foreign policy

Russia and Iran, a secret history

 While the right often lapses into analyzing Russia as a mischief maker, trying to expand its sphere of influence through the established means of corruption and destabilization, the reality of the Russia Iran connection grows not from Russia's depraved nature turning always to wickedness to advance a goal or injure an enemy, the Russia Iran connection is based on Russian weakness where wickedness is the only power available to them.  All this boils down to one word-Chechnya.

 Is it a coincidence that since Russia has begun its partnership of with Iran towards a nuclearly armed terrorist state, Russia has ceased to experience any more embarrassing flare-ups in Chechnya?  Why else would Russia help to proliferate nuclear arms with a terrorist state? Chechnya is clearly the pro quo is this equation.  That and the unfounded hope that Iran will use its weaponry against the West.  

Let it be remembered that Iran helped channel the Chechen freedom fighters into Iraq to fight coalition forces during the bleakest days before the surge.

The reality behind Iran's manipulation of Russia has two consequences we might want to keep in mind.  One--this is par for the course for Iran.  They use Islamism to undermine other countries--no doubt Chechnya most of all--to expand their power.  Terror is the origin of Iran's nuclear program and once they have obtained this new toy, terrorism will continue to be their reflexive gesture to their rivals.  Iran's nuclear weapons will be used aggressively, either as a backstop to prevent retaliation for lesser acts of murder or as a direct assault on Israel or the US through their terror network with deniability carefully intact.

The second consequence may have greater consequence in Russia itself but is not useless to the West.   In the Russia Iran relationship, Iran is like the sociopathic womanizer, exploiting the low self esteem of his victim to get what he wants and when it is time to make good on the implied security or love, he drops his mask and gives the female a lesson in how to further lower her already low self esteem.  Russia is not a strong country and Iran has been willing to first help create the crisis in Chechnya and then exploit it to its satisfaction--but once Iran has what it wants from Russia, once it is a nuclear equal why should it continue that relationship?  Russia with its vast Islamic population spread over strategically valuable oil fields is only going to be more vulnerable to a nuclear Iran than it was before.  Russia was too weak to deal with conventional Iran it will be every bit as weak against the Iran it has helped build up (only to be dumped).

Why is this something we need to keep in mind?  Not because of some wishful thinking that Russia and Iran will end up hurting only each other, but rather that this reality, that Russia has acted out of internal weakness needs to be broadcast more widely especially to the Russian people themselves who have been deluded into thinking that the new Putin led Russia is become stronger and more assertive of its interests.  Rather US foreign policy needs to hold up Iran as a perfect case where Russia is capitulating to a clear and distinct enemy out of weakness.  That this is what you get under a kleptocracy--illusions of strength and a heavy bill to pay when that illusion is burst.  A truly strong Russia would be dedicated to a market economy under law, a strong Russia would develop its army with the resources such an economy provides to deal with terrorism within its borders, a strong Russia wouldn't have a hand in helping a country that has done it an injury but would injure that country all the more so in turn.  But then, Russia, for all its power, is not a strong country.  Like those propagating the current Washington line that a nuclear Iran can be finessed, Russia will soon learn that in all this world nothing is so dangerous as lying to yourself.

For us today what solution is there to this mess?  There is only one.  Don't be coward in the face of aggressors.  Military strikes are the only way out and always have been the only way.  I know Iran has chemical weapons ready to fire at Israel but there are ways of communicating one's intentions that even Ahmadinejad can understand and tremble at.  They can lose a weapons program or they can lose everything.  

 

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Regarding the recent comments from Zbigniew Brzezinski about shooting down Israeli planes on route to Iran, I doubt this was a random unconsulted remark.   The Obama regime is trying to complicate Israel's calculus.  The good news is that I think any such order from the President will result in out and out revolt on the part of the military, if that can be called good news.  Well, we can only count that as a qualified good in truth but Israel can strike and with Washington being what it is these days, they are the last best hope.  Everything else is self-deceit.  

What the right needs to do to regain acceptance and credibility by the mainstream

The right has lost its way and a lot of people are starting to recognize this.  Books are being written (The Death of Conservatism, Republican Gomorrah: Inside the Movement that Shattered the Party, etc.)  Here are my thougths on what is wrong and what needs to be done about it.

Discredit those who are not helpful

Sarah Palin, Mike Huckabee, etc. have said a lot of downright crazy and dumb things (people with AIDS should be quarantined, etc.)  and are far too tied to Christianity.  They should be called out for that and pushed to the side so that true leaders on the right can rise to the top and give the right a real chance at regaining credibility and the minds of those who are undecided or in the center.  Those who espose hate, and anger should also be discredited and pushed to the side (Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, etc.).  It is long past time for Conservative talk radio to become more academic, constructive, and hopeful sounding, and cater to the best in us (love, hope, unity, civics, etc.), rather than the worst (fear, anger, race, etc.).

Stop catering to the Christian right

Christianity has nothing to do with conservative ideas and theory on money, foreign policy, etc.  There is also supposed to be a strong seperation of church and state.  Our country was formed partially for freedom of religion, and if our government is run by someone who wants to impose their religion through laws and perspective, then we lose that.  In addition, America is not a Christian nation; though nearly 80% are Christian, there is still another 20% that are not.

Stop simply opposing every idea President Obama has and propose alternative solutions

The right has really been a thorn in our Presidents side instead of working with him to solve the problems in America.  The way to gain credibility and get some conservative ideas into law is to honestly work with the left to create good policy, and also proactively propose laws to solve some of our problems before the left takes up the problem.

Stop supporting causes that have nothing to do with Conservative ideology

The right should disassociate itself with such issues as abortion, and other things that are outside of the ideas of conservatism.  Abortion is an issue thats argument against it is primarily based in religion.  The same applies to marriage equality for gays; the argument against it can only be made from a religious standpoint.  Because of this, and because no party should be tied to any religion, just as our government should not be tied to any religion, the right as a whole and Republicans as a party should disassociate theirselves with abortion and start supporting equal rights for gays.  These two issues alone keep some of those in the center and on the left from ever supporting a Republican candidate.  It might cause a lot of those on the Christian right to be upset, but then they can choose the party that best conforms to what their idea of government should do on all other issues, or form a new 3rd party that is tightly tied to Christianity.

Stop being inconsistent

Right now many on the right are opposing government run health care on the idea that even though it may save a lot of lives, it isn't proper for the government or taxpayers to help others.  Yet, many of those same people are in support of the war in Iraq to give people in another country freedom and save their lives.  Why should we spend taxpayer dollars to police the world yet not spend taxpayer dollars to save those within our own borders?  Either we shouldn't spend money to help others, or we should and if we should then we should definitely want to help those within our own borders before those who are not within our borders.

Stop being hawks

The right has become a group of hawks and this is contrary to conservative ideas on foreign policy.  Conservative ideas on foreign policy are as spelled out by the Cato Institute:

Cato's foreign policy vision is guided by the idea of our national defense and security strategy being appropriate for a constitutional republic, not an empire. Cato's foreign policy scholars question the presumption that an interventionist foreign policy enhances the security of Americans in the post-Cold War world, and maintain instead that interventionism has consequences, including the formation of countervailing alliances, the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, and even terrorism. The use of U.S. military force should be limited to those occasions when the territorial integrity, national sovereignty, or liberty of the United States is at risk.

Conservatives need to re-embrace those ideas.  They are the ideas that our nations founders had in mind, and they are the ideas that are the most ethical and that might also allow some on the left to consider the rest of our ideas.

Have a well thought out income tax policy

There either should not be an income tax as Libertarians would like, or there should be an income tax that works to support Conservative values.  A tax that is progressive helps strengthen families at the lower incomes and therefore helps literacy rates, etc. which helps to preserve conservative values of strong families, an educated populace, etc.  Right now the government has taken on far too much responsibility and therefore spends too much and our national debt is growing because of it.  It is time to start cutting back on spending, but at the same time increasing revenue and the only realistic way to increase revenue is through a progressive income tax because those in the middle and lower class cannot support any higher tax burden.

Start supporting alternative energy and embrace that global warming is real and might be caused by us

The science is in, global warming is real and it is probably caused by our actions (and can we afford to gamble that it is not?).  Most of the oil that is easily available is in countries with citizens that do not like us.  Because of these two things, it is long past time to start looking into energy sources that do not emit CO2, and that do not require us to work with countries that are not friendly to us.

Stop catering to Israel

We give far too much money and support to Israel and it hurts our credibilty around the world and doesn't help to reduce the hatred towards us in the Muslim world.  It is time to treat Israel as we would any other country that is a friend and ally of ours.  We should work with them, and be friends with them, but we should point out when they are doing something that works against peace in the middle east and use our monetary aid as a tool to help control their actions rather than blindly supporting them at all times.

Start rethinking drug policy

The war on drugs does not work, and will never work so long as it is punitive rather than based in medicine.  It only makes organized crime stronger, and leads to a larger role of government and often leads to violations of our constitutional rights.  The punitive war on drugs was originally based on racism, and is now based in morality that is derived from religion.  For these reasons, it is time for the federal government to take a non punitive role and start considering policy that would put organized crime out of business, make drug use safer and less damaging to society, and help those who are ready to reform their lives through cessation of drug abuse.

 

 

"Easter Seals" > The Eloi Agenda

I want to give credit where credit is due.  Our miltary and their commander-in-chief made me proud today when Captain Richard Phillips was rescued by our Navy's special ops forces.

One issue in hostage negotiations is not to confuse delay for indecisiveness.  Wearing down the captors is often an effective tactic especially when there is no room for escape.  This ended well, with the exception of those thugs stupid enough to screw with the U.S. Navy.

And perhaps there is some interesting juxtaposition, as over Holy Week we saw a man taken away by those wishing him harm, thought likely to die, only to re-emerge safely on Easter Sunday.    

While this whole episode ended well, we need to ask deeper questions.

a) Why was an American ship seized?

b) Why did the pirates think we would let them escape with a ransom?

One answer to the first question is that the international maritime community has treated piracy like a vandalism claim.  The fear was a freighter defending itself would "escalate the situation".  For that reason, freighters were left with unarmed crews....apparently the insurance carriers liked it that way .  

One response to this ridiculous state of affairs would be to adopt either unilaterally or by treaty a "castle doctrine"  on the high seas, in which merchant sailors would enjoy blanket immunity from civil or criminal liability in the use of deadly force to prevent the boarding of their vessel.

Legislation directing U.S. flag vessels to carry firearms aboard as a condition of service might also dissuade 21st Century Jack Sparrows from seeking to commandeer our ships, seeking unarmed vessels from other nations.

But pirates also operated under the assumption that the U.S. Navy would err on the side of acquisesance instead of action when a crisis occurred, as it has been reported   

"U.S. rules of engagement prevent the Americans using their vastly superior fighting power to engage the pirates if there is any danger to civilians."

That doesn't provide much of a deterrent. Nor does the habitual payment of ransom by shipping companies. Once upon a time it was conventional wisdom that "if you subsidize something you get more if it"

The western world should collectively look in the mirror---as the prior subsidization of piracy and kidnapping....hmmmm...encouraged the problem to "escalate" 

So our Somali "friends" did not expect the Navy Seals to end this on our terms.  That creates the bigger---longer term--problem.

There's a paradigm that works---Pax Brittanica, Pax Americana, "Peace through Strength"---whatever the current iteration happens to be. It can be summed up in one common phrase.

The big dogs enforce the rules

Anglo-Americans have pretty much done this since Trafalgar. But now we have hints the Obama Administration and its intellectual allies find this an unwanted and unfashionable burden.

Certaintly when your overseas trip is labelled "an apology tour"   perhaps one could excuse the Somali thugs for questioning how stiff the present administration's backbone is? (I will note that covertly, Obama seems to be emulating much of what he once denounced on wiretapping   and detention; maybe the eight year record of not getting bombed again is looking more important to Obama now that he's in office) 

The problem here is that we need a power with some swagger, and yes, maybe even a touch of arrogance to enforce the international order.  It's easy to make lots of friends promising to consult everybody, and not impose one's will on those unwilling to go along, and generally make clear it case it wasn;t obvious enough you are not George W. Bush.

That said--"soft power" wasn't what freed Captain Phillips. Or what will prevent Iran from going nuclear. Or deal with an innumerable set of problems where only decisive action by one nation and one military is going to make the difference.

Maybe this minor crisis might cause Obama--whose actual military and foreign policy experience is ,,,hmmm..thin--- to reevaluate what he's trying to accomplish in protecting our interests and that of our allies.

He shouldnt listen to experts who suggest the age of deterrence is over.  Indeed, what we have seen off the Horn of Africa is in a multipolar world we will be left with a lawless "tragedy of the commons" devolving into a Hobbesian state of nature.  

Maybe this naval vessel might be a better inspiration. now that the President might have a better appreciation of their capabilities.

One thing is certain. If we’re to continue to advance world peace and human freedom, America must remain strong. If we have learned anything these last eight years, it’s that peace through strength works.”

Now there's an alternative reality popular among college campuses, Hollywood, and various Whole Foods Markets around the country, and which it must be said, many of the Obamatons subscribe to,  Movie Director Ron Howard put it best, wanting a "more progressive America" that..

 I don't think we'll be, at a certain point I don't think we'll be so consumed with being the pre-eminent super-power and, you know, driven by sort of militarism and this need to export, you know, democracy and so forth.

I doubt very much Captain Phillips was quite so worried about American miltarism when he was floating around the Indian Ocean. American miltarism is why he's alive today. And you know, here's one issue where I really expected more out of Ron Howard. 

Remember one of Howard's best movies---ironically titled---Ransom ?

In Ransom Manhattan business tycoon Mel Gibson has his kid seized and a money demand placed on his safe return.  En route to a drop point in New Jersey, the kidnapper calls Gibson on a cell phone and makes an observation which is directly relevant to where we are today.

The kidnapper taunts Gibson calling him an "eloi" ...an elitist wimp who thinks he can buy his way out of all forms of trouble.  The kidnapper says he is one of the Morlock ...vicious brutes who exost only to prey on the Eloi.

The President might want to dwell upon that for a moment. The world is full of "Morlocks"---individuals who if given a chance will lay waste to civilization for fun, profit, ideology or due to mental illness. If civilization is going to act like the benign and peaceful Eloi, we are in for dark days. And sadly, the "human rights" people seems to think our military is the problem, not the prevention.

The term in law enforcement is "thin blue line". Our nation's military and intelligence services serve the same role in the global community. Are we going to make them stronger or make them weaker?. Are we going to reward action or penalize initiative?   

Will we be Seals or will we be Eloi? 

Don't Forget Foreign Policy

While there has been extensive debate over how conservatives could improve their message and image regarding social and economic issues, this debate ignores the fact that the issue that really killed us in 2006 and 2008 was foreign policy, particularly Iraq. Perhaps this is because most of us who are left in the party continue to believe that the Iraq was a just cause that ultimately resulted in an important victory in the broader War against Muslim extremists. But the perception that Iraq was invaded on false pretenses and/or caustically mismanaged turned our natural advantage on foreign policy into a disadvantage.

There are many voters out there who are fairly conservative on social and/or economic issues, and even foreign policy issues, who cast their votes for Obama and other Democrats these last couple cycles because they believed the Iraq was was unjust, and probably worried that McCain would start another war like it. To get them back I think we need to (1) explain why Iraq was a just and successful war, and (2) explain what criteria we would use in deciding whether to use force in future situations. Americans generally understand that we need a more muscular foreign policy than that offered by the Dems. But they also want to ensure that their blood and treasure is used in a legal manner for the good of the United States. We need to assure them that we will do that. 

The Obama-Biden agenda: Blind Faith uber alles

By now I'm sure you heard Joe Biden's upbeat assessment of the first year or so of an Obama-Biden Administration 

 Because I promise you, you all are gonna be sitting here a year from now going, 'Oh my God, why are they there in the polls? Why is the polling so down? Why is this thing so tough?' We're gonna have to make some incredibly tough decisions in the first two years. So I'm asking you now, I'm asking you now, be prepared to stick with us. Remember the faith you had at this point because you're going to have to reinforce us."

"There are gonna be a lot of you who want to go, 'Whoa, wait a minute, yo, whoa, whoa, I don't know about that decision'," Biden continued. "Because if you think the decision is sound when they're made, which I believe you will when they're made, they're not likely to be as popular as they are sound. Because if they're popular, they're probably not sound."

http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalradar/2008/10/biden-to-suppor.html

So what to make of Biden's untimely truthfulness?

1. They are going to repeat what was probably the most critical deficiency of the Bush Administration. They are going to presume they are right and simply press on whether they properly gain the public's trust for their foreign policy.

Actually one prominent national leader has already compared Obama's foreign policy deficiencies to that of Bush, but her candor has been placed in a blind trust this autumm. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/02/25/AR2008022502663.html

Obama will never recover politically from this sort of mistake. He will never have the Right and as it is apparent, will promptly lose the Left. And Senator Biden, I know Dick Cheney and you are no Dick Cheney.

2. They are going to break their campaign promises at a blinding pace. At a minimum, it's hard to reconcile one of the architects of the Iraq War with Move On. org.  Even the most decent politician is going to leave someone in the dust, and I don't these guys in that high regard.  

3. They are probably going to sell out our allies as a consequence of their willingness to do something when  " it's not gonna be apparent initially, it's not gonna be apparent that we're right" http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1017129.html

4. They promise "unpopular decisions". Conservatives should recall that previous international crisis have been used as excuses to implement economic and social measurres inimical to liberty that could never be approved otherwise.  Think rationing, wage/price controls etc.  Watch the same people who attacked FISA and the Patriot Act as violative of the civil liberties of terrorist suspects chill the 1st and 2nd Amendment rights of decent Americans. (Notice, by the way, Obama failed to mention the 2nd Amendment when discussing the Constitution at the debate) 

5. At the end of the day, there is nothing Joe Biden is willing to offer America except blind faith in a man manufacturing his own "cult of personality" http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cult_of_Personality_(song)  America will get into the soup, Obama and Biden will do something that makes no sense, and we will be told to chill out and wait for things to work out..... Eventually..... Because

Maybe Bruce Springsteen oughta reconsider this support for the Obama-Biden ticket

Blind faith in your leaders, or in anything, will get you killed.
Bruce Springsteen
http://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/authors/b/bruce_springsteen.html

Words, even from a Lefty, to live by.

  

Beyond the Endorsement: How the Right Should React to Colin Powell

Bottom Line Up Front: The Right needs to rethink and reshape our style, substance, and strategy based on the opportunities and challenges that face us now. Evolve or die.

Colin Powell's endorsement of Barack Obama today was one of the three "ouches" Moe Lane pointed out on RedState, the other two being the $150M raised by Obama last month and the 100K strong crowd for Obama in St. Louis.

Nobody should take much stock in endorsements, and this wasn't unexpected. Plus, I think John McCain can do a lot more with the aftermath of Obama's conversation with Joe the Plumber than Obama can do with Powell's endorsement.

But Powell does mention a few things that are worth noting and reacting to.

Post Debate Breakdown

Last night's debate went ahead as planned, despite McCain saying he would not show up without a financial rescue package being passed. McCain should be glad he showed up too, because he gave one of the strongest debate performances of his career. 

Unfortunately for McCain, Obama really kicked it up a notch in his performance. Obama was able to give declarative, very precise statements, without a lot of stuttering or pausing, something that had seemingly eluded him in the primaries and interviews. 

If you were to seperate the debate into two halves, then you would not be far off. The first forty minutes of the debate were on the economy, and the remaining time was dedicated to the topic of foreign policy. 

McCain really had a chance to take control of the debate on the economy. He could have pointed out how Obama supports a bailout with taxpayer money, and contrast that with his position, which is protecting the taxpayers by giving loans and insurance to the companies. Instead, McCain gave his stump speech, talking about earmark reform and government spending. 

McCain was able to take a very commanding lead in the foreign policy section. McCain really controlled the debate, and twice Obama asked Jim Lehrer if we could just "move on". Obama really held his own in this area though, and that is all he needed to do, to pass the commander in chief test.

Had this debate taken place in 2004, then maybe McCain's performance in the foreign policy half of the debate would have carried him into victory. However considering there has been no terrorist attacks lately, and the economy is front and center, the tied debate goes to Obama. 

Considering McCain's very respectable performance in the debate, Obama will most likely not see a very large bounce out of the debate. By Monday, the rolling poll averages will reflect the results of the debate, expect Obama to be up about six points in the daily tracking polls.

There is no "the" Bush Doctrine

At lunch, I ran an experiment. Every single person at my table had worked on a Presidential campaign. Every single one was saturated in politics. Active -- in their time -- in youth affiliates of their party. These people came from multiple parties

Every single person had a different definition of the Bush Doctrine. One argued that the "Bush Doctrine" emerged from "a series of speeches".

There is no "Bush Doctrine." At best it is a squishy idea. That may be the grounds for a critique in its own right. But not of Sarah Palin.

Clive Crook makes the same point:

I don't go along with the view that her answers on the "Bush doctrine" were a serious misstep, however. True, she did not know what that term meant. The fact is, it means different things to different people. If Gibson had put that question to me, my answer would have been: "It depends what you mean by the Bush doctrine." In effect, that was what she said. And it deserves to be noted (as Jim points out, but with a kindly lack of emphasis, calling it a minor error) that Gibson himself apparently does not know what it means.

GIBSON [impatiently]: The Bush doctrine as I understand it is that we have the right of anticipatory self-defense, that we have the right to a preemptive strike against any country that we think is going to attack us. Do you agree...?

No, Charles. That is not what the Bush doctrine means. The right of anticipatory self-defence is already enshrined in international law. Countries do not have to wait until they are attacked to legitimately defend themselves. The Bush doctrine advances the notion of preventive war: the right to attack not in order to defend yourself against an imminent assault, but to deal with less certain, more distant but still possibly mortal threats.

 

The Experience Debate is Still Very Much Alive, and Still Favors the GOP

You knew it was coming.

“Today, John McCain put the former mayor of a town of 9,000 with zero foreign policy experience a heartbeat away from the presidency.

-Obama campaign spokesman Bill Burton

 

and

 

Unlike Barack Obama, whom McCain has so emphatically condemned as not-ready, Palin hasn’t run for or served in the Senate. Nor has she run for president, which would have required her to think through and take positions on critical issues from the war in Iraq to the war on terror, from Iran’s nuclear ambitions to the Russian incursion into Georgia, from the emerging power of China to the march of globalization. She hasn’t debated tough opponents a dozen or so times or faced aggressive, often downright hostile reporters on a daily basis. Talk about untested. Her slim record undermines one of McCain’s most effective arguments against Obama.

-Fmr. Clinton WH Press Secretary Dee Dee Myers

Left-leaning observers have noted that with John McCain's choice of Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as his running mate, all arguments about Barack Obama's experience are off the table. It is true that Senator McCain's age (72 today) heightens the importance of who he chooses as his vice president. He has acknowledged this point, and while it may be an unfair criticism, it is one that will linger in the minds of many voters.

Last week, Obama's choice of Joe Biden as his running mate led many to believe that this was a governing decision rather than a political one; that voters could take comfort in knowing that the freshman senator from Illinois would have an experienced statesman in the White House guiding his hand on international affairs.

Sarah Palin has run a city and a state, whereas both Democrats on the ticket have run only their Senate offices (unless you also count Obama's presidency of the Harvard Law Review). However, let's assume that Obama and Palin have equally negligible experience, specifically on foreign policy and homeland security. A vote for McCain may mean that Sarah Palin never takes office, but a vote for the similarly fresh Obama puts him directly in the role of commander in chief.

In the event that Palin does need replace John McCain in the role of commander-in-chief, who is to say that she cannot make the same decision as Obama did on the campaign trail and tap a senator or diplomat with years of foreign policy experience as her vice president? If we are to believe that Joe Biden covers Barack Obama's dearth of foreign relations experience, it stands to reason that a newly minted President Palin could pick the likes of Dick Lugar, Condoleezza Rice,  or John Bolton to serve alongside her.

Furthermore, the Republicans cannot afford to undersell the executive experience Sarah Palin brings as one of America's fifty state governors. As Mike Huckabee put it in the January 30th primary debate in Simi Valley, California:

There's something a lot of people don't think about. When you're a governor, you actually manage a microcosm of the federal government. Every agency that you have at the federal level, you have at the state level. You are familiar with the whole game board. You understand what those agencies do, because you interrelate with them as a governor every single day.

-Fmr. Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee
 

This is something that Sarah Palin has undoubtedly learned very well, even in her short tenure in Juneau. It is a point she can raise in the upcoming debate against Joe Biden, who has never held state, local, or executive office. And when she does, her base of knowledge might surprise a lot of the people who have made cynical observations about what they perceive as an experience gap.

Can Biden criticize McCain on foreign policy?

Update: Looks like the RNC is on it. Morning stories in the WSJ and Politico.

The conventional wisdom of Barack Obama's Joe Biden pick is that he will be an attack dog, especially on foreign policy, where he has the most credibility. But there's a problem. In April, I wrote a litlte about Joe Biden:

Over the last couple of years, he has resisted the far-left at the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, by refusing to demagogue the Iraq issue. He has generally pushed for responsible changes and a little bit more detail. A National Security Council staffer (translation: Bush White House staffer) has described Biden's interventions to me as "generally helpful."

It would certainly be far from the truth that Biden was a cheerleader for the Bush administration, but I got the sense in 2003-2004, when I was working on foreign policy on the Hill for a Republican that Joe Biden was our ally. He wanted us to succeed in Iraq. He said so on a regular basis. He regularly articulated a hawkish and sophisticated position on a range of issues. It wasn't just his vote on Iraq, for which the left attacks him.

If I were the McCain campaign or the RNC, I would be digging through old C-SPAN, Senate Foreign Relations videos, and the transcripts. He has said lots of things that will give rhetorical cover to McCain and contrast with the attacks that he is going to make for the next two months.

When Biden lays into McCain, all the RNC has to do and turn out his old words on the issues, if not McCain. These will make it hard to continue a spirited attack on McCain.

The irony is that before Joe Biden ran for Vice President, he was probably closer to McCain on foreign policy than Obama.

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