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Comeback 2010

Submitted by the foundation on Mon, 12/22/2008 - 23:17

Peter Kirsanow has a point: http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=MDQyOTA4ODdjZjhkZjMzNTBjMGFlZDYwZGRhNTEwN2I= "Rod Blagojevich, $1 trillion "fiscal stimulus", Harry Reid, expiring tax cuts, Nancy Pelosi, socialized health care, Charlie Rangel, reinstitution of the oil drilling ban, Joe Biden, liberal judicial nominees, Al Franken (maybe), nuclear Iran, John Murtha, car czars, Dennis Kucinich, PC culture, Chris Dodd, entitlement explosion, Barney Frank, entitlement implosion, Barbara Boxer, card check, the Clintons, Russian adventurism. If Republicans can't come back in 2010 they should be sued for political malpractice."

Here is my top ten in order:

1) Harry Reid defeated by anyone, even an indie

2) Peter King defeating a Kennedy

3) Obama-girl Kathleen Sebelius defeated in her quest for the Kansas Senate seat because of her abortion stance and gubernatorial record

4) Republican reclaims the Michigan governor's mansion running against the "third term of Obama-girl" Jennifer Granholm

5) Chris Dodd going down.

6) Chris Matthews getting smoked by whomever

7) Bunning retains his seat by primarily running against Obama in Kentucky

8) Jeb Bush retaining the Senate seat in Florida

9) Beat the appointented Senator in Illinois and Colorado

10) The re-election of Sarah Palin and Charlie Crist, the only two Republicans from the 2006 class I believe.

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Comments

2010 Senate Races

Submitted by Cahnman on Tue, 12/23/2008 - 00:12.

I address the subject at length here.

Short Version: I like what you say here and I think you miss some obvious pickup opportunities in Wisconsin, Arkansas, North Dakota, Indiana, and Colorado.

I think Bunning should be reasonably safe; I'd be more worried about Kit Bond and Judd Gregg.

I know

Submitted by the foundation on Tue, 12/23/2008 - 06:46.

I am just citing my preferences as to what I would most like to see happen in 2010; the comeback opportunities are incredible.  Barack Obama really is the second term of Jimmy Carter; we'll pin everything on him.

Bond is well-liked

Submitted by Paleo-Skeptic on Tue, 12/23/2008 - 09:27.

I would say he's reasonably secure.

They would need a big name to run against him to make it even close.

Some of the biggest names the Missouri Dems regionally had were Kay Waldo Barnes, and Chris Koster, and both of them lost in '08. 

If a Turn around depends upon winning n Conn. and Ill, forget it

Submitted by superdestroyer on Tue, 12/23/2008 - 07:44.

There is zero chance that a Republican is going to win in either Illinois or Conn. along with no chance in NY, Michigan, on Penn. Two years is not enough time for the voters to forget the stupidity and incomptence of the Bush Administration and the Republicans in Congress. 

when Mitch McConnell is the highest ranking Republicans, you can expect the Republicans to lose  more seats. Gregg in NH, voinivich in Ohio, Specter in Pa., and even McCain in Arizona are probably lost seats to the Republicans. 

Also, by 2012, the Democrats will have been able to redistrict at least 30 more Repubicans out of their U.S. House seats.  Maybe then Repubicans will realize that importing millions of poor people from third world countries is not a good idea because it eventually produces millions of automatic Democratic voters.

 

It's the economy, stupid

Submitted by johnson springs on Tue, 12/23/2008 - 12:21.

If Obama's economic program fails to meet expectations which are already being set very low, then I believe the Dem Congressional majorities will shrink slightly in 2010 as a hand-slap from the electorate.

Short of major scandal and/or unexpected economic shocks for which the Obama administration fails to prepare the electorate's expectations, I don't see major gains for our side in 2010. As much as we may wish to blame the economic problems on Chuck Schumer, Chris Dodd and Barney Frank, it happened on Bush's watch and Bush and the GOP will take the blame for it by and large.

Another important factor to bear in mind while gaming out 2010 is whether there will be another round of GOP retirements similar to 2008; 20+ GOP representatives retired. Some members are not interested in serving during a prolonged period in the minority.