know what "tranche" means. Ha! But this is my gut feeling. Help me out here, ok? Darvin Dowdy
Both McCain and Obama are going to respond....
...to the recent financial crisis like the politicians they are: blame the other guy for the crisis, while championing the cause for change.
But their real message to taxpayers is:
ex animo
davidfarrar
I actually think this a GREAT
I actually think this a GREAT chance for Obama to demonstrate that one of the key tenets of GOP conservatism is smaller government and LESS oversight/regulation of private enterprise. Here is the FREE market, left relatively unchecked by a GOP controlled government during the housing "boom", failing MISERABLY.
Message to voters---> Their way doesn't work and now all of you will have to bail them out while the CEOs of these failed companies get giant golden parachutes.
Once again you delusional leftists have got it all wrong!
No susprise but just for your edification this was the result of failed government policies and not the free market. this was the result of mostly Democrat (and some RINO) poltical corruption at the expense of the taxpayers. If government would stop sticking its nose in the mortage industry and stop bailing out bad business bahavior then this would havet played itself out and the market would already have corrected itself. Not that I honestly expect a devout anti-capitalist like yourself to understand that.
Thanks for your opinion
WASHINGTON — After at least a quarter-century of pressing for deregulation of financial markets, economists and members of Congress are pushing for renewed regulation in hopes of heading off a collapse of the global banking system.
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on Tuesday became the latest official to call for additional government powers, saying that the Fed should be given more authority to determine how much cash investment banks are required to keep in reserve and to monitor how they manage the risk involved in their investments.
When the head of the Fed calls for greater financial regulation, echoing Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, a former Wall Street titan, it's significant. It's also a repudiation of the long-held view that markets alone can best regulate themselves. Whether regulations will be successful is an open question.
-snip-
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/homepage/story/43476.html
I think I'll trust Bernanke and Paulson's "edification" over yours. I hope you "understand" that.
The simplistic 'no' regulation myth
We do not have a system of deregulation. You can say it until you are blue in the face, but when you have a system with the Fed, Sarbanes-Oxley, SEC, fannie mae (a creature of GOVT), etc. The question is NOT "Is there too little regulation?" That is a naive and false view. We have lots of regulation.
The question is do we have the right regulation, the right oversight, and the right amount of freedom of markets to absorb and manage risk while not overextending risk that can be systemic.
The fact is that new financial instruments have had undefined market risks and they blew up. Long term capital blew up in 1998 on a similar scenario of poorly modelled risk. Extending understanding, oversight, and risk/coverage over such derivative instruments is useful and possible needed, BUT THAT IS A FAR CRY FROM THE SIMPLISTIC "Oh, we had a laissez faire system and we need 'change'" It is simplistic, ignorant, wrong.
Again, I missed the memo where someone was suggesting abolishing the Fed, eliminating capital reserve ratio requiements, undoing SEC reporting requirements and mark-to-market on capital investments, and repealing Sarbanes-Oxley, etc.
I notice these are a journalists words and not yours, but its not the first time a journalist made a breathlessly broad-brush statement that is wrong. They are pushing a phony meme, perhaps to aid the Democrat or perhaps simply because they dont know the financial markets that well.
"It's only a model" - MPATHG
So what do people think of McCain's response?
He's been saying things like "Wall Street broke the social contract with the American people" and blaming greed and fat cats (whatever they are). And he's calling for regulations and a "9/11 style commission" to look into what went wrong. WTF?
I don't know what to make of it, but it doesn't sound terribly conservative to me.
The response needed
This is what McCain needs to say: Obama saw the Iraq problems as a political opportunity, blamed Bush and then proposed the wrong answer and made the wrong predictions. Now Obama sees the economic problems we face as a political opportunity. He again blames Bush and then proposes the wrong answers and makes the wrong predictions.
McCain needs to get back to COUNTRY FIRST and announce that he intends to put COUNTRY FIRST by having a commission look into this and report within the first 100 days in office. The goal should not be new and more regulations, the goal should be reform and fixing what we have.
The fact is that markets go 'too far' sometimes, and often when they do an underlying government incitement is behind it.
If McCain goes for REFORM of Government oversight and not mere 'more, more, more' Govt regulation, we might be better off.
Yes, there was a social contract broken. When CEOs get golden parachutes and companies go bankrupt, the stockholders should be outraged. But that's not the main thing here.
When fannie mae gives ex-Clinton appointees like Gorelick $50 million and dispenses money to Democrats in Congress and the end result is lack of fannie mae oversight *AND* the taxpayers are stuck with the bill - that is a good case for reform. Remember: Obama brought Fannie Mae ex-CEO Johnson to be his VP vetter. Johnson and the other 'insiders' have been at the Fannie Mae trough.
A commission is a GREAT idea. Why? Because it stops the usual Congressional practice of passing bad laws right away or doing a quick fix ('hey, lets write a check to everyone').
If the Democrats have their way, the guilty parties will be on the commission and will end up indicted the innocent and shooting the wounded.
I suggest some people outside it all. Romney maybe. Or Maybe Mayor Bloomberg of NY. Or Lawrence Lindsay, former Fed member. Someone not part of the mess but who wont be cowed or awed by the financial wizards and who knows enough about the business so they can cut through the cr8p and get to the heart of the problems. There will never be a risk free market and to try to create one may be a cure worse than the disease, otoh, systemic risks should be mitigated.
No one likes Gordon Gekko
In any event, financial services decided to buy a ticket on the Democrats after 2006.
http://www.opensecrets.org/industries/indus.php?ind=F
We don't owe them anything.