McCain Picks Sarah Palin for VP?!?!

Republicans including, I imagine, Sen. McCain himself are

asking these questions about his selection of a vice presidential

candidate.

Ideally, a presidential candidate wants a running mate who

will help him or her win the election, and (maybe) to govern

afterwards. But most will settle for a veep who isn't a drag

on the ticket, as Dan Quayle was for the first President Bush.

Traditionally, a presidential nominee has chosen a running

mate to balance the ticket geographically, or to appease

a faction of the party. The most successful example of this

was when John F. Kennedy picked Lyndon Johnson, though neither

liked the other, and LBJ joined the ticket only because he thought 

Kennedy would lose.

Bill Clinton broke with this tradition when he chose another young 

(purported) moderate from a neighboring southern state. By picking

Al Gore, he hoped to reinforce his campaign theme of generational

change.

Which way will Sen. McCain go? The potential running mates most

often Discussed have downsides nearly as great as their upsides.

Gov. Tim Pawlenty helps only in Minnesota, and not enough, according

to current polls, to make a difference there. Sen. McCain's friend

Sen. Joe Lieberman would bring in some moderate Democrats, but could

further antagonize conservatives already suspicious of Sen. McCain. 

Gov. Romney would have little appeal to working class whites unhappy

with Sen. Obama, and evangelicals fret about that Mormon thing. A 

Huckabee nomination would irritate economic and foreign policy

conservatives as much as it would please evangelicals.

Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal is a rising star. But he's only 36,

and he's been governor for less than a year. There is one potential

running mate who Has virtually no down side. Those conservatives

who've heard of her were Delighted to learn that McCain advance

man Arthur Culvahouse was in Alaska recently, because they surmised

he could only be there to discuss the vice presidential nomination

with Gov. Sarah Palin.

At 44, Sarah Louise Heath Palin is both the youngest and the first

Female governor in Alaska's relatively brief history as a state.

She's also the most popular governor in America, with an approval

rating that has bounced around 90 percent.

This is due partly to her personal qualities. When she was leading

her Underdog Wasilla high school basketball team to the state

championship in 1982, Her teammates called her "Sarah Barracuda"

because of her fierce competitiveness.

Two years later, when she won the "Miss Wasilla" beauty pageant,

she was Also voted "Miss Congeniality" by the other contestants.

Sarah Barracuda. Miss Congeniality. Fire and nice. A happily married 

mother of five who is still drop dead gorgeous. And smart to boot.

But it's mostly because she's been a crackerjack governor, a strong 

Fiscal conservative and a ferocious fighter of corruption, especially

in her own party. Ms. Palin touches other conservative bases, some of

which Sen. McCain has been accused of rounding. Track, her eldest son,

enlisted in the Army last Sept. 11. She's a lifetime member of the 

National Rifle Association who hunts, fishes and runs marathons.

A regular churchgoer, she's staunchly pro-life. Kimberley Strassel

of the Wall Street Journal said Sen. McCain should run against a 

corrupt, do-nothing Congress, a la Harry Truman. If he should choose

to do so, Gov. Palin would make an excellent partner "The landscape

is littered with the bodies of those who have crossed Sarah," pollster

Dave Dittman told the Weekly Standard's Fred Barnes.

Sen. Barack Obama's support has plunged recently among white women.

Many Hillary Clinton supporters accuse him -- I think unfairly – 

of being sexist. Having Sarah Palin on the ticket could help 

Sen. McCain appeal to these Disgruntled Democrats.

Running mates usually aren't named until the convention.

But if Sen. McCain should name Gov. Palin earlier, it would give

America more time to get to Know this extraordinary woman.

And because she's at least a dozen feature Stories waiting to be

written, she could help him dominate the news between now 

and the conventions.

Another reason for selecting Sarah Palin early would be

to force Barack Obama to make a mistake. He'd have to rule 

out choosing someone like Virginia Sen. Jim Webb as his running

mate, for fear of exacerbating charges of sexism. And if he chose

a woman other than Hillary, the impression Democrats are wimpy 

would be intensified.

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